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geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:03 PM Jul 2015

Greece submits proposal for massive new austerity cuts

I guess this is what the leverage from the referendum and the antics of the Minister of Awesome produced.

Breaking news in Athens.

In an emergency meeting the Greek government has approved the package of measures it will present to creditors (hopefully later this evening) to break the impasse and reach an agreement, our correspondent Helena Smith reports.

A senior Syriza MP has just told me that the radical left party’s parliamentary group has been “asked to be on standby” to vote on the package possibly as early as tomorrow.

“We have all been told to be here. We may have to vote on it tomorrow,” he said.

The defence minister who leads the right-wing populist Independent Greeks party, the government’s junior partner, has also just said: “Very shortly the Greek proposal will be tabled.”


...


The irony has not been lost on anyone - even though governing MPs are making light of it - that after the Greeks’ resounding rejection of further biting austerity at the weekend , prime minister Alexis Tsipras has with lightning speed now agreed to put his name to the most punitive austerity package any government has been asked to implement during the five years of economic crisis in Greece.


....


We don’t yet know the details of Greece’s plan, but one report says there will be €13bn of fresh austerity. A heavy blow for the economy after years of recession, and the current banking shutdown.


...

International observers have been telling us today that the package is likely to be so punitive that humanitarian aid cannot be ruled out.

EU president Jean Claude Juncker had mentioned humanitarian aid as part of the “detailed Grexit scenario” plans creditors had drawn up. EU diplomats based in Athens said some form of assistance is likely to be given even if am agreement between Greece its creditors is reached.

Syriza MPs have been telling our Helena Smith that the big no received in the referendum on Sunday was a “confidence vote” in Tsipras who like no other prime minister before now has the popular support to enforce such punitive measures.

That is not how the far far left (or indeed the far left in Syriza) see things. Strikes, rallies and protests should be expected in weeks ahead.


Updates here:

http://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2015/jul/09/greek-crisis-reform-plan-grexit-tsipras-draghi-live

And, for good measure, they still don't control their own currency value.

Greece probably could have gotten a better deal by staying at the negotiating table and not calling the other EZ members 'terrorists.'
44 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Greece submits proposal for massive new austerity cuts (Original Post) geek tragedy Jul 2015 OP
"now has the popular support to enforce such punitive measures." - Apparently 'No' means 'Yes'. PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #1
"I meant to do that" geek tragedy Jul 2015 #2
No, a tragedy, a greek tragedy. n/t PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #4
Or in this case, a geek tragedy. KamaAina Jul 2015 #19
I bet they are regretting joining the EU by now. Rex Jul 2015 #3
I would question the sanity of anyone involved in this fiasco geek tragedy Jul 2015 #5
So was the EU supposed to be like NAFTA kinda? Rex Jul 2015 #11
Originally, to prevent Germany and France from fighting catastrophic wars every 40 years. geek tragedy Jul 2015 #14
Yeah when you told me they have no control over their own currency my jaw dropped. Rex Jul 2015 #16
it makes sense only if there's greater integration. geek tragedy Jul 2015 #17
I always thought they still had their own national currency and the EU was their Rex Jul 2015 #18
I think there was a transition period in the first few years where geek tragedy Jul 2015 #25
I can't remember but why did Great Britain take so long to join the EU? What was their fear? jwirr Jul 2015 #20
Well, DeGaulle vetoed their entry as late as 1967, nt geek tragedy Jul 2015 #21
I seem to remember that they had problems more than France. Oh, well it probably has nothing jwirr Jul 2015 #26
There's a cultural thing with Brits, partially due to geography, are they geek tragedy Jul 2015 #34
That sounds like it. jwirr Jul 2015 #39
"Heavy Fog In Channel. Continent Cut Off." greatauntoftriplets Jul 2015 #44
Some had the idea they could make a super currency to challenge the US Dollar. n/t PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #22
That is what I thought, been a long time yet that is how I remember it too. Rex Jul 2015 #24
The will of the people is a tricky one here BeyondGeography Jul 2015 #6
Looks like they were right about the Grexit and wrong about the leverage. geek tragedy Jul 2015 #7
So after all the hoopla, they really didn't know what they were voting for? Tarheel_Dem Jul 2015 #8
they trusted their current government. geek tragedy Jul 2015 #9
So this CYA referendum was an excercise in futility. They don't want austerity, and they don't.... Tarheel_Dem Jul 2015 #12
never promise anything out of your control seems a pretty good lesson. geek tragedy Jul 2015 #15
That is what I thought of when you said never trust government out of hand. Secret trade deals. jwirr Jul 2015 #23
or, trust but verify. nt geek tragedy Jul 2015 #28
Exactly. Do they have any chance of finding a government that is really going to represent the jwirr Jul 2015 #29
SYRIZA made promises that anyone could see would not all be kept. geek tragedy Jul 2015 #30
Yes, I understood that it all depends on those who hold the power. I pity the people who have no jwirr Jul 2015 #31
true dat nt geek tragedy Jul 2015 #32
Democracy is nice but if you are an uninformed voter you're likely to make a bad choice. PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #35
Yep - game on. jwirr Jul 2015 #38
I'm chalking this up as another refutation of game theory in the real world. n/t PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #37
One must always consider the possibility in a negotiation that when you tell the opposite party... PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #33
It was a risky move, and in hindsight, it would have been better if the referendum had never.... Tarheel_Dem Jul 2015 #36
Indeed, polls I've seen repeatedly show most Greeks want to keep the Euro. PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #27
I hope this is just spin. snot Jul 2015 #10
The economic suicide of Europe. nt LittleBlue Jul 2015 #13
Yep. truebluegreen Jul 2015 #40
No kidding...ya think? Surya Gayatri Jul 2015 #41
Minister of Awesome...Bwaahaaaaa! Surya Gayatri Jul 2015 #42
Yanis Varoufakis did co-author a book on game theory... PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #43
 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
11. So was the EU supposed to be like NAFTA kinda?
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:41 PM
Jul 2015

