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applegrove

(118,677 posts)
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 11:49 PM Jul 2015

Democrats edge past the GOP in party affiliation. Does it matter?

Democrats edge past the GOP in party affiliation. Does it matter?

By Brad Knickerbocker at the Christian Science Monitor

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/Decoder/2015/0705/Democrats-edge-past-the-GOP-in-party-affiliation.-Does-it-matter

"SNIP................


Whether a voter identifies or leans toward a political party is becoming less and less relevant as the 2016 presidential election approaches.

Americans are more likely now than at any other time in recent history to avoid identifying themselves as Republican or Democrat, with 43 percent instead now calling themselves "independent," Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport reported in January, adding that the favorability rating for both major parties has dropped from 54 percent in 1993 to just 39 percent today.

Still, the way voters and potential voters register is closely watched by pundits and political pros, and the latest trend seems to favor Democrats.

In the second quarter of 2015, Democrats regained an advantage over Republicans in terms of party affiliation, Gallup reported last week. Forty-six percent of those surveyed identified as Democrats or said they are independents who lean toward the Democratic Party, while 41 percent identified as Republicans or leaned Republican

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Democrats edge past the GOP in party affiliation. Does it matter? (Original Post) applegrove Jul 2015 OP
Not with gerrymandering working for the GOP... Historic NY Jul 2015 #1
Nope redstateblues Jul 2015 #2
Somewhat. SheilaT Jul 2015 #3

Historic NY

(37,449 posts)
1. Not with gerrymandering working for the GOP...
Wed Jul 8, 2015, 11:56 PM
Jul 2015

they own the statehouses which apparently aren't interesting enough for Democrats to try to capture.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
3. Somewhat.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 12:26 AM
Jul 2015

Those who register a party affiliation are in general more likely to vote for that party. But lots of people register as independents (I did for many years) more or less not to give away their true beliefs. I finally started registering as a Democrat when I realized I needed to vote in primaries.

There are some states with open primaries, and some states that don't require party affiliation. So you can only glean so much from the registration numbers.

Also, in states like Kansas that are very heavily Republican, many actual Democrats will register as Republicans so as to participate in the primaries. In my opinion that's a dumb thing to do, but it's very common.

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