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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPPP Poll-Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally
Raleigh, N.C. PPP's national Republican poll for May continues to find Scott Walker
leading the field, but it's tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two
consecutive surveys now. Walker's at 18% to 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben
Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, 5%
for Chris Christie, and 2% for Rick Perry.
Two candidates have the clear momentum in the six weeks since we did our last national
Republican poll: Marco Rubio and Mike Huckabee. In addition to being second place
overall, Rubio is the most frequently named second choice of GOP voters at 15%. The
28% of Republicans who name him as either their first or second choice matches Walker
for the top of the heap. His 13% represents a 7 point gain from his 6% standing in late
March. Huckabee's gained 6 points from the last national poll we did. His 58%
favorability rating is the highest of the GOP field and his net +34 rating at 58/24 is tied
with Rubio's at 56/22 to make him the most popular candidate.
Two other candidates clearly have their support headed in the wrong direction: Jeb Bush
and Ted Cruz. Bush had been in 2nd at 17% and has now dropped to 5th at 11%. He
continues to really struggle with voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative.' Just
5% support him for the nomination and his favorability with them is under water at
35/44.
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 63% to 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6%
for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee, and 2% for Martin O'Malley. Clinton's over 60%
with liberals, moderates, women, whites, African Americans, and seniors and is at least
over 50% with men, Hispanics, and young voters.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_51315.pdf
BeyondGeography
(39,382 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)I am okay with running against Walker...He's Romney without the Ivy League pedigree and the Hollywood good looks.
BeyondGeography
(39,382 posts)Country's in a weird mood. As President, Romney would have been less destructive.
I don't think he'll make it though. Jeb will wear those low conservative numbers like a badge of honor. He'll poll better against Hillary as a result and that will be it for Scottie. Jeb/Rubio looks like the race to me, which could end up being the ticket.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)Jeb/Rubio can't be on the same ticket because Electoral College Electors can't vote for a pres and vice pres from the same state.
Also, Walker doesn't address the Republicans biggest problem; people of color just aren't into them...I believe the well of disaffected white voters they can tap is dry.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)The rule is that each elector must vote for at least one person not from his or her own state. So almost all the electors around the country could vote for a Bush/Rubio ticket. It's only the Florida electors who would have to name someone else for either President or VP.
It's at least remotely conceivable that a major party might run two candidates from a small state. If a Democratic ticket of Lincoln Chafee and Sheldon Whitehouse picked up at least 268 electoral votes outside Rhode Island, they'd be OK; two of Rhode Island's four electors vote for Chafee for President, the other two vote for Whitehouse for VP, and then Michelle Obama gets two votes for each office. The problem would arise only if the Democratic ticket got precisely 266 or 267 electoral votes outside Rhode Island.
With Florida packing 29 electoral votes, though, that just wouldn't happen.
The Bush/Rubio ticket could be a reality only if one of them changed his residence. The precedent is that the GOP used precisely that maneuver to run two Texans in 2000. Upon being chosen for the ticket, Cheney, who had lived in Texas for several years, changed his official residence to Wyoming. He had actually lived in Wyoming before, so there was enough of a fig leaf for them to get away with it. For either Bush or Rubio to move, so as to evade the Constitution, would smell so bad that it would alienate a lot of voters who don't pay close attention to issues but who know cheating when they see it.
randys1
(16,286 posts)minorities, non Christians, etc.
Walker and a repub house and senate guarantees the end of life as we know it and a rapid advance toward extinction from climate change.
safeinOhio
(32,727 posts)Neo-fascist
NCjack
(10,279 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)That's a 50 point lead.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,790 posts)As bad as a Scott Walker regime would be, it would be an exponential improvement over a Rubio, Carson, or Huckabee administration.