I never could really figure out why they made such a beast in the first place.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
14. Originally, to prevent Germany and France from fighting catastrophic wars every 40 years.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:42 PM
Jul 2015

There are benefits to regional integration, but there are drawbacks, especially if it's executed poorly.

NAFTA countries kept their own currencies. Smart move.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
16. Yeah when you told me they have no control over their own currency my jaw dropped.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:46 PM
Jul 2015

I figured it was regional trade protection, but the part about one currency is crazy imo.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
17. it makes sense only if there's greater integration.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:48 PM
Jul 2015

currency should be part of a bundle--if there's one currency, then there should be one fiscal policy and one political decision-making body. if you're all in it together, you need to be all in.

If it's just currency, that leads inevitably to conflict between states with diverging interests.

the germans have a giant bug up their ass about inflation. they've been that way for decades.

which is a problem when other countries using the currency are facing deflation

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
18. I always thought they still had their own national currency and the EU was their
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:52 PM
Jul 2015

'global currency' like the dollar is around the world. As a matter of fact, I thought they built the EU to fight against the Yuan and the Dollar with their own form of regional currency.

What a total fucking mess!!

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
25. I think there was a transition period in the first few years where
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:02 PM
Jul 2015

there was dual currency, but that went away.

Ironically, Germany was forced into the Euro by France, as a condition for the EU blessing German reunification.

What a mess indeed.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
26. I seem to remember that they had problems more than France. Oh, well it probably has nothing
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:03 PM
Jul 2015

to do with the present situation anyhow.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
34. There's a cultural thing with Brits, partially due to geography, are they
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:29 PM
Jul 2015

part of "the continent?'

They've always been of two minds about that.


greatauntoftriplets

(175,742 posts)
44. "Heavy Fog In Channel. Continent Cut Off."
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 06:16 PM
Jul 2015
London Times
Headline, October 22, 1957

This English headline about a seemingly temporary weather condition in the English Channel has become an iconic quotation by all who are discussing a united Europe and English attitudes towards Europe and the European continent. Before there was a tunnel between England and the continent a heavy fog interrupted all traffic—sea and air. However the British, who represent a small part of the total population in Europe and the European continent, viewed the temporary problem as unfortunate, not for England, but for the Continent. The implication was that Britain would get along fine without the continent and the rest of Europe, but the continent was in a state of stress if they could not communicate with and travel to England. It is an imperious attitude which aggravates the remainder of the European community, is not supported by Economic reality but is nonetheless perceived and felt by British of all classes.


http://politicalquotes.org/node/19094
 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
24. That is what I thought, been a long time yet that is how I remember it too.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:01 PM
Jul 2015

To fight the Yuan and Dollar on the world stage.

