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yuiyoshida

(41,864 posts)
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:47 AM Jun 2015

Sanders gaining against Clinton in early polls



INDIANOLA, Iowa — Bernie Sanders likes to call it “practicing democracy.” He doesn’t take the stage to a blaring soundtrack. He doesn’t have a teleprompter or a phalanx of Secret Service agents surrounding him. But when his Brooklyn accent booms out at a campaign stop in rural Iowa, heads nod along in approval.

“What I’m doing in this campaign is trying to tell the people the truth – but a truth which is not heard a whole lot in Washington or discussed a lot in the media,” Sanders said recently at a picnic in Iowa’s Warren County, south of Des Moines.

“So let me lay it out on the table for you,” he said. “You’re living in a country today which has more wealth and income inequality than any major industrialized nation on earth.”

In a race for the Democratic presidential nomination with Hillary Rodham Clinton, the blunt talk about the economy and the gap between the rich and poor is working for Sanders. The independent senator from Vermont is an unconventional messenger at a time when many politicians test-drive what they want to say in polls and with focus groups.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/bernie-sanders-give-hilary-clinton-run-money/
72 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Sanders gaining against Clinton in early polls (Original Post) yuiyoshida Jun 2015 OP
K & R L0oniX Jun 2015 #1
Thanks for posting this in GE. Dawgs Jun 2015 #2
Thanks. This is my Bernie Sanders daily post on my FB page! Divernan Jun 2015 #3
Thanks for posting Omaha Steve Jun 2015 #4
Good for you Steve panader0 Jun 2015 #26
There seems to be a general trend. Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #5
Do you NorthCarolina Jun 2015 #6
I sense it is the rise, because it becomes especially intense when there is Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #47
It stems from the fact AgingAmerican Jun 2015 #49
They claimed supporting the Democratic nominee is the most important thing ever. Are they lying? nt jeff47 Jun 2015 #10
There isn't a nominee yet. Agschmid Jun 2015 #11
Betty's post is about post-nomination concerns jeff47 Jun 2015 #13
I doubt many people "hate" Sanders. Agschmid Jun 2015 #14
That's my point. That rift could impair the candidate's first campaign weeks Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #48
The rift works both ways. What about the Sanders supporters who hate Hillary? pnwmom Jun 2015 #67
Same as 2008 nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #12
A hatred based on.....nothing AgingAmerican Jun 2015 #40
I'm not sure about that. RiverNoord Jun 2015 #54
You think the number of 'haters' (as you call them) Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #55
I don't know about that either. RiverNoord Jun 2015 #58
Thank you for that explanation. Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #61
What about the trend of Sanders supporters hating Hillary? It seems to me that's a rift that also pnwmom Jun 2015 #66
Same rift, but seen from the other side. Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #72
There is a sincerity factor driven by conviction. gordianot Jun 2015 #7
Kicked and recommended a whole bunch! Enthusiast Jun 2015 #8
HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!! WillyT Jun 2015 #9
I watched his speech in Denver on CSPAN last night kimbutgar Jun 2015 #15
I've heard this criticism too of Bernie when it comes to immigration. PatrickforO Jun 2015 #53
++++++++ swilton Jun 2015 #57
I read the whole article - no mention of any polls. Elmer S. E. Dump Jun 2015 #16
John Stewart had it right about Bernie... Takket Jun 2015 #17
I'm 60. Admiral Loinpresser Jun 2015 #46
Kick and R BeanMusical Jun 2015 #18
Paragraph 6: "Clinton remains the overwhelming favorite." pnwmom Jun 2015 #19
Yawn PatrynXX Jun 2015 #21
Romney was never anything but an underwhelming favorite. pnwmom Jun 2015 #23
Please provide documentation that Romney was the "overwhelming favorite" DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #24
You misread it. They said "UNDER-whelming" not "OVER-wheming" ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #59
As she was in 08 all the way up to the first primary in February AgingAmerican Jun 2015 #41
There is yet a ways to go... Stellar Jun 2015 #56
When was she ever this far ahead of Obama? pnwmom Jun 2015 #63
was she ever? Stellar Jun 2015 #64
That's the point. So far she's doing much better against Sanders than against Obama. pnwmom Jun 2015 #65
You're probably right, but I guess Stellar Jun 2015 #70
Taxes PatrynXX Jun 2015 #20
Americans are waking up to the idea that rich people got rich from being cheap on payroll. Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #22
Generalizations can be tricky to use DFW Jun 2015 #25
They asked rich people "How much do you consider to be 'rich'?" Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #34
I only met one person who made $7 million a year DFW Jun 2015 #35
We have plenty of cities HERE he should be building. Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #36
Maybe he is. DFW Jun 2015 #37
"Detroit" would be where I'd start.... Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #38
Just TRY suggesting that to the people of Detroit DFW Jun 2015 #42
I think the point was dreamnightwind Jun 2015 #43
You obviously don't realize how much wealth the wealthy have. Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #44
Can you give us a link to the polls? Or will it be crickets? B Calm Jun 2015 #27
They're still talking about that outlier in New Hampshire. This sums up the article nicely. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #30
liked his questioning to Finnish grad students! NuttyFluffers Jun 2015 #28
yay!! go bernie go! m-lekktor Jun 2015 #29
as dominant as HRC was a couple months ago... 0rganism Jun 2015 #31
Actually, there's been almost no erosion of Hillary's support... brooklynite Jun 2015 #60
The NBC news poll out today says that 92% of likely Democratic voters pnwmom Jun 2015 #68
Yeah but WAIT! HRC wants to offer tax credits for apprenticeships! closeupready Jun 2015 #32
Really? What do the polls say? Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #33
Momentum: Bernie haz it. AtomicKitten Jun 2015 #39
Yes! whathehell Jun 2015 #45
This is the second article I've read about Sanders gaining in polls BainsBane Jun 2015 #50
I am so confused... Drunken Irishman Jun 2015 #51
One of the greatest things about Bernie is that he does PatrickforO Jun 2015 #52
Has anyone else noticed that Sanders is sort of the 'American Apparel' of politicians? Marr Jun 2015 #62
And yet the new NBC poll says 92% of likely Dem voters could see themselves supporting her. pnwmom Jun 2015 #69
So, about those polls... Bradical79 Jun 2015 #71
 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
5. There seems to be a general trend.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 12:20 PM
Jun 2015

