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One of the 99

(2,280 posts)
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 09:37 AM Mar 2015

NBC/WSJ Poll: "Extraordinary" Democratic support for Hillary Clinton

“Extraordinary” Democratic support for Hillary Clinton

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton has near-universal support from Democrats.

According to the poll – most of which was conducted in the midst of the controversy over her use of private emails – 86% of Democrats say they could see themselves supporting Clinton, versus 13% who couldn’t (+73). That’s greater than support for Sen. Elizabeth Warren (+34) and Vice President Joe Biden (+14).

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/nbc-wsj-poll-nearly-60-looking-change-16-will-they-n320231
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NBC/WSJ Poll: "Extraordinary" Democratic support for Hillary Clinton (Original Post) One of the 99 Mar 2015 OP
Extraordinary support for an extraordinary Democrat./NT DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #1
Stories like this remind one of how unrepresentative DU is of Democrats in general. Nye Bevan Mar 2015 #2
Actually, the number for Warren is quite low. NYC Liberal Mar 2015 #11
I wouldn't have even assumed that 51% of Democrats know who Warren is (nt) Nye Bevan Mar 2015 #14
That’s true. NYC Liberal Mar 2015 #16
I like your approach. I am looking forward to the primaries (nt) Nye Bevan Mar 2015 #18
I am not sure what that is supposed to prove hfojvt Mar 2015 #20
Yup. Agschmid Mar 2015 #28
What other Dem is likely to run? newfie11 Mar 2015 #3
Lozo had more style with these threads Capt. Obvious Mar 2015 #4
Wasn't he more of a Nader guy? (nt) Nye Bevan Mar 2015 #6
No. He loathed him./NT DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #7
well if that isn't hfojvt Mar 2015 #21
and Library Girl had more panache with criticism of Democrats. And? nt stevenleser Mar 2015 #29
That's because most Democrats are too busy making a living to appoint themselves ... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #5
Mile wide; inch deep. earthside Mar 2015 #8
Gene McCarthy lost the nomination and before Bobby Kennedy was assassinated he had become his pinata. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #9
Oh, almost forgot, Hillary worked for McCarthy's campaign Capt. Obvious Mar 2015 #12
Oh, at least she didn't follow his lead and endorse Ronald Reagan in 1980./NT DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #15
There is no "sullenness among Democrats”. Maybe you mean “DU”, but DU does not represent Democrats NYC Liberal Mar 2015 #13
I'm trying to think of an analogy but I'm drawing blanks DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #19
by which you mean hfojvt Mar 2015 #24
What a country. You can rise from the working and middle class to become monarchs in a generation. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #25
that's not the way I remember it hfojvt Mar 2015 #22
"that's not the way I remember it View profile a 17 point lead? Really..." DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #30
"came out of the convention" hfojvt Mar 2015 #38
I never said it wasn't an aberration. I just was commenting that it existed. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #39
Even 'real world' Democrats. earthside Mar 2015 #23
Kick & recommended. William769 Mar 2015 #10
Movie star politics. L0oniX Mar 2015 #17
Glad to hear this. I fully expect the party to unite behind her if she is the nominiee. hrmjustin Mar 2015 #26
If Warren announced she was running, those numbers would invert themselves n/t brentspeak Mar 2015 #27
"A dream is a wish the heart makes." DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #31
Is this trolling? n/t brentspeak Mar 2015 #33
Not a Cinderella fan, ay. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2015 #34
Good. Keep posting this stuff.... vi5 Mar 2015 #32
Looking forward to the primaries. Bradical79 Mar 2015 #35
A poll of 1000 people is not representative of "democrats" Cosmic Kitten Mar 2015 #36
STOP PUSHING HER DOWN OUR THROATS!!1 Metric System Mar 2015 #37

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
2. Stories like this remind one of how unrepresentative DU is of Democrats in general.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 09:45 AM
Mar 2015

Still, I must say I'm quite impressed at the 34% for Liz Warren. That's a big chunk of support for someone with much less name recognition than Clinton and who has repeatedly said she won't run. If I was Warren I would find this poll..... tantalizing, to say the least.

