For the first time this year, Donald Trump tops a state poll of GOP presidential candidates in Florida.

A St. Pete Polls survey released on Wednesday shows the New York businessman with 26 percent support, with Jeb Bush in second place with 20 percent.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is in third place with 12 percent, and Marco Rubio is in fourth place with 10 percent. He’s followed by Dr. Ben Carson at 5 percent, Ted Cruz and John Kasich at 4 percent, and Rand Paul at 3 percent. Sixteen percent are unsure or are supporting another candidate not named in the survey.

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The poll of 1,902 Florida likely Republican primary voters was conducted from Saturday, July 18, 2015, to Tuesday, July 28, 2015. It was made up of a sampling of registered Republican party voters from the state of Florida, and has a 2.2 percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.

Jeb! Bush’s alleged intention to run a positive, joyous, exuberant, civil, delightful, laughter-filled presidential campaign of constant mirth treads around an obvious political risk: projecting condescension or even hostility towards, you know, Republican voters. Implicit in these calls for a shiny, sparkly Republican politics is a criticism of Republican voters as feral beasts who’ve been conditioned only to respond to argle-bargle nativist nonsense. No one likes to be told to smile more, honey.

Let’s play “If I Were A Conservative Voter.”

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If I Were A Conservative Voter, I would see smarmy Jeb Bush talking to groups of CEOs all the time about how I was a dumbass. There he would be at the “Wall Street Journal CEO Council,” talking about how he wouldn’t pander to my dumbassery in order to secure my primary vote. He thinks I am some low-life rube who only wants to be pandered to with fresh blood meat everyday. Well that’s not what I want at all. I just want someone to follow THE CONSTITUTION and throws the illegals “back over the wall,” etc.

Now here is Jeb Bush again, talking to more “businesspeople” about how I need to be nicer ‘n’ stuff. Pfft. (Emphasis Greg Sargent‘s):

And over a day of campaigning in the Orlando area, he often sounded as if he were keynoting a centrist think-tank seminar about how to overcome political polarization more than a Republican attempting to win over conservatives.

“We need men and women of good will forging consensus, starting to solve problems, kind of building back the muscles of consensus, compromise and solution-finding to fix these things,” Mr. Bush told a group of businesspeople here, lamenting what he called a paralyzed democracy. “Apparently that is dangerous in a Republican primary,” he added, “but it’s what I believe.”