Unfortunately, there is that other trend of ardent Hillary supporters growing a hatred for Mr. Sanders. That's a rift we need to heal as quickly as possible.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
6. Do you
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 12:26 PM
Jun 2015

sense this growing hatred stems from Bernies rise in popularity, or is based on his positions on the issues of today?

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
47. I sense it is the rise, because it becomes especially intense when there is
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 02:19 AM
Jun 2015

good news about Mr. Sanders' campaign. I suppose there is some feeling among Mrs. Clinton's supporters that anything likely to deprive Mrs. Clinton of the presidency must be removed forthwith. Issues are twisted to fit that objective. It's not about the issues. (Let's be frank here: Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Sanders agree more than they disagree, even when there are some big differences of opinion.)

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
49. It stems from the fact
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 02:27 AM
Jun 2015

That his detractors essentially agree with his positions, and have no counter for them.

It is a form of cognitive dissonance.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
10. They claimed supporting the Democratic nominee is the most important thing ever. Are they lying? nt
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 12:42 PM
Jun 2015

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
13. Betty's post is about post-nomination concerns
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 12:48 PM
Jun 2015

That rift is only relevant if Clinton does not win the nomination. Hatred of Sanders doesn't matter if Sanders is not the nominee.

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
48. That's my point. That rift could impair the candidate's first campaign weeks
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 02:22 AM
Jun 2015

as the nominee. And the plans for healing the rift so may as well be formed now.

pnwmom

(108,996 posts)
67. The rift works both ways. What about the Sanders supporters who hate Hillary?
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:22 PM
Jun 2015

How will they react if she wins the nomination?

 

RiverNoord

(1,150 posts)
54. I'm not sure about that.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:16 AM
Jun 2015

The fact that there are ardent supporters of two Democratic candidates for the Presidency in the 2016 elections, and that some tend to get rather aggressive in both the defense of their preferred candidate and criticism of the other on this site may be a sign of something very healthy.

You're always going to have 'true believers' in such scenarios - it's a fact of life. However, this could end up being the most consequential contest for the Democratic nomination in a very long time, given the fact that these two candidates represent very, very different models of politicians.

