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eridani

(51,907 posts)
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 12:47 AM Feb 2015

US, Ukraine and Russia: What Went Wrong?

Lots of history in this article.

http://www.commondreams.org/views/2015/02/06/us-ukraine-and-russia-what-went-wrong

The US blames Putin for all of the turmoil. According to Mearsheimer, the US is acting "like kids who never understand what they’ve done wrong." Some commentators have called Putin "a new Hitler," which Mearsheimer says such arguments are "ludicrous in the extreme": nothing that Putin has done has ever put him in the category of Hitler.

Mearsheimer says, "The Russians have made clear that Ukraine is a core strategic area." In other words, they will defend it at all costs: their response to crisis in Ukraine is similar to what the US would do if a nuclear-armed "opponent" were to try to take over Canada or Mexico.

Mearsheimer said there were three things going on in Ukraine: NATO was trying to expand, the EU (European Union) was trying to expand, and that the US was trying to "promote democracy" in Ukraine and Georgia: basically, the idea was to put the Western powers directly on the borders of Russia. And they were trying to do this by incorporating Ukraine (as well as Georgia) into NATO and the EU.

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US, Ukraine and Russia: What Went Wrong? (Original Post) eridani Feb 2015 OP
Not hard to figure that out. The neocons were over there instigating riots in order to sabrina 1 Feb 2015 #1
K & R elias49 Feb 2015 #2
I'm thinking that whomever the next president is, they will adopt a different approach dissentient Feb 2015 #3
Getting ready to be called a Putinista in 3...2...1... Xolodno Feb 2015 #4
Just FYI, the 5 billion argument has long been refuted as a bald faced lie. Tommy_Carcetti Feb 2015 #30
the irony is "the putinistas" have earned their monikers pushing his propaganda so diligently. Cha Feb 2015 #33
Is Ukraine's sovereignty more limited because Russia says so? pampango Feb 2015 #5
Sovereignty is taken, not given. bemildred Feb 2015 #6
That has a neocon, 'might makes right' ring to it that republicans would be comfortable with. pampango Feb 2015 #9
I'm saying if you are going to go to war, you better be prepared and know what you are about. bemildred Feb 2015 #11
What if the separatists started the war? I agree with you that Kiev was/is not prepared for war. pampango Feb 2015 #14
We didn't have to be involved at all, and everybody would be better off if we had not. bemildred Feb 2015 #17
I agree that if the US, EU and Russia had not gotten involved, Ukraine would be better off. pampango Feb 2015 #22
I've been saying that for a year and a half now. bemildred Feb 2015 #29
You forgot Vietnam. GP6971 Feb 2015 #26
A Ukrainian in Ukraine is 3/5 of a person. Igel Feb 2015 #7
Well said.... Adrahil Feb 2015 #16
That much spin makes me dizzy FLPanhandle Feb 2015 #8
Vassal state of Russia or vassal state of NATO (ie the West)? elias49 Feb 2015 #10
Why does Ukraine have to be a vassal state? Does Greece? pampango Feb 2015 #12
Too many people, not enough 'stuff' to go around? elias49 Feb 2015 #13
Does that apply to Greece also? How about every other poor country in the world? n/t pampango Feb 2015 #15
Sure it does. nt elias49 Feb 2015 #18
So poor countries are destined to be vassal states? Don't tell that to Cuba and Venezuela. pampango Feb 2015 #23
It's not acceptable. It's the new reality I'm afraid. nt elias49 Feb 2015 #24
If they cannot stand on their own... Adrahil Feb 2015 #19
I don't think it's surprising. elias49 Feb 2015 #20
That may be true, however.... Adrahil Feb 2015 #21
The imperialist West. You forgot the key word IMO. nt elias49 Feb 2015 #25
The destruction of what was 'The country of Ukraine' is ALL Putin the invaders fault. Sunlei Feb 2015 #27
This message was self-deleted by its author CJCRANE Feb 2015 #32
Ah, Putin is DEFENDING Ukraine by selflessly sending in Russian troops. Nye Bevan Feb 2015 #28
What went wrong? A throwback to the Cold War days was allowed back into power. randome Feb 2015 #31
No, don't you get it.. nothing is putin's fault.. "it's all the WEST's!!!!!1111" Cha Feb 2015 #34
It must be that calm, psychopathic gaze of his that allows some DUers to see into his soul. randome Feb 2015 #35
That's got to be it.. Some can see it and others just can't come up with it.. lol Cha Feb 2015 #36
I think you meant to say, Lots of psuedohistory in that opinion piece. Tommy_Carcetti Feb 2015 #37
What does it mean when US State Dept. vocally supports rioters cprise Feb 2015 #38
If you think Yanukovych and Berkut didn't become aggressive towards protestors until late Jan. 2014 Tommy_Carcetti Feb 2015 #40
He and Hillary hired a known neocon named Victoria Nuland to serve in the state department betterdemsonly Feb 2015 #39

