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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums91L More rain for Texas as the Gulf of Mexico warms up early
Last edited Sun Jun 14, 2015, 09:23 AM - Edit history (1)
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2015/invest-91L?map=modelFrom NOAA
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A sharp trough of surface low pressure across the Yucatan Peninsula,
in combination with an upper-level low over the Gulf of Mexico,
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms over portions of
Guatemala, Belize, the Yucatan, and adjacent waters. Upper-level
winds are expected to become more favorable for some development
over the next day or two as the system moves northwestward into the
western Gulf of Mexico, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon.
Heavy rains are expected to continue over these areas today, along
with winds to near gale force over portions of the northwestern
Caribbean Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Gothmog
(145,291 posts)malaise
(269,022 posts)said he really felt sorry for those who lost family, friends and homes, but the lake is his neighborhood is back.
Still more rain is coming and I'm not sure you need more rain. This looks like rain after Monday and Tuesday.
malaise
(269,022 posts)Bill
Gothmog
(145,291 posts)We are getting ready in any case. My future son in law bought additional flashlights
TexasProgresive
(12,157 posts)Checked the gauge, had .9". I'm amazed that we got that much is such a short time. More to come I am sure.
malaise
(269,022 posts)horrific period. Well the good news is that the Texas drought is officially over.
Time to work on California - and they may get some rain from Hurricane Carlos.
oneshooter
(8,614 posts)A new record was set in Alvin, Texas for the heaviest rainfall in a 24-hour period in the U.S. Just over 43 inches of rain fell and this record remains unbroken.
https://suite.io/maureen-k-fleury/168k233
Ilsa
(61,695 posts)Did they reuse the name six years later?
Thanks for that
TexasProgresive
(12,157 posts)Might break 3 before midnight.
malaise
(269,022 posts)<snip>
An area of low pressure over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula formed Saturday morning, and has the potential to become a tropical depression over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday. The disturbance, designated Invest 91L by NHC on Saturday morning, was bringing a large area of intense thunderstorms to the Western Caribbean on Saturday afternoon, as seen on satellite images. Strong easterly winds of 29 mph, gusting to 43 mph, were observed at the Yucatan Basin buoy on Saturday morning. The heavy thunderstorm activity will push across Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, then move north to northwest towards Texas and Louisiana on Monday. The 12Z Saturday run of the SHIPS model predicted that wind shear would be marginal for development, a moderately high 15 - 25 knots, Sunday and Monday. Ocean temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico are warm enough to support a tropical storm, 27.5°C (81.5°F), and the atmosphere is very moist. In their 8 am EDT Saturday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 2-day and 5-day odds of development of 20% and 30%, respectively. The disturbance will push northwestwards over Texas by Tuesday, but it is uncertain how much rain Texas and Louisiana might get from the storm. The European model favors a more westward track into South Texas with lower rainfall totals of about 1 - 2" over Texas on Monday and Tuesday, while the GFS model shows more development of 91L and a track more towards the east, with the upper Texas coast and Louisiana coast getting about 3 - 5" of rain. Given the amount of heavy thunderstorm activity 91L has already built over the Western Caribbean, I support the wetter forecast of the GFS model for Texas and Louisiana. The Hurricane Hunters are on call to fly into 91L on Monday morning.
Gothmog
(145,291 posts)Right now, it looks like Houston will be on the wet side of this storm and get enough rain for more flooding