You've got to take the 'haters' with the more sensible supporters of each candidate. Personally, I try to ignore the posts that are obviously meant to provoke one side or the other and focus on the more substantive, decent ones.

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
55. You think the number of 'haters' (as you call them)
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:23 AM
Jun 2015

is negligeable in the general election? Even if it is, I'd hope there is a way to turn them into sensible supporters.

Completely agree with the rest of your words, by the way.

 

RiverNoord

(1,150 posts)
58. I don't know about that either.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:52 AM
Jun 2015

Sorry - the term 'haters' seems to be thrown about a lot on this site (usually by the most extreme supporters of one or another candidate, who probably fit the term at least as well as those they are accusing). It's probably not a useful term to use in a reasonable discussion, and I think I'll stop using it altogether.

I do think that even a divisive primary/caucus process would be healthy for the Democratic party. I won't claim that it would be good for the eventual Democratic candidate for the Presidency in the General Election, but if it is not, I'm not sure that would be a bad thing.

We've got an institutionalized two party political system, and, during the past 25 years or so, it's usually personal charisma and skill avoiding taking very definite positions on anything meaningful that produces the winning candidates. I see that only getting worse (and becoming a kind of art form) without vigorous and sometimes divisive intra-party contests among candidates who will discuss serious issues and take meaningful positions.

And, in my opinion, a person who becomes President of the United States by not taking firm positions on serious issues knows that the American people are easily duped and that divisive issues are easily dodged by statements such as 'we need to have a dialog on...' and 'it is important that we...,' etc.

If it's only ever about winning, there really are no parties - just gamesters.

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
61. Thank you for that explanation.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 11:22 AM
Jun 2015

You have given me food for thought.

Just one question: "I won't claim that [ a divisive primary ] would be good for the eventual Democratic candidate for the Presidency in the General Election, but if it is not, I'm not sure that would be a bad thing."

How could it be a good thing for the eventual candidate to be marred by the primary fall-out? I'm trying to follow your line of thought here.

pnwmom

(108,996 posts)
66. What about the trend of Sanders supporters hating Hillary? It seems to me that's a rift that also
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:20 PM
Jun 2015

needs to be healed.

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
72. Same rift, but seen from the other side.
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 02:18 AM
Jun 2015

Where two sides fight, two sides are needed to heal the rift.

kimbutgar

(21,211 posts)
15. I watched his speech in Denver on CSPAN last night
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 01:00 PM
Jun 2015

I was so impressed. My only disappointment was he didn't talk about voting rights and gun violence.

PatrickforO

(14,593 posts)
53. I've heard this criticism too of Bernie when it comes to immigration.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:07 AM
Jun 2015

The thing is, the corporate-owned right wing has attacked the New Deal and basic human decency on 1,000 different fronts for over 50 years. If a candidate were to address ALL these things in a stump speech, it would be hours long.

I say this not to cut you down, or disagree with you. Just an observation because I've seen others say similar things. I'm sure Bernie has talked about both voting rights and gun violence in the past, as he has addressed the issue of immigration.

Takket

(21,634 posts)
17. John Stewart had it right about Bernie...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 01:07 PM
Jun 2015

He said (a few weeks ago) Bernie is portrayed as a crackpot in the media, and it is easy to see why.... he says what he stands for and he stands for what he says. I think the biggest question for Bernie, the one he has to overcome if he is going to compete, is will the American public know what to make of him? His honesty is a great virtue, but in THIS country, it is something we simply are not used to. I have certainly never seen a candidate like him in my lifetime (I'm 37 years old).

I hope this poll is a reflection of people sort of "waking up" and realizing... hey, he's not crazy, he's saying all the things I say!

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
41. As she was in 08 all the way up to the first primary in February
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 04:01 PM
Jun 2015

At which point he passed her up and never looked back. It's gonna be a looong primary season.

Stellar

(5,644 posts)
56. There is yet a ways to go...
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:36 AM
Jun 2015

She was way ahead of Obama too.

http://abcnews.go.com/nightline/politics/fullpage?id=4675670

(scroll through the timeline above...)

I hope the best for her. Bernie is picking up momentum.

pnwmom

(108,996 posts)
65. That's the point. So far she's doing much better against Sanders than against Obama.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:07 PM
Jun 2015

And it is hard to see Sanders filling that gap.