NYC Liberal

(20,136 posts)
11. Actually, the number for Warren is quite low.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:39 AM
Mar 2015

For Warren, was actually 51%–17% (the 34% is the differential). But 51% is low if you consider the question of the poll, which was “Could you see yourself supporting this candidate?” Only 51% of Democrats can even see themselves supporting Warren.

But yes, DU is a very small niche, even among liberals. Which is fine — as long as it’s understood. The problem is some people think 90% of the country are “secretly” über liberals.

NYC Liberal

(20,136 posts)
16. That’s true.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:47 AM
Mar 2015

Well, I’m happy to vote for Warren if she gets the nomination. I support Hillary but I will vote for our nominee either way.

hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
20. I am not sure what that is supposed to prove
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:59 AM
Mar 2015

Shortly after 911, George W. Bush had approval ratings of 90%.

Some on DU have been proud to declare that they were part of the 10%.

Is that a good thing, or a bad thing? Oh no, DU is unrepresentative of the country in general.

Of course you are not talking about ALL of DU. Since perhaps 30% of DUers also support the Dauphine. Only those of us in opposition are supposed to now wear the scarlet U.

newfie11

(8,159 posts)
3. What other Dem is likely to run?
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 09:46 AM
Mar 2015

I suspect Liz Warren would be much higher but she's made it very plain she's NOT running.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
5. That's because most Democrats are too busy making a living to appoint themselves ...
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 09:47 AM
Mar 2015

That's because most Democrats are too busy making a living to appoint themselves ersatz philosopher kings and queens.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
8. Mile wide; inch deep.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:15 AM
Mar 2015

Big deal.

Of course, the 'support' appears extraordinary. 'Old Hill' is the only Democratic Party 2016 potential candidate the mainstream media has been blabbering about two or three years already.

But the weariness, the sullenness among Democrats over even this relatively minor email story shows just how unenthusiastic a lot of Democrats are about a Hillary nomination.

Just watch.

It will take only a gaffe, a stumble, a bad performance and the Hillary Clinton candidacy will fade fast.
Democrats and most Americans are really ready for change, for progress, for a fresh face.
Once the 'inevitability' sheen is off Clinton, the fall will be fast.
She may not even make it as a serious contender to 2016; if she does because of the big money, then I think she'll be an official "has been" by the third primary.

Keep your eye on O'Malley and Sanders -- the Gene McCarthy's of this cycle.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
9. Gene McCarthy lost the nomination and before Bobby Kennedy was assassinated he had become his pinata.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:24 AM
Mar 2015

Hillary Clinton has deep support among working class African Americans, Latinos, and whites and not so called intellectuals who have appointed themselves philosopher kings and queens.


Oh, almost forgot, Eugene McCarthy endorsed Ronald Reagan in 1980.


NYC Liberal

(20,136 posts)
13. There is no "sullenness among Democrats”. Maybe you mean “DU”, but DU does not represent Democrats
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:44 AM
Mar 2015

at large.

It will take only a gaffe, a stumble, a bad performance and the Hillary Clinton candidacy will fade fast.


That applies to every candidate. Dukakis had a 17-point lead over Bush in a few months before the election in 1988. It’s politics; everyone knows things can change very quickly.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
19. I'm trying to think of an analogy but I'm drawing blanks
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 10:51 AM
Mar 2015

Democratic Underground is to the Democratic party as ________________- is to _______________ .

hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
24. by which you mean
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:13 AM
Mar 2015

People who oppose the Dauphine are to the Democratic Party as _______ is to _________.

This is one of the things I hated about the Dauphine in 2007, a good part of her campaign was all about "jump on the bandwagon, everybody's doing it".

The Dauphine is 44.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
25. What a country. You can rise from the working and middle class to become monarchs in a generation.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:20 AM
Mar 2015

And some people have the temerity to say upward mobility in the Unites States of America is dead.


hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
22. that's not the way I remember it
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:09 AM
Mar 2015

a 17 point lead? Really?

As I remember it, he was always losing. For example, the SNL debate skit where they had Bush fumbling around trying to make a statement about his plans, and the Dukakis guy says "I can't believe I am losing to this guy".

