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eridani

(51,907 posts)
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 04:06 AM Sep 2015

It's the deductibles, stupid!!

Employer Family Health Premiums Rise 4 Percent to $17,545 in 2015, Extending a Decade-Long Trend of Relatively Moderate Increases

http://kff.org/health-costs/press-release/employer-family-health-premiums-rise-4-percent-to-17545-in-2015-extending-a-decade-long-trend-of-relatively-moderate-increases/

Single and family premiums for employer-sponsored health insurance rose an average of 4 percent this year, continuing a decade-long period of moderate growth, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation/Health Research & Educational Trust (HRET) 2015 Employer Health Benefits Survey released today.

The average annual premium for single coverage is $6,251, of which workers on average pay $1,071. The average family premium is $17,545, with workers on average contributing $4,955.

The survey also finds that 81 percent of covered workers are in plans with a general annual deductible, which average $1,318 for single coverage this year. Covered workers in smaller firms (three to 199 workers) face an average deductible of $1,836 this year. That’s 66 percent more than the $1,105 average deductible facing covered workers at large firms (at least 200 workers).

Since 2010, both the share of workers with deductibles and the size of those deductibles have increased sharply. These two trends together result in a 67 percent increase in deductibles since 2010, much faster than the rise in single premiums (24%) and about seven times the rise in workers’ wages (10%) and general inflation (9%).

“With deductibles rising so much faster than premiums and wages, it’s no surprise that consumers have not felt the slowdown in health spending,” Foundation President and CEO Drew Altman said.


Comment by Don McCanne of PNHP: For Quote of the Day subscribers who go straight to the comment (and many of you do), today’s message is presented instantly in a single visual - merely click on the link above and check out the graph accompanying the news release.

In words, the graph shows that, for the past five years, inflation is flat, workers earnings are flat, employer-sponsored health insurance premiums are continuing to increase, and health insurance deductibles are skyrocketing!

That explains why so many patients with “good” employer-sponsored health plans feel that health care costs are out of control, even though we’re told they’re not - their deductibles have increased at seven times the rate of increase in their wages!

