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Hillary and the DU bubble. (Original Post) trumad Mar 2015 OP
Am I going to continue to give all my money and energy at a local level and tell ScreamingMeemie Mar 2015 #1
Like I said...teh bubble. trumad Mar 2015 #5
A bullshit bubble...like I said. ScreamingMeemie Mar 2015 #12
LOL trumad Mar 2015 #13
Probably not in the time I have left, but I'll hope. ScreamingMeemie Mar 2015 #15
Be nice. The correct term is .... PassingFair Mar 2015 #70
Nothing is inevitable, but it sure looks like... TreasonousBastard Mar 2015 #2
death and taxes... trumad Mar 2015 #3
I think we should use "likely" or "probable" rather than "inevitable." Agnosticsherbet Mar 2015 #4
Except Hill's nomination. trumad Mar 2015 #6
I'll wait for the anouncemnt in late April or May of next year Agnosticsherbet Mar 2015 #9
I think that is a good suggestion. Inevitable gives me no choice. That should not happen in a jwirr Mar 2015 #37
Inevitbale says nothing in the next year can possibly change. Agnosticsherbet Mar 2015 #38
"inevitable" truebluegreen Mar 2015 #7
2007 is calling LittleBlue Mar 2015 #8
Perhaps you are right. trumad Mar 2015 #11
Care to make a wager? LittleBlue Mar 2015 #16
Heh. Is that like 'heads I win, tails you lose'? Sheldon Cooper Mar 2015 #17
I thought it was obvious, that is entirely the point. LittleBlue Mar 2015 #20
And yet you still brought nothing to the table. Sheldon Cooper Mar 2015 #22
I am accepting the idea that she is inevitable LittleBlue Mar 2015 #25
Good point. Not quite as inevitable as the sun rising tomorrow. There's a tiny chance it will DanTex Mar 2015 #33
And you? trumad Mar 2015 #44
Me wager against the inevitable? LittleBlue Mar 2015 #46
I could be wrong---so could you. trumad Mar 2015 #53
You've been running around this thread claiming she's inevitable LittleBlue Mar 2015 #55
See...I knew you'd chicken out.... trumad Mar 2015 #59
How am I chickening out? LittleBlue Mar 2015 #61
you're saying she's inevitable? trumad Mar 2015 #68
This time 8 years ago, Hillary's lead over Obama in polls was about 12% muriel_volestrangler Mar 2015 #27
In 8 months, 8 years ago, her lead grew to 32%. LittleBlue Mar 2015 #30
You appear to be cherry-picking an outlying poll muriel_volestrangler Mar 2015 #31
Nope LittleBlue Mar 2015 #35
Against Obama.. trumad Mar 2015 #42
And in between those 6, we had 12 polls with leads from 14 to 28% muriel_volestrangler Mar 2015 #50
Just like 2008, Hillary is inevitable Fumesucker Mar 2015 #10
Just like 2008, but without a single Obama running. Orsino Mar 2015 #67
The bubble where members are self-appointed Capt. Obvious Mar 2015 #14
Is someone scared? Fuck yeah! Nuff said. n/t Dawgs Mar 2015 #18
Only in the Bubble. trumad Mar 2015 #19
No one who is as bad as she is on the stump can be "inevitable" DefenseLawyer Mar 2015 #21
Yes I was quite stunned by many things about her last campaign. nt DebJ Mar 2015 #76
Heh! ismnotwasm Mar 2015 #23
Nice post, narwhal! KamaAina Mar 2015 #24
She's inevitable in the DU bubble. Renew Deal Mar 2015 #26
So what you're saying is that DU is apparently way smarter than the real world? Savannahmann Mar 2015 #28
No trumad Mar 2015 #32
I just remind myself the polling in the real world is very different from du polls. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #29
I'm hoping for a robust primary season among the Democrats. It'd be good for all of us. Hekate Mar 2015 #34
There are lies, damned lies, and statistics. Mark Twain Tierra_y_Libertad Mar 2015 #36
If she is inevitable - I have a suggestion. During the primary season the Democratic Party should jwirr Mar 2015 #39
+1 trumad Mar 2015 #40
Agreed! n/t Stellar Mar 2015 #58
Great idea FLPanhandle Mar 2015 #69
If you claim in the real world sadoldgirl Mar 2015 #41
yeah...with a clown car full of candidates. trumad Mar 2015 #43
If it will be Bush vs. Clinton sadoldgirl Mar 2015 #45
Can you say? 99Forever Mar 2015 #47
Me thinks you are speaking to early for such an assumption... trumad Mar 2015 #52
Methinks... 99Forever Mar 2015 #62
ok.... trumad Mar 2015 #66
Do you want to see her prosecuted? hrmjustin Mar 2015 #63
Conjecture bullshit much? 99Forever Mar 2015 #71
Do you think she broke the law? if so do you think she should be prosecuted? hrmjustin Mar 2015 #72
I'll pass on the stinkbait. 99Forever Mar 2015 #73
Purge. I give you my word I have no desire to take part in a purge of the party. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #74
I trust no one from the HRC camp. 99Forever Mar 2015 #78
Good bye! hrmjustin Mar 2015 #80
No one and nothing is inevitable BainsBane Mar 2015 #48
Lol, would you support hil NO MATTER WHAT??! Fuck yeah! nt Logical Mar 2015 #49
Hillary. Way, way way more than inevitable than in 2008. pa28 Mar 2015 #51
Wait. I misread. I though you said MineralMan Mar 2015 #54
If HRC is inevitable, then me not voting at all is inevitable. politicman Mar 2015 #56
Who are you calling shills? hrmjustin Mar 2015 #75
Short memory? nichomachus Mar 2015 #57
So who is the new Obama? trumad Mar 2015 #60
The Hillary Hair on Fire brigade is more like it. Rex Mar 2015 #64
President Kucinich disagrees with you. zappaman Mar 2015 #65
My pet poodle has a better chance than D-Man. trumad Mar 2015 #77
So why bother with primaries or elections? alarimer Mar 2015 #79

ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
1. Am I going to continue to give all my money and energy at a local level and tell
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:01 PM
Mar 2015

the national Dems to bite me? Fuck yeah? The football team only gets my vote, and that's it. No wallet open for them, and my feet will work for local Houston candidates and grassroots campaigns until something changes.

ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
12. A bullshit bubble...like I said.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:08 PM
Mar 2015

Although, I retain hope that America collectively takes its head out of its ass.

ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
15. Probably not in the time I have left, but I'll hope.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:12 PM
Mar 2015

I can't stand these candidates anymore. Ms. Clinton lost me with the champagne toast during the 2004 convention.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
4. I think we should use "likely" or "probable" rather than "inevitable."
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:04 PM
Mar 2015
in·ev·i·ta·ble /inˈevidəb(ə l/
adjective
adjective: inevitable

1. certain to happen; unavoidable.
"war was inevitable"

noun

noun: inevitable

1. a situation that is unavoidable.


Nothing in life is inevitable

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
9. I'll wait for the anouncemnt in late April or May of next year
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:07 PM
Mar 2015

Until then, I think it is both probable and likely.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
37. I think that is a good suggestion. Inevitable gives me no choice. That should not happen in a
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:09 PM
Mar 2015

political party.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
38. Inevitbale says nothing in the next year can possibly change.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:16 PM
Mar 2015

The word is inaccurate.

I think Clinton is the probable nominee in 2016. I think she is very likely to be both the nominee and the next President.

No matter how much doom and drek we see here at DU, every poll shoes her to be popular among Democrats and detested and feared by Republicans.

But we are just under a year form the first vote in the primary. I'd rather see what shakes out between now and then.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
16. Care to make a wager?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:19 PM
Mar 2015

If she loses, you post an apology thread and thereafter cease posting for the remainder of the election. Deal?

Sheldon Cooper

(3,724 posts)
17. Heh. Is that like 'heads I win, tails you lose'?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:25 PM
Mar 2015

What will you do if you're wrong? Apologize and thereafter cease posting throughout the remainder of the election?

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
20. I thought it was obvious, that is entirely the point.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:33 PM
Mar 2015

I will be wrong if she is inevitable. It's like the sun rising tomorrow. No one would wager against it, and no one who believes in the inevitable should have a problem wagering for it.

Hillary's nomination is, after all, inevitable. Logically if you are unwilling to make this wager, you don't truly believe in her inevitability, and therfore the inevitable claim must be a lie.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
25. I am accepting the idea that she is inevitable
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:41 PM
Mar 2015

My God, how can you not see my point?

I will only make wagers in favor of the inevitable, not against it. So yes, I wager my life that the sun will rise tomorrow, and that the earth will still rotate around it. Even though the cost is high, I will win, so I will never lose my wager.

Do you really believe in Hillary's inevitability, or is it just a lie? If you believe, wager on something you can't lose.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
33. Good point. Not quite as inevitable as the sun rising tomorrow. There's a tiny chance it will
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:58 PM
Mar 2015

be someone else.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
46. Me wager against the inevitable?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:39 PM
Mar 2015

How foolish. If you really believe she's inevitable, surely you wouldn't refuse.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
53. I could be wrong---so could you.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:24 PM
Mar 2015

What---no skin in the game?

How about this...

If she does not get the nomination I'll never post on DU again... How about you---you want to make that same wager?

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
55. You've been running around this thread claiming she's inevitable
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:41 PM
Mar 2015

Your exact words: "death and taxes"

Now you admit that she isn't. And you want me to take even odds against the inevitable. When it's time to put something on the table to match your apparent certainty, suddenly you aren't so confident. Interesting

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
61. How am I chickening out?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 06:19 PM
Mar 2015

I concede your point that she might be inevitable. The odds are heavily in her favor. Why would I wager against a certainty?

What doesn't make sense is why you won't put your money where your mouth is. You are making the assertion that she is inevitable, not me. Why would you need me to wager anything if you really believed that?

I think this proves you're lying. You doubt, else you'd wager. So is this thread trolling or what? What was the purpose of your thread now that you admit you don't really believe Hillary is inevitable?