Stellar

(5,644 posts)
70. You're probably right, but I guess
Wed Jun 24, 2015, 12:53 PM
Jun 2015

I'm hearing things that I believe, as the election gets closer, Hillary may have her hands full. I don't have a dog in this race yet, I'm just listening right now.

http://www.msnbc.com/the-last-word/watch/bernie-sanders-emerging-as-clinton-alternative-468466756002

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
20. Taxes
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 01:27 PM
Jun 2015

Gotta remember the BUSH taxcuts were supposed to be temporary. they expired in 2010 I think. if they were permanent the debt during Bush's time would be so high he couldn't run on it. the taxes on the rich have never been this low. so they keep saying they want the 1950's back. really? well vote for Bernie. of course without the racism

DFW

(54,445 posts)
25. Generalizations can be tricky to use
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 01:42 PM
Jun 2015

"Rich people got rich from being cheap on payroll" is about on a level with "All Mexicans are lazy."

Oprah got rich from being cheap on payroll? I know some guys in Dallas who have people lined up around the block to find jobs with them because they are the opposite. They got lucky with their company and their personal investments, probably worth over $50 million apiece at this point. They have kept some of the few people fired for reasons other than theft on the payroll just so they could keep their health insurance a little longer while they look for a new job. In Vermont, Ben & Jerry sold their company for a bunch, never were cursed out by their former employees as far as I know for being cheap.

SOME rich people got that way by being mean and nasty. Some got that way for just the opposite reason, and their employees gave as good as they got.

By the way, if $50 million isn't rich to you, please disregard the above. To me it's a bloody fortune!

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
34. They asked rich people "How much do you consider to be 'rich'?"
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 03:15 PM
Jun 2015

They said, "Seven million."

That's per year.

Most of America can't imagine making that kind of income every year. For a 40 hour work week that's $3000.00 an hour.

I know, someone will say, "But they work longer than 40 hours a week!".

I've met these types. They consider it to be "work" to read the news while on their private jet. They act like it's a major burden to show up for an annual stockholder's meeting or a ceremony where one of their own is presented with a crystal award to honor the fact that they made the most money.

DFW

(54,445 posts)
35. I only met one person who made $7 million a year
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 03:33 PM
Jun 2015

His name is Peter Norton. Invented some kind of anti-computer virus software a while ago and made himself a billionaire. Nicest guy you could ever want to meet. No idea what he would have been like to work for.

He asks me what I've been up to the last year. I say same old shit, how about you?, Oh, he says, I was busy building a city in China....

And he isn't joking.

DFW

(54,445 posts)
37. Maybe he is.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 03:44 PM
Jun 2015

You should ask him. Or maybe the Chinese did, and we didn't? No idea. He is soft-spoken, but he is a very open-minded guy. Maybe you should write to him and tell him your suggestion. You just might get an answer. But knowing him, his answer could well, be, "so what did you have in mind?" So be prepared with a lot of coherent specifics.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
38. "Detroit" would be where I'd start....
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 03:53 PM
Jun 2015

But let's face it. The PEOPLE through their government should be the ones building and OWNING cities.

DFW

(54,445 posts)
42. Just TRY suggesting that to the people of Detroit
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 04:17 PM
Jun 2015

Most if them would be thrilled if they knew where their next paycheck is coming from. Peter doesn't have the money to rebuild Detroit. Probably no one does at this point, not even the Sultan of Brunei. Who are "the people" here, anyway, and how much money do you think they have? Detroit's citizens sure don't have the means. The State of Michigan doesn't either. And if the entire congressional delegation of Michigan were to suggest, with a united voice, a bill in Congress to rebuild Detroit, the rest of Congress would react like they did when NY and NJ asked for funds to rebuild after Sandy. Sorry, nope, no money. Granholm couldn't do it, and Snyder couldn't care less. So, WHAT "people" are going to be able to do this? The Chinese might do it, if we cede the territory to them, and they get to set the rents (i.e. Americans out). Fat chance.

dreamnightwind

(4,775 posts)
43. I think the point was
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 05:12 PM
Jun 2015

that the exodus of jobs to China for cheap labor (yes many people get rich by doing this) is what has destroyed our cities which need rebuilding, also it eroded our tax base and led to failing infrastructure, yet you are here lauding a rich person for buillding a city in China.

