General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow is the Ukraine situation going to end up? Any predictions?
I think after much more sturm und drang and a bunch more dead people, we will see a reconstituted Ukraine with a weak federal system and a semi-autonomous Donbass region. And Crimea will be part of Russia.
So why not skip the sturm und drang and all the dead people and just negotiate a settlement?
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)the sturm and drang.
The Russians and the rebels certainly have no desire to negotiate.
So there is no liklihood of peace breaking out.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)Because the West, by and large, does not want to get into WWIII with Russia.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)and your post reads a lot like "Ukraine should just close her eyes and try to enjoy it"
Mika
(17,751 posts)Pretty much as it always has been.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)(the parts with mineral or strategic value), call themselves some kind of bullshit independent republic but functionally become part of Russia.
Ukraine, with aid from the west, fortifies its military border with that area but waives any territorial claim on those lands so it can be eligible for NATO membership, arms, and protection.
New, more localized Cold War becomes permanent, as do sanctions on Russia for its de facto annexation of Ukrainian territory.
There will be no second reset, as Americans and Russians both realize it was not communism vs capitalism but rather raw power that drove the first Cold War antagonism.