We have the wrong model of health care financing in the United States. We need single payer.
60 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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It's the deductibles, stupid!! (Original Post) eridani Sep 2015 OP
Before Obamacare, health care costs were the most frequent reason people filed for bankruptcy and, merrily Sep 2015 #1
Same situation applies after Obamacare. Most people remain unaware because most people-- eridani Sep 2015 #2
While younger, or ever? merrily Sep 2015 #3
The percentages are for each demographic group eridani Sep 2015 #24
Thank you. merrily Sep 2015 #26
I don't know if it is a state thing, but that is absolutely not true treestar Sep 2015 #18
There are plenty of people who move from a full cost they can't afford to-- eridani Sep 2015 #27
But we have made Big Pharma very happy dougolat Sep 2015 #4
I can answer that last question... Fairgo Sep 2015 #5
"Its not really insurance if you can't afford to use it." LittleGirl Sep 2015 #6
My best wishes Fairgo Sep 2015 #9
Thank you. eom LittleGirl Sep 2015 #10
"If you make a claim, they raise your rates or cancel you all together" progree Sep 2015 #13
thanks for the well wishes LittleGirl Sep 2015 #16
There is a lot of preventive treestar Sep 2015 #19
Almost $4000 for the whole family. Ilsa Sep 2015 #30
Not true. 5% of the people 60-70 years old still account for half the costs of that group eridani Sep 2015 #25
We need single payer. Enthusiast Sep 2015 #7
Medicare also has premiums and deductibles, both pretty high Recursion Sep 2015 #29
Pretty high? Not compared to private insurance! I qualified for Medicare this year, and Lydia Leftcoast Sep 2015 #38
Why everyone can't have this. Recursion Sep 2015 #40
A lot of young people are just paying the fine. yeoman6987 Sep 2015 #51
Obama was concerned about the insurance industry running out of control nationalize the fed Sep 2015 #8
Great post. Unknown Beatle Sep 2015 #12
Max Baucus One_Life_To_Give Sep 2015 #31
DUers were indignant when Dick Cheney met in secret with energy industry types Lydia Leftcoast Sep 2015 #39
Hillary will probably be put in the WH in 2017 to insure that Heritage Ed and Heritage Security Doctor_J Sep 2015 #22
Medicare for all, including dental, optical, hearing aids and mental health services. Scuba Sep 2015 #11
Afford it? ... But... but ... who will think of the corporate executives who Arugula Latte Sep 2015 #21
Health Equity Fairgo Sep 2015 #43
My deductibles AND co-pays went up. a la izquierda Sep 2015 #14
yep Doctor_J Sep 2015 #15
Even with insurance, the true cost of care is a crapshoot Thav Sep 2015 #17
my GF's deductable is so high, it's like not having healthcare at all. Javaman Sep 2015 #20
My sympathies, I'm with you. Kilgore Sep 2015 #33
Here's another Heritage Care story - truly American exceptionalism. Doctor_J Sep 2015 #23
I am on Medicare. SheilaT Sep 2015 #28
Present system has not benefited us at all Kilgore Sep 2015 #32
it's the bronze level that's the killer. Javaman Sep 2015 #34
Gold premieums were just silly. Kilgore Sep 2015 #35
while ACA is a baby step in the right direction... Javaman Sep 2015 #36
It's a step in the wrong direction. Doctor_J Sep 2015 #42
Very good point. Javaman Sep 2015 #44
Single payer still has premiums and deductibles Recursion Sep 2015 #41
Single payer HR 676 has no deductibles, and the premiums are vastly cheaper n/t eridani Sep 2015 #45
And has no dedicated revenue stream Recursion Sep 2015 #47
It certainly does. The fund would be separate from general tax funds. eridani Sep 2015 #48
The fund is separate, only a small portion of its levies are Recursion Sep 2015 #49
10% beats the shit out of the 17% we are currently paying to NOT cover everyone n/t eridani Sep 2015 #50
Well hell I can think of dozens of ideas that are better than our current system Recursion Sep 2015 #52
A $200/month tax beats an $800/month premium any old day. eridani Sep 2015 #53
Hillary has a plan to combat high out of pocket costs, fwiw... ProgressiveCheese Sep 2015 #37
Meaning she'll ask profit takers to be nicer n/t eridani Sep 2015 #46
I refuse to believe wages have gone up 10% KentuckyWoman Sep 2015 #54
I read that and thought, what complete bullshit Skittles Sep 2015 #60
At least this helps us get to single payer Texas Blues Sep 2015 #55
This must happen on a state by state basis. ACA lets us start in 2017 n/t eridani Sep 2015 #59
It really their wages. nt kelliekat44 Sep 2015 #56
Interesting how Jim Messina's strongly connected to this, espec. given his new allegiance suffragette Sep 2015 #57
I did not have a surgery because the out of pocket expenses were out of this world. Zorra Sep 2015 #58

merrily

(45,251 posts)
1. Before Obamacare, health care costs were the most frequent reason people filed for bankruptcy and,
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 04:12 AM
Sep 2015

in the majority of those cases, both spouses were covered by health insurance.

I don't know if they have had enough time to compile statistics about medical cost bankruptcies after Obamacare.

BTW, when you file for personal bankruptcy, hospitals, labs, docs, etc. are not the only creditors who are SOL. So, I imagine big business should have an interest in getting this stuff sortred out. Credit card issuers, to name one sector, should be interested.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
2. Same situation applies after Obamacare. Most people remain unaware because most people--
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 04:16 AM
Sep 2015

--never get expensively sick.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
24. The percentages are for each demographic group
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 03:36 AM
Sep 2015

If you are one of the 5% of every demographic that accounts for 50% of the costs of that demographic, you just become part of a new demographic when you move from, say, 29 to 30.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
18. I don't know if it is a state thing, but that is absolutely not true
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 10:22 AM
Sep 2015

for me. My ACA policy is really working out well. There are co pays for visits I'd have had to pay a full charge for before I had it. My deductible is way lower. And the preventive stuff is covered.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
27. There are plenty of people who move from a full cost they can't afford to--
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 03:41 AM
Sep 2015

--a plan with deductibles that requires less money--which they still don't have.

dougolat

(716 posts)
4. But we have made Big Pharma very happy
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 04:57 AM
Sep 2015

and the huge health insurance industry is still rolling along, and the sweet scams are still working, and that's important.
Sheesh, let's keep our priorities straight.