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
1. Not hard to figure that out. The neocons were over there instigating riots in order to
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 12:54 AM
Feb 2015

set up the coup that would then allow them to install 'our guy', which they did. War is their bread and butter. The Kiev Govt is doing exactly what the neocons want.

Anyone who followed this from the beginning knows who originated the tragic war now going on in that country.

We have no business there. The EU and Russia could have worked it out, many from the EU are livid at the interference of the US as it is costing THEM. Not us.

We get nothing but propaganda here. Meantime, as happens wherever the neocons interfere, thousands of innocent people are dying. Too bad we never locked up those war criminals. The world won't be safe until all the war criminals are safely in prison.

 

dissentient

(861 posts)
3. I'm thinking that whomever the next president is, they will adopt a different approach
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 01:41 AM
Feb 2015

to Russia. Instead of "Putin = Satan and Hitler!" they will likely be more pragmatic, and relations will get better between the two countries. Because Putin will be in charge over there a long time to come, and we can't do a damn thing about it. Unless we want to be really stupid, and start Word War III that is.

Xolodno

(6,398 posts)
4. Getting ready to be called a Putinista in 3...2...1...
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 04:11 AM
Feb 2015

.......


Aside from that...good grief. It's well documented that the USA has interfered in other nations...and shit, the war in Georgia all but proved the USA was still active in former Soviet Republics...but when it comes to Ukraine...all the sudden its different. Its ok to topple a government (oh...wait, they say it wasn't toppled despite the US spending 5 Billion on "democracy advancement"...yeah and Air America was legit)..so long as they yield to "western influences". If its ok for the USA to spend 5 Bil on "democracy" in Ukraine...then I guess its perfectly ok for Russia to spend 5 Bil in Mexico on "democracy".

And then you here from the fruit loops.....

"Its ok for Putin to invade a sovereign nation?"...uh, obviously no. But nice attempt at deflection. Putin was reacting....to what HE perceived was a threat, no matter if you believe it or not, he saw it...and somebody in the intelligence agency should have saw it, that he would react accordingly. Knowing full well sanctions would come.....and we all know sanctions work great at toppling governments /sarcasm.

"Putin is a homophobic monster!!!"....yeah, and? Shoving them into a corner promotes human rights, how? The Castro regime would have probably been a footnote in history....if it weren't for the sanctions. Putin portrayed the USA as a boogey man...surprise, surprise...the USA plays the role. And guess what? They get to violate human rights even more without impunity.

"He's going to invade Lithuania, Estonia, Poland...all of Eastern Europe...blah blah". Did you ever ask your self, why would he want to do that? Propping up eastern Europe helped contribute to the Soviet Empire's demise...so why on earth would they want to do that? And if they did...how would they contend with an even more rebellious populace that wasn't subjugated by the Nazi's before (and feeling a debt of gratitude to Moscow)?

I've seen some on here gleefully state "The Evil Empire is back!!!"....and I've had to resist the urge to say "Ghost of Ronald Reagan...is that you?"

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,189 posts)
30. Just FYI, the 5 billion argument has long been refuted as a bald faced lie.
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 08:54 AM
Feb 2015
http://www.politifact.com/punditfact/statements/2014/mar/19/facebook-posts/united-states-spent-5-billion-ukraine-anti-governm/

It certainly doesn't help your arguments to keep running with that one.