These days people are pretty set, I don't see things changing that much, that quickly.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
30. "that's not the way I remember it View profile a 17 point lead? Really..."
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:27 AM
Mar 2015

Res ipsa loquitur:

By the summer of 1988, after nearly eight years of Ronald Reagan, voters seemed ready for a change. Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis came out of the Democratic Convention with a 17-point lead over Vice President George Bush. But a poorly run Dukakis campaign and a series of highly effective attacks by the Bush team—most notably the famous “Tank Ride” ad—kept Republicans in the White House. Above: President Ronald Reagan endorses Vice President George Bush’s presidential run on May 12, 1988. Reagan waited to endorse Bush until the outcome of the Republican primary had been decided, and his statement was brief and tepid. At one point he mispronounced Bush’s name, calling him “George Bosh.”


http://www.politico.com/magazine/gallery/2013/11/how-bush-beat-dukakis/001418-020013.html#.VP8NBPnF_Xo

hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
38. "came out of the convention"
Wed Mar 11, 2015, 11:24 AM
Mar 2015

so really just an outlier from the convention.

Which was erased when Republicans held their own convention a month later. The polls returned to their pre-convention results http://www.gallup.com/poll/110548/gallup-presidential-election-trialheat-trends-19362004.aspx

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
39. I never said it wasn't an aberration. I just was commenting that it existed.
Wed Mar 11, 2015, 11:44 AM
Mar 2015

George Herbert Walker Bush essentially ran for Reagan's third term and won.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
23. Even 'real world' Democrats.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:10 AM
Mar 2015

I'm not a multiple tens of thousands DU commenter.

I talk to lots of regular folks in regular life.

In Colorado anyway, I'm not detecting the devotion for Clinton.

Indeed, I do sense a sullenness among nominal Democrats and left-leaning unaffiliateds over the 'inevitable' Hillary.

Furthermore, some candidates do weather setbacks better than others -- Bill Clinton, himself, was such a candidate. And Hill is no Bill.

And someone is missing the point about Gene McCarthy -- he lost to LBJ in New Hampshire in 1968; but, he demonstrated the shift in the Democratic Party that caused Lyndon to decide not to run for re-election. One of these grassroots, populist challengers may very well show that old Hill has feet of clay. Once the 'inevitability' is gone ... watch what happens.

It could finally get real exciting in the Democratic Party and enthusiasm might return.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
34. Not a Cinderella fan, ay.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:47 AM
Mar 2015

I will elaborate, this time...When I see a thread where someone touts a candidate of his or her choice I stay out. The whole " you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all " thing.

 

vi5

(13,305 posts)
32. Good. Keep posting this stuff....
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:37 AM
Mar 2015

I'm already not voting for her, but seeing all these articles about how strong she's running and how she'll trounce all challengers, Primary or GE convinces me that she doesn't need my vote or my money or my legwork anyway.

Good for her. She gets to destroy the competition and I don't have to keep doing the whole lesser of two evils voting.

 

Bradical79

(4,490 posts)
35. Looking forward to the primaries.
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 11:55 AM
Mar 2015

I also don't think us who are wary of Clinton will have much of an affect if she does win the primaries. I think plenty like me are aware of how the system works and are not suicidal enough to go for a complete GoP takeover. Seems like every week the Republicans do something to ensure I'll support the Democratic candidate regardless of who wins. It'd be nice if more Hillary supporters were willing to actually talk about issues though rather than rely entirely on playing up that fear of the GoP. The lesser of two evils strategy rarely helps.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
36. A poll of 1000 people is not representative of "democrats"
Tue Mar 10, 2015, 02:46 PM
Mar 2015

The demographics alone are not representative
of the general public.

It appears 262 of those surveyed are democrats?
52% women
72% white
45% age 55 or over
36% household income over $75,000
40% 4-year degree or higher
4% unemployedlooking for work

MOST SHOCKING: Q.11
55% favor Someone who supports using American
combat troops to fight ISIS


Q25 ...I would like you to tell me how well each one
represents the values of the middle class--
very well, fairly well, just somewhat well, or not very well.

Hillary Clinton
March 2015 ..very well-18, fairly well-15, just somewhat well-27 not very well-36


Overall, it's a mixed bag.
Nothing whatsoever to "rally" around.
In fact, it show more liabilities that the OP suggests.

http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/15110_nbc-wsj_march_poll_3-9-15_release.pdf

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