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JI7

(89,252 posts)
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 01:41 AM Feb 2015

Young Voters Plan to Vote in 2016 and most back HIllary Clinton

<Young Democrats across all demographics pick Clinton to be the party’s next nominee, according to the survey. More than half — 57 percent — of the Democrats surveyed prefer Clinton, compared with 10 percent who choose Vice President Joe Biden and another 10 percent who want Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. At 19 percent, a large chunk are still undecided.

More than three-quarters millennials say they are at least “very likely” to vote in the 2016 presidential election, a level of enthusiasm that has the potential to dwarf previous turnouts from young people in past elections.

In all, 77 percent 18 to 34-year-olds are “absolutely certain” or “very likely” to vote in 2016, according to the survey. Another 14 percent said they will “possibly” vote, bringing the total up to 91 percent. Just 8 percent say they are not likely to vote, while 1 percent is undecided.>

http://fusion.net/story/41972/fusion-poll-millennials-politics-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush-election-2016/

31 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Young Voters Plan to Vote in 2016 and most back HIllary Clinton (Original Post) JI7 Feb 2015 OP
But I heard right here, there's no enthusiasm for another Clinton. Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #1
Yup it's clearly a fact. Agschmid Feb 2015 #2
I'm not sure who to believe. Scientific polls that all say the same thing, or anecdotes from DU's... Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #4
Don't worry. They'll all want to be firefighters or astronauts a week from now. Kids. <G> n/t jtuck004 Feb 2015 #9
Polls... GummyBearz Feb 2015 #16
Maybe. Maybe not. Perhaps you'd like to join forces with this guy & "unskew the polls"? Let us... Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #23
No need for much effort. GummyBearz Feb 2015 #26
It's largely name recognition at this point. AtomicKitten Feb 2015 #3
Plus they can't vote for a candidate who's not running. Hillary's the only one with an organization pnwmom Feb 2015 #5
Nobody is running AtomicKitten Feb 2015 #7
Obama was already moving ahead with an organization at this time. Who's doing that now? pnwmom Feb 2015 #8
This message was self-deleted by its author tracks29 Feb 2015 #18
Where did I say "Warren"? But the OP did mention Warren, so I don't understand your point. n/t pnwmom Feb 2015 #22
It was inferred. AtomicKitten Feb 2015 #27
My post applied to lots of people -- all the people who aren't running. But the OP did mention pnwmom Feb 2015 #29
Perhaps it you who "jumped" the gun? The poster made no mention of Warren. You did. Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #24
That is correct. Name recognition. Low information respondents. NYC_SKP Feb 2015 #21
Clinton/Cuomo 2016: blkmusclmachine Feb 2015 #6
Nobody is forcing you to vote for Clinton Cali_Democrat Feb 2015 #10
plus all the other state and local elections JI7 Feb 2015 #11
Because the field is being cleared and only paddy cake, friendly "competition" will be allowed TheKentuckian Feb 2015 #17
Wait.... Cali_Democrat Feb 2015 #25
Party leadership, large donors, the Clintons themselves who have substantial influence TheKentuckian Feb 2015 #31
You have plenty of choices locally. lovemydog Feb 2015 #12
Most of the youth today have zero concept of America before Rancid Ronnie and how much ChosenUnWisely Feb 2015 #13
don't know about Clooney but AtomicKitten Feb 2015 #15
Things change during the campaign season. LuvNewcastle Feb 2015 #14
Same song, different year. 99Forever Feb 2015 #19
Most probably don't know WTF they're voting for. RedCappedBandit Feb 2015 #20
many people only vote in presidential election years JI7 Feb 2015 #28
And 99% also said they were going to madville Feb 2015 #30

Tarheel_Dem

(31,234 posts)
4. I'm not sure who to believe. Scientific polls that all say the same thing, or anecdotes from DU's...
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 02:13 AM
Feb 2015

elite punditocracy. What to do?

 

GummyBearz

(2,931 posts)
16. Polls...
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 10:03 AM
Feb 2015

This scientific poll claims there could be 91% voter turn out for 18-34 year olds... want to make a $5 bet this poll is off by at least 30%?

Tarheel_Dem

(31,234 posts)
23. Maybe. Maybe not. Perhaps you'd like to join forces with this guy & "unskew the polls"? Let us...
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 03:02 PM
Feb 2015

know how it turns out.

 

GummyBearz

(2,931 posts)
26. No need for much effort.
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 04:20 PM
Feb 2015

I'll just wait until 2016 when the standard 50-60% of that age group votes as they have done in all recent elections. Pretty much zero effort there.