And "Putin was reacting" regarding Crimea--Putin was reacting to what? There was no threat to ethnic Russians in the Crimean peninsula. The Ukrainian government was in disarray after Yanukovych fled the country and had no ability to exert pressure on Crimean Russians. In fact, it was literally less than a week from when Yanukovych had choppered out of town that unmarked Russian tanks started rolling in all over Crimea. It was a power grab by Putin, plain and simple. He knew he could easily take Crimea for Russia because he knew Ukraine was in no position whatsoever to fight back, just having undergone a major crisis.

You're not helping your argument by sticking to that one, either.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
5. Is Ukraine's sovereignty more limited because Russia says so?
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 07:58 AM
Feb 2015

Do liberals now support the idea big, powerful countries have the right to tell smaller, weaker neighbors what they can and can't do? Does Ukraine have the right to tell Moldova what it can and can't do? Do the US have the right to tell Venezuela what it can and can't do? Times have indeed changed.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
6. Sovereignty is taken, not given.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 08:34 AM
Feb 2015

Ukraine's sovereignty is limited by it's inability to defend it, from the west, or from the east. It is not a theoretical right given by some agreement, or some "leader". Right now the question is whether it is going to be carved up into smaller pieces.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
9. That has a neocon, 'might makes right' ring to it that republicans would be comfortable with.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 09:50 AM
Feb 2015

I would think that American (and Russian?) neocons would be quite happy to know that liberals believe that a small country's sovereignty is up for grabs unless they can fund a military that can stand up to larger, more powerful neighbors.

Perhaps I misunderstand your point. It seems to be an argument for increased defense spending on all sides since sovereignty is not a 'theoretical right' but one only secured by force of arms.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
11. I'm saying if you are going to go to war, you better be prepared and know what you are about.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:04 AM
Feb 2015

The argument from the beginning has been that Russia had much greater interest and commitment to its interests in Ukraine than the EU or USA or NATO do, and that therefore we would do well not to meddle, and especially not to meddle militarily. Instead we have been encouraging and supplying these violent and incompetent fuckwits in Kiev.

That does not mean I like Putin, it means I recognize that the self-absorbed nitwits in DC are over their heads in trying to deal with him. They have been so used to bullshitting their way through that they don't know what to do in a situation where that does not work.

But you go ahead, don't listen to me. We're the good guys so we get to win. That worked so well in Iraq and Afghanstan and ...

pampango

(24,692 posts)
14. What if the separatists started the war? I agree with you that Kiev was/is not prepared for war.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:22 AM
Feb 2015

They can't even stand up to a bunch of 'rebels' who are not a real army (assuming we accept that there are not Russian army 'volunteers' among them).

Did Ukraine have 'sovereignty' under Yanukovich, then lost it and can't get it back without a stronger military than Yanukovich had?

Instead we have been encouraging and supplying these violent and incompetent fuckwits in Kiev.

Has anyone been encouraging and funding the "violent and incompetent fuckwits in" Donetsk?

Is it wrong for one side to receive support but 'understandable' for the other side to benefit from it?


We're the good guys so we get to win. That worked so well in Iraq and Afghanstan and ...

Ahh, the Iraq and Afghanistan strawman - because that is what I am supporting - a foreign invasion.

No, that is what I am opposing and wonder if you do too. I am supporting the end of all foreign involvement in Ukraine. That was not exactly our policy in Iraq and Afghanistan, was it? Do you support foreign involvement in Ukraine if its military is not strong enough to prevent its sovereignty from being "taken"?

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
17. We didn't have to be involved at all, and everybody would be better off if we had not.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:26 AM
Feb 2015

You cling to your illusions of moral superiority, pie in the sky by and by. Meanwhile Ukraine is being turned into an abbatoir.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
22. I agree that if the US, EU and Russia had not gotten involved, Ukraine would be better off.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:53 AM
Feb 2015

Let the Ukrainian people decide what they want to do and whom they want to do it with. Neither side that intervenes in Ukraine has and 'moral superiority'.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
29. I've been saying that for a year and a half now.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 05:50 PM
Feb 2015

I'm sorry, I shouldn't snap at you, I get annoyed looking at this mess and knowing it could have been avoided.

Igel

(35,337 posts)
7. A Ukrainian in Ukraine is 3/5 of a person.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 09:22 AM
Feb 2015

On a good day, when it's convenient for their Fraternal Nation.