BeyondGeography

(39,374 posts)
6. The will of the people is a tricky one here
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:26 PM
Jul 2015
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2015/07/09/what-were-the-greeks-thinking-heres-a-poll-taken-just-before-the-referendum/

Only 5% of No voters thought their vote would lead to an EZ exit. Many thought it would lead to improved leverage with the EU.

Looking at the charts in that article, very few Greeks are pining for the drachma.
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
7. Looks like they were right about the Grexit and wrong about the leverage.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:28 PM
Jul 2015

As I've said before, it was like the hostage threatening to shoot himself.

Once SYRIZA had committed to staying in the Euro, they pissed away their leverage.

Ah, democracy.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
9. they trusted their current government.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:37 PM
Jul 2015

turns out, taking the government's word at face value is generally a bad idea

Tarheel_Dem

(31,234 posts)
12. So this CYA referendum was an excercise in futility. They don't want austerity, and they don't....
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:41 PM
Jul 2015

want to be kicked out of the euro. What's left?

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
15. never promise anything out of your control seems a pretty good lesson.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:43 PM
Jul 2015

see also Obama, Barack "A new kind of politics"

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
29. Exactly. Do they have any chance of finding a government that is really going to represent the
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:07 PM
Jul 2015

people over there? Seems to me that everyone who is posting about this is talking about the corruption of the government - not just the present one but all of them.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
30. SYRIZA made promises that anyone could see would not all be kept.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:12 PM
Jul 2015

They promised that they'd stop the austerity programs and that they'd keep Greece in the Eurozone.

They couldn't do both. Pretty obvious. They could stop the austerity, but they'd need to leave the Eurozone to have that ability.

Maybe they figured they could squeeze the rest of the EZ countries into letting them end austerity while staying in the Euro. But, the little don't squeeze the big.

Same deal with that referendum. Won lots of praise about democracy and standing up to the 1% blah blah blah, but a Greek referendum wasn't binding on Germany. So, what did that accomplish?

Turns out, nothing, probably made things worse.

The outcome of negotiations depends largely upon the relative power of those involved in the negotiations.



jwirr

(39,215 posts)
31. Yes, I understood that it all depends on those who hold the power. I pity the people who have no
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:16 PM
Jul 2015

power.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
35. Democracy is nice but if you are an uninformed voter you're likely to make a bad choice.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:34 PM
Jul 2015

The majority of Greek people apparently didn't realize that their only bargaining chip was their
willingness to leave the Euro if they couldn't get the deal they wanted. If they weren't willing to
do that it was all really a bluff and it appears to have been called.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
33. One must always consider the possibility in a negotiation that when you tell the opposite party...
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:27 PM
Jul 2015

to take their deal and shove it that they come back with an even worse offer.

So don't bluff if you're not prepared to walk away.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,234 posts)
36. It was a risky move, and in hindsight, it would have been better if the referendum had never....
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:41 PM
Jul 2015

taken place. I heard a commentator on NPR say that Tsipras' days are numbered, and there will be calls for new elections no matter how this turns out.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
27. Indeed, polls I've seen repeatedly show most Greeks want to keep the Euro.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 03:03 PM
Jul 2015

I interpreted the No vote as "we want a less-austerity type deal". It would appear
they may be ending up with the opposite.

snot

(10,530 posts)
10. I hope this is just spin.
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 02:40 PM
Jul 2015

The fact is, the EU cannot afford to allow it to LOOK like Greek resistance worked; and I have to think the Greek gov. understands that.

 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
41. No kidding...ya think?
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 04:43 PM
Jul 2015
Greece probably could have gotten a better deal by staying at the negotiating table and not calling the other EZ members 'terrorists.'
 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
42. Minister of Awesome...Bwaahaaaaa!
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 04:47 PM
Jul 2015

But, but, he and Alexis were just playing 'good cop/bad cop', don't cha know?

All part of their finely-honed and ingenious negotiating strategy.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
43. Yanis Varoufakis did co-author a book on game theory...
Thu Jul 9, 2015, 06:09 PM
Jul 2015
http://yanisvaroufakis.eu/books/game-theory-a-critical-text/

So there must have been at least some strategy there.

Of course game-theory and reality are often different.

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