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
68. you're saying she's inevitable?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 08:09 PM
Mar 2015

Ok...let's do it together then.

Let's both make the wager.

Wait a minute..I'm not your fucking monkey. ..

This wager is your terms...and duck that.

Skin in the game....come on..don't be chicken.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
30. In 8 months, 8 years ago, her lead grew to 32%.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:46 PM
Mar 2015

Amd that was when Obama, unlike Biden, actually declared. Oops!

muriel_volestrangler

(101,360 posts)
31. You appear to be cherry-picking an outlying poll
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:55 PM
Mar 2015

I could have said her lead over Obama was 3%, 8 years ago. But I recognised that was a bit unusual. You have searched for the most extreme lead you could find in the entire process, and quoted that. Well done! In just 2 polls before that election did Hillary get above 50% - one in Sept 2007 (53%), and one in May 2008 (51% - by that time, Obama has broken 50% several times). She hasn't got below 50% once in this cycle.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
35. Nope
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:05 PM
Mar 2015

SEPTEMBER -OCTOBER 2007

CNN, LA Times, Bloomberg, USA Today, ABC/WaPo, and Marist all had Clinton 29-33 points.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html#polls

She blew one of the greatest statistical advantages in American political history.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,360 posts)
50. And in between those 6, we had 12 polls with leads from 14 to 28%
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:11 PM
Mar 2015

Yes, you're cherry-picking. You've picked one period, and ignored 2/3rds of the polls during that time.

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
67. Just like 2008, but without a single Obama running.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 07:14 PM
Mar 2015

I'm not sure how she could screw this pooch, but I would prefer a good horse-race. Competition is healthy.

Capt. Obvious

(9,002 posts)
14. The bubble where members are self-appointed
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:09 PM
Mar 2015

lawyers parsing our nation's laws and declaring this story has already blown over?

Yeah, that's a bubble.

 

DefenseLawyer

(11,101 posts)
21. No one who is as bad as she is on the stump can be "inevitable"
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:33 PM
Mar 2015

I think she would be fine as President, but as a campaigner she's less than stellar.

Renew Deal

(81,870 posts)
26. She's inevitable in the DU bubble.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:42 PM
Mar 2015

Some people don't admit it, but they know it. That's why there are so many attacks.

 

Savannahmann

(3,891 posts)
28. So what you're saying is that DU is apparently way smarter than the real world?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 03:44 PM
Mar 2015

Wow. That's some endorsement. So when I predict that nominating Hillary will result in a Republican Win, much as I and others here said that the Senate was in Danger months before the pundits, does that mean I'm really smart and should get paid for my opinions?

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
39. If she is inevitable - I have a suggestion. During the primary season the Democratic Party should
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:21 PM
Mar 2015

host a series of "debates" that will allow Hillary to have discussions with others including Bernie and Elizabeth so that we can get some of our issues out into the air. This last week CPAC allowed the Rs to do just that. They were in the news continually. We need exposure like that minus the crazy.

Maybe we could call them platform discussions. Most of the people of this country have little or nothing to say about writing the platform - why not allow them exposure to that aspect of our campaigns? I am from a caucus state and one of the great things about a caucus is that we see the platform and can vote on it in the caucus.

sadoldgirl

(3,431 posts)
41. If you claim in the real world
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:23 PM
Mar 2015

I wonder whether you have forgotten that in these
US there are a lot of Repugs with a huge megaphone,
and a few people with billions of dollars.

sadoldgirl

(3,431 posts)
45. If it will be Bush vs. Clinton
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:30 PM
Mar 2015

you may be miscalculating. For many people
8 years of a Democratic WH is asking for change.

Also there is a question of same old, which may
reduce the interest in the election.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
47. Can you say?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 04:40 PM
Mar 2015

Using a personal email account for official government business is illegal?



I know you can.


Inevitable that.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
52. Me thinks you are speaking to early for such an assumption...
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:20 PM
Mar 2015

looks like the story is already falling apart.

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
74. Purge. I give you my word I have no desire to take part in a purge of the party.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 11:57 PM
Mar 2015

I think debate is good. I took your post to to mean you thought she broke the law.

MineralMan

(146,327 posts)
54. Wait. I misread. I though you said
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:40 PM
Mar 2015

Hillary and Hubbell as in Webb. That will probably be the next bullshit rumor thing folks will be bringing up.

Only the negative about Hillary Cllinton. Never the positive. That's the rule of the day.

 

politicman

(710 posts)
56. If HRC is inevitable, then me not voting at all is inevitable.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:47 PM
Mar 2015

You third-way sell-outs wanna play that game, we can play just as hard.

Don't start crying when your corporate candidate loses because people like me stay home on election day as you have done in the past.

If you want an shill for corporate America, then own the results of a loss when it happens, understand.

nichomachus

(12,754 posts)
57. Short memory?
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 05:48 PM
Mar 2015

Hillary was "inevitable" throughout all of 2007. She led every poll.

Then in January of 2008, something happened. Some guy named Orama, Olama, Ogama -- can't remember -- took the lead and never looked back. That was the end of Hillary.

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