Mearsheimer basically says that in all the tussle, the former colonized people and those moved there have no say in how their betters decide their fate. And people quote him as some kind of progressive thinker, mostly because it supports what they want to say not about Russia but about their more important enemies.

As for the "most people in the Donbas are Russians" sort of rhetoric, note that in the census taken 14 years ago the highest percentage of people claiming to be "ethnic Russians" was in Luhans'k oblast', with a whopping majority of 39%. In Donets'k oblast', a bit over 38%. In some cities it was a majority--Donets'k proper, for instance--but those populations tended to assume everybody was like them. Russian majority in the capital means Russian majority in the entire province. To produce the average means that much of the territory was overwhelmingly ethnic Ukrainian.

In some cases, the territories are overwhelmingly Ukrainian speaking. (A lot of DUers have fallen for Putin's redefinition of "ethnic": If you speak the language and that's your dominant culture, that's your ethnicity. By that definition, if you're from Mexico in the US or African-American and speak English and observe mostly European holidays and eat mostly European foods, it means, apparently, you're an anglo.)

Now, due to the de facto ethnic cleansing that's occurred the DNR and LNR areas are probably more ethnic Russian than before. Always something we DUers should support. Dehumanization, armed conflict to preserve spheres of influence, and ethnic cleansing.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
16. Well said....
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:26 AM
Feb 2015

Apparently Ukraine isn't REALLY, an independent sovereign nation that gets to choose it's own fate. It can only do what Mother Russia will permit.

And it's utterly shocking to me the number of "progressives" here that support that insane line of reasoning.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
8. That much spin makes me dizzy
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 09:29 AM
Feb 2015

Someone on the left actually states that the Ukraine, an area that suffered greatly in the history of the USSR, and an independent country, isn't allowed to act as anything other than a vassal state of Russia, because....Russia says so.

Wow.

 

elias49

(4,259 posts)
10. Vassal state of Russia or vassal state of NATO (ie the West)?
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 09:56 AM
Feb 2015

Clearly Ukraine is not ready to stand alone.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
12. Why does Ukraine have to be a vassal state? Does Greece?
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:07 AM
Feb 2015

Small countries have to be vassal states?

pampango

(24,692 posts)
23. So poor countries are destined to be vassal states? Don't tell that to Cuba and Venezuela.
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:57 AM
Feb 2015

They might beg to differ.

How about poor people? Are they destined to be 'vassals' of the rich and powerful or do they have rights irrespective of their incomes? It is hard to imagine that liberals would back a policy that "the poor being vassals is acceptable."

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
19. If they cannot stand on their own...
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:28 AM
Feb 2015

... At the very least they should be able to choose their own path.

Ukraine has been under the colonial control of Russia for a long time. It's not surprising that they might naturally trend away from their former masters.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
21. That may be true, however....
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 10:40 AM
Feb 2015

The majority of Ukrainians don't identify as Russians. They identify as Ukrainian, and a away of their history as imperial subjects. In fact, ethnic Russians are less than 20% of the population in Ukraine, most being concentrated in the east, naturally.

It is not at all surprising that as a whole,me Ukraine would resist imperialist bullying from it's former imperial master.

What IS surprising to me, is the number of people here who support Russian imperialism in the name of poking the eye of the West.

Response to Sunlei (Reply #27)

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
31. What went wrong? A throwback to the Cold War days was allowed back into power.
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 09:21 AM
Feb 2015

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Treat your body like a machine. Your mind like a castle.[/center][/font][hr]

Cha

(297,503 posts)
34. No, don't you get it.. nothing is putin's fault.. "it's all the WEST's!!!!!1111"
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 09:53 AM
Feb 2015

I sincerely wish they could live in their beloved Russia under putin.. they think he's so dandy.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
35. It must be that calm, psychopathic gaze of his that allows some DUers to see into his soul.
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 09:57 AM
Feb 2015

[hr][font color="blue"][center]A ton of bricks, a ton of feathers, it's still gonna hurt.[/center][/font][hr]

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,189 posts)
37. I think you meant to say, Lots of psuedohistory in that opinion piece.
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 10:13 AM
Feb 2015

Starting with:

(On February 22, 2014, there was a coup in Kiev, Ukraine, where protestors—which the support of the US Government—overthrew the democratically elected government of Viktor Yanukovych.)


