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applegrove

(118,855 posts)
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 10:25 PM Mar 2015

How Republicans Can Win in 2016

How Republicans Can Win in 2016

by Taegan Goddard at the Political Wire

http://politicalwire.com/2015/03/03/how-republicans-can-win-in-2016/

"SNIP...................



A must-read: 2016 and Beyond: How Republicans Can Elect a President in the New America by Whit Ayres.

“If the 2016 Republican nominee wins the same percentage of the white vote that Mitt Romney won in 2012 — 59 percent — then he or she will need to win 30 percent of the non-white vote to be elected. That is far greater than the 17 percent of the non-white vote that Romney achieved in 2012, or the 19 percent John McCain won in 2008, and better even than the 26 percent of the non-white vote that George W. Bush won his 2004 reelection campaign.”

“On the other hand, if the 2016 Republican nominee wins no more of the non-white vote than Romney’s 17 percent, he or she will need to win 65 percent of the white vote to win. That is a level of white vote achieved by only one Republican nominee in the past forty years: Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide reelection sweep in 1984, when he won 66 percent of the white vote… Republicans can complain about these trends, wring their hands over them, and get heartburn as a result. What they can’t do is change them.”



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How Republicans Can Win in 2016 (Original Post) applegrove Mar 2015 OP
Good luck with that! LOL applegrove Mar 2015 #1
Which is why Republicans put so much work into making it harder for non-whites to vote. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Mar 2015 #2
Yes, turnout is key for us. amandabeech Mar 2015 #3
They MIGHT do something Jamaal510 Mar 2015 #4

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
2. Which is why Republicans put so much work into making it harder for non-whites to vote.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 10:36 PM
Mar 2015

Why they move polling places, cut polling hours, require voter IDs that are hard to get, find ways to purge voting lists, and on and on and on. They know those numbers as well as any Dem, which is why they do everything they can to simply prevent minorities from ever getting to vote.

 

amandabeech

(9,893 posts)
3. Yes, turnout is key for us.
Tue Mar 3, 2015, 10:42 PM
Mar 2015

But don't blame all of the problem on Republican shenanigans.

We are responsible for getting out our own vote. We didn't do it in November, and we did not do well.

Obama was such a draw in 2008, but where did out voters go in 2010, which was THE key election for redistricting?

We did better in 2012 with Obama, but then hardly anyone showed up in 2014!

We must do well with our own GOTV in 2016. Let's hope whoever is the candidate is a real draw.

Jamaal510

(10,893 posts)
4. They MIGHT do something
Wed Mar 4, 2015, 12:05 AM
Mar 2015

to try to lure Hispanic and Asian voters (with an extra emphasis on "might&quot , but I don't expect them to do squat for the Black community in order to win more of our support. I think they've pretty much written us off over the years and realized that most of us don't like their backwards economic agenda. There's also the matter of how they've treated the first Black president during the past 7 years, and how their message summed up is "the liberals want the government to take your money and give it to those people, but we can stop them."

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