Fairgo

(1,571 posts)
5. I can answer that last question...
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 05:00 AM
Sep 2015

Almost everybody gets expensively medical at some point...if you are lucky. After a relatively incident-free youth and adulthood, I find myself increasingly in need of medical care. If I were back in the states, my current medical team and their intentions would bankrupt me. As it stands, its only an expensive hobby. Its not really insurance if you can't afford to use it.

LittleGirl

(8,287 posts)
6. "Its not really insurance if you can't afford to use it."
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 05:20 AM
Sep 2015

Exactly. Our deductible in the states was $2500 a year per person and the last year we lived in the states (2014), I met that deductible and then some. Mostly because I went out-of-network to treat my thyroid disease as I couldn't find an MD in my network that knew how to treat me. I found a Naturopathic MD that did and thankfully, I'm in remission now thanks to her assistance in educating me, along with some good books on the subject.

Just like our home owners insurance. If you make a claim, they raise your rates or cancel you all together. Insurance in the states is an outright scam and it needs a total overhaul in my opinion.

progree

(10,909 posts)
13. "If you make a claim, they raise your rates or cancel you all together"
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 06:32 AM
Sep 2015

I thought that was forbidden under the ACA -- they have to accept everyone at the same rate (based on age and zip code, but not on health history).

Not saying they don't try to discourage unhealthy people -- by what drugs they have on their formulary, for example, comes to mind.

And by having too-narrow networks as you describe.

Or ending up in an in-network hospital only to later find out that your surgeon or anesthesiologist or whatever is out of network. Grrr.

I'm glad to hear that you thyroid condition is in remission



LittleGirl

(8,287 posts)
16. thanks for the well wishes
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 08:30 AM
Sep 2015

but I meant cancelling your home owners insurance, not your health insurance. That actually happened to us and it was not a good situation. It was awful.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
19. There is a lot of preventive
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 10:24 AM
Sep 2015

that might not have existed before. My doctor is monitoring my blood sugar and cholesterol like crazy. I couldn't afford that before the ACA. She is on a crusade to prevent heart attacks, strokes and diabetes (which would be more expensive than her continual blood tests and assigning me to a nutritionist).

Ilsa

(61,695 posts)
30. Almost $4000 for the whole family.
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 06:38 AM
Sep 2015

No individual deductible. Then they call asking me to stop using the local pharmacy and use theirs to save money. I told them I use the more expensive one because it really doesn't matter since we will always hit it.

I save my healthcare issues for after the deductible is met and our HSA builds up again.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
25. Not true. 5% of the people 60-70 years old still account for half the costs of that group
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 03:39 AM
Sep 2015

Of course, the sum total of expenditures for that group are far higher than for those 20-30.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
29. Medicare also has premiums and deductibles, both pretty high
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 05:59 AM
Sep 2015

I sometimes wonder how much Single Payer advocates have actually dealt with Medicare.

Lydia Leftcoast

(48,217 posts)
38. Pretty high? Not compared to private insurance! I qualified for Medicare this year, and
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 11:31 AM
Sep 2015

while Traditional Medicare still has deductibles, I have bought a supplemental policy (the most expensive one available in my region), so that I no longer have deductibles (YAY!). To top it off, my monthly premiums are now $350 LESS (even including the supplement) than they would have been if I had stayed on the insurance that I was on last year.

Finally, I can afford to take care of some issues that I've had for a long time and which were too expensive but still less than my deductible.

Why can't everyone have this? Adding younger, healthier people would actually shore up Medicare's finances. The Republicanite proposal to raise the age of eligibility would make its finances worse, because the average 70-year-old has more health problems than the average 60-year-old. Add everyone over 50, and you'd be including a lot of people who are hardly ever sick.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
40. Why everyone can't have this.
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 11:46 AM
Sep 2015

Because it would increase government spending by about $1.2 trillion (probably more when we address current underutilization). It would do that while lowering private expenditures by about $1.5 trillion, and conservatives need to stop pretending that's not the case, but increasing government spending by that amount is going to be a huge road to hoe.