And continuing with:

Accordingly, they "took Crimea," although they had 25,000 troops stationed there under a long-term lease that allowed the Russian Black Sea Fleet to harbor at Sevastopol; obviously, they didn’t want to risk that lease being terminated, causing them to loose that naval base.


And lots in between and afterwards as well.

cprise

(8,445 posts)
38. What does it mean when US State Dept. vocally supports rioters
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 11:20 AM
Feb 2015

in a foreign country who are burning policemen and the surroundings as they call for the removal of a democratically elected President? Is that 'fomenting revolution'? Violent revolution?

...before even a shot was fired at the "protesters"? I do suggest watching those videos.

The result of the richest and most powerful country in the world approving of the above "protests": Armed thugs storming government buildings calling for the execution of Yanukovich.


And now, a word from US President Obama:
"Yanukovich then fleeing after we brokered a deal to transition power in Ukraine." (@ 1:10)


Tommy_Carcetti

(43,189 posts)
40. If you think Yanukovych and Berkut didn't become aggressive towards protestors until late Jan. 2014
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 04:11 PM
Feb 2015

You'd be seriously mistaken.

Yanukovych began his bloody crackdown on protesters from almost the very get-go. What you saw in January and February 2014 was the result, not the cause.

Protests began around November 21, 2013 and were for the most part very peaceable. Things escalated on November 30, 2013:

On the night of 30 November 2013 at 04:00, armed with batons, stun grenades, and tear gas, Berkut special police units attacked and dispersed all protesters from Maidan Nezalezhnosti while suppressing mobile phone communications.[31][32] The police attacked not only the protesters (most of whom didn't or failed to put up resistance) but also other civilians in the vicinity of Maidan Nezalezhnosti, when the Berkut forces chased unarmed people several hundreds of meters and continued to beat them with batons and feet.[33] Initially, 35 people were injured as a result of the militia raid, including a Reuters cameraman and a photographer.[34][35] Other protesters were detained.[32] Most of protesters were students.[35] At 09:20 Berkut besieged the St. Michael's Golden-Domed Monastery where approximately 50 Euromaidan activists, including the injured, found sanctuary.[32][36] Police spokeswoman Olha Bilyk justified the police raid by saying that protesters were interfering with preparations to decorate the square for the Christmas and New Year's holidays, and accused them of throwing stones and burning logs.[37] Minister of Internal Affairs Vitaliy Zakharchenko later apologized and claimed "riot police abused their power" and promised a thorough investigation.[38] Via state television he added "if there are calls for mass disturbances, then we will react to this harshly".[38]

In an official statement, Ukrainian Deputy Prosecutor General Anatoliy Pryshko confirmed that 79 people were injured during the raid, including 6 students, 4 reporters, and 2 foreigners; 10 people were hospitalized. In addition, 7 policemen were also injured


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_Euromaidan#21.E2.80.9329_November_2013

Things deteriorated from that point on, with laws being passed by the Yanukovych government attempting to squelch public protest. However, it bears noting that even at the height of the protests in January and February where you might have seen several hundred protesters clashing with Berkut police, behind them there would be tens of thousands more protesters who were doing nothing more than giving speechings, waiving flags, singing songs, etc. In other words, perfectly peaceful protests.

So I think you are just a tad mistaken as to your characterization of events there, buddy.

As to the President's comments, they are essentially accurate. During the very height of Maidan, the EU--in alliance with the US--had brokered a deal where Yanukovych would remain in power for the time being but new presidential elections would be held before the end of the year. This happened February 21, 2014. Unbenownst to most everyone, however, Yanukovych had already been packing up his belongings at his mansion for over two days at that point. He left very early the following morning. So he had no intention of sticking around for new elections. His decision to leave had already been made.
 

betterdemsonly

(1,967 posts)
39. He and Hillary hired a known neocon named Victoria Nuland to serve in the state department
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 01:05 PM
Feb 2015

not to mention all the neocons known as "liberal interventionists," such as Powers and Rice.

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