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
3. It's largely name recognition at this point.
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 02:12 AM
Feb 2015
The presidential election is 21 months away, and polling this far in advance largely shows name recognition among voters. The candidates who scored best among Florida voters are the names they’re most familiar with: Clinton, the former first lady, former U.S. senator and former secretary of state, and Bush, the former Florida governor and son and brother of the two Bush presidents.

It’s a similar pattern in the other two big swing states in which Quinnipiac polled: Ohio, where Gov. John Kasich tied Clinton, and Pennsylvania, where Chris Christie, the governor of neighboring state New Jersey, performed better than any of the other Republicans polled.


http://m.timesenterprise.com/news/hillary-clinton-leads-gop-candidates-in-poll-of-big-swing/article_cee0bfd4-ac83-11e4-9f51-f703cdd1c99e.html?mode=jqm

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
5. Plus they can't vote for a candidate who's not running. Hillary's the only one with an organization
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 04:20 AM
Feb 2015

that could be in place tomorrow.

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
7. Nobody is running
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 04:42 AM
Feb 2015

yet. Nobody has declared their candidacy.

Hillary had every advantage last time, so that's not a particularly persuasive point/argument now.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
8. Obama was already moving ahead with an organization at this time. Who's doing that now?
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 04:55 AM
Feb 2015

Hillary's the only one who's ready.

Response to pnwmom (Reply #5)

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
27. It was inferred.
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 07:24 PM
Feb 2015
5. Plus they can't vote for a candidate who's not running.


Anybody that reads here regularly recognizes a familiar retort from Clinton supporters regarding Elizabeth Warren.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
29. My post applied to lots of people -- all the people who aren't running. But the OP did mention
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 07:57 PM
Feb 2015

Warren, among others.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
10. Nobody is forcing you to vote for Clinton
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 05:09 AM
Feb 2015

There will be other choices in the primaries.

Why would you think you "get no f'ing choices"?

JI7

(89,252 posts)
11. plus all the other state and local elections
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 05:20 AM
Feb 2015

at this point i'm probably most excited about supporting Kamala Harris for Senate .

TheKentuckian

(25,026 posts)
17. Because the field is being cleared and only paddy cake, friendly "competition" will be allowed
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 10:08 AM
Feb 2015

in order for some more corporate Democrats to increase their profiles, name recognition, and a little old fashioned jockeying for positions but that is it.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
25. Wait....
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 03:06 PM
Feb 2015
"Because the field is being cleared and only paddy cake, friendly "competition" will be allowed"

---

That's an interesting take. Who is doing the field-clearing right now? Do you by any chance have a link to back up your assertion?

Thank you in advance.

TheKentuckian

(25,026 posts)
31. Party leadership, large donors, the Clintons themselves who have substantial influence
Fri Feb 6, 2015, 09:08 AM
Feb 2015

over party machinery, super delegates lined up, probably Obama.

Pure speculation based on observations and my impressions of how it is clicking together, there will be no "link" but the conjecture is not that big a stretch. Take it or leave it. Buy or sell but I know what I believe is shaping up.

lovemydog

(11,833 posts)
12. You have plenty of choices locally.
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 05:39 AM
Feb 2015

If I had my way most candidates would be Shirley Chisholm, FDR, Malcolm X, Eugene Debs, Bernie Sanders, Beyonce, Cesar Chavez, Elizabeth Warren, Angela Davis and Abraham Lincoln (for the retro beard & hat). They all started locally.

 

ChosenUnWisely

(588 posts)
13. Most of the youth today have zero concept of America before Rancid Ronnie and how much
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 06:16 AM
Feb 2015

this country has changed including the Democratic Party.

If George Clooney decided to run for POTUS he would become the front runner in meaningless polls.

Actually Clooney should run, he would be way better then Hillary.


LuvNewcastle

(16,846 posts)
14. Things change during the campaign season.
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 07:38 AM
Feb 2015

I'm not saying Hillary won't be the nominee, but it totally depends on who runs against her and who resonates more with voters. Americans are notoriously fickle when it comes to elections, and they can turn on a candidate quickly and fall in love with someone else. This battle hasn't even begun.

madville

(7,412 posts)
30. And 99% also said they were going to
Thu Feb 5, 2015, 08:07 PM
Feb 2015

Start going to the gym/exercising regularly in 2016

The likely turnout for that age group would be more realistic at about 45-50% max. Primary participation will be significantly lower than that as well.

What Hillary does have going for her in the primary is that around 70% of the 65 and up crowd vote, she'll capture a large share of their support.

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