So even in the example you used to rebuff the statement about people getting rich by paying low wages, you were promoting someone who is apprarently developing in China. Ironic to say the least.

I'm sure you're right that the generalization isn't always true, we all know all generalizations are false (irony intended). But the point about people getting rich on cheap labor was largely correct.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,241 posts)
30. They're still talking about that outlier in New Hampshire. This sums up the article nicely.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 02:56 PM
Jun 2015
Clinton remains the race’s overwhelming favorite, but there’s no question that the 73-year-old self-described democratic socialist, whose disheveled white hair might remind some of Doc Brown from “Back to the Future,” isn’t just a novelty.

“Clinton is going to be a safer bet,” said John MacBride, a 24-year-old Sanders supporter who drove from Kansas City to see him speak. “A lot of my peers think she’s a safer bet. But they like what he says better.”


Reality Check: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html

NuttyFluffers

(6,811 posts)
28. liked his questioning to Finnish grad students!
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 02:50 PM
Jun 2015

don't settle, don't give in, don't give up. ask questions, expect and demand more.

0rganism

(23,971 posts)
31. as dominant as HRC was a couple months ago...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 02:57 PM
Jun 2015

...it's kind of inevitable that any significant gain in support for Sanders (and O'Malley, and any other D candidates) would come at least in part from and erosion of HRC's support.

that's a problem with being the prohibitive favorite early-on.

whatever the case, i think a close race between HRC and Sanders will ultimately be good for the Democratic party. the end result should represent some kind of reconciliation between "mainstream" Democrats and the "progressive left", if losing candidates bow out gracefully as the race goes on and don't try to cause explicit splinterings and schisms.

brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
60. Actually, there's been almost no erosion of Hillary's support...
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 11:08 AM
Jun 2015


...pretty much a flat line at 60%. Bernie's growth has come from former supporters of Warren, and some undecided.

Unfortunately, you may find, as the WSJ/NBC poll suggests, that when you stopping including Biden, those votes go to Hillary.

pnwmom

(108,996 posts)
68. The NBC news poll out today says that 92% of likely Democratic voters
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:24 PM
Jun 2015

could see themselves supporting Hillary.

So at least we don't have a problem there.

BainsBane

(53,072 posts)
50. This is the second article I've read about Sanders gaining in polls
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 02:41 AM
Jun 2015

that doesn't actually provide any polling results.

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
51. I am so confused...
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 03:42 AM
Jun 2015

I was just in another thread where a bunch of posters were telling me polls don't matter.

PatrickforO

(14,593 posts)
52. One of the greatest things about Bernie is that he does
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 09:59 AM
Jun 2015

NOT adjust his message based on polls and focus groups. He tells it like it is. That's sure why I like him, and why I won't be surprised if he ends up beating Clinton in key primary states.

I can still remember a Democratic primary debate in 2008 when every single one of the candidates waffled when asked the question, "Do you believe healthcare IS a basic right?"

Bernie isn't waffling.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
62. Has anyone else noticed that Sanders is sort of the 'American Apparel' of politicians?
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 11:38 AM
Jun 2015

I think it's a big part of his appeal to millenials, to be honest. The trend with younger people is towards discarding bullshit and hyped up advertising. They're incredibly sensitive to it-- having grown up with the slickest stealth advertising ever invented, from 'viral videos' to product placement and everything else. And they're cynical and suspicious about shiny, focus group-tested messaging.

American Apparel's ads are the best example I can think of for the modern sort of 'un-advertising' that appeals to younger people now. Just stripped down, no nonsense, no frills, what-you-see-is-what-you-get sort of stuff.

pnwmom

(108,996 posts)
69. And yet the new NBC poll says 92% of likely Dem voters could see themselves supporting her.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:26 PM
Jun 2015

So she's doing okay, whatever his gains may be.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251413177

 

Bradical79

(4,490 posts)
71. So, about those polls...
Wed Jun 24, 2015, 01:11 PM
Jun 2015

If you're going to mention polls in the headline I expect to read about poll numbers, lol. I like reading about Bernie, but the author kind of blew it with that headline :-P

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