 

yeoman6987

(14,449 posts)
51. A lot of young people are just paying the fine.
Fri Sep 25, 2015, 04:46 AM
Sep 2015

The fine is cheap and will be for another 3 years and then it might be adventageous for the younger groups to sign up for ACA.

nationalize the fed

(2,169 posts)
8. Obama was concerned about the insurance industry running out of control
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 05:22 AM
Sep 2015

before he wasn't

Obama: Public Option Part of Health Plan



Reid too, until HE wasn't

Reid: Public Option in Senate Health Bill



But if you didn't like Obama's Heritage Foundation Health plan- you were a racist. That's the only reason one would have been against it. I read that here.

Bitter Pill: Why Medical Bills Are Killing Us
Time.com Steven Brill April 4, 2013
http://time.com/198/bitter-pill-why-medical-bills-are-killing-us/

Put simply, with Obamacare we’ve changed the rules related to who pays for what, but we haven’t done much to change the prices we pay.

When you follow the money, you see the choices we’ve made, knowingly or unknowingly.

Over the past few decades, we’ve enriched the labs, drug companies, medical device makers, hospital administrators and purveyors of CT scans, MRIs, canes and wheelchairs. Meanwhile, we’ve squeezed the doctors who don’t own their own clinics, don’t work as drug or device consultants or don’t otherwise game a system that is so gameable. And of course, we’ve squeezed everyone outside the system who gets stuck with the bills.

We’ve created a secure, prosperous island in an economy that is suffering under the weight of the riches those on the island extract.

And we’ve allowed those on the island and their lobbyists and allies to control the debate, diverting us from what Gerard Anderson, a health care economist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, says is the obvious and only issue: “All the prices are too damn high.”


A money funnel has been created under a D admin that pipes tax money directly into the bottom lines of insurance companies.

Seen the stock charts lately? If a Republican had done that there would have been calls for public boycotts. Like Keith called for, before he was fired.



Make a law that requires the citizens to purchase corporate insurance without a public option? Only a D could have done that. Like Nixon sending Kissinger to China. Make sure to pay your premium on time- or you could lose *everything*. Like before.

Unknown Beatle

(2,672 posts)
12. Great post.
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 06:32 AM
Sep 2015

Didn't insurance and pharmaceutical companies draft this legislation in secret in the WH with Obama in the room?

One_Life_To_Give

(6,036 posts)
31. Max Baucus
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 08:24 AM
Sep 2015

The ACA Legislation was largely drafter via the Office of Max Baucus the Chair of Senate Finance. The actual background authors are thought to have been leading lobbyists from the Health Insurance Industry with support from members of the Healthcare Lobby.

Lydia Leftcoast

(48,217 posts)
39. DUers were indignant when Dick Cheney met in secret with energy industry types
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 11:36 AM
Sep 2015

Why were they not equally indignant when Obama met in secret with insurance industry types and refused to see single payer advocates?

When I heard that, I knew that we had been had. The purpose of the ACA was to provide a few cosmetic touches to a plan that was meant to provide a federally-subsidized captive market for the insurance industry.

Once the Republicans made it clear that they wouldn't vote for taking Romneycare nationwide, Obama should have said, "OK, guys, you're not going to play, so we're going full-out for single payer. We're going to lower the age of eligibility for Medicare by five years every year till the entire nation has that option. You can be the one to go back and tell those impoverished 60-year-olds in your district that you voted against their having affordable insurance."

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
22. Hillary will probably be put in the WH in 2017 to insure that Heritage Ed and Heritage Security
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 12:13 PM
Sep 2015

become law. The Wall Streeters now have our healthcare, forever, thanks to Obama. They want Education and Social Security as well, and this will not happen if a repuke is president. But with Mrs. Clinton in office, it will happen, and anyone who complains will be called an MRA.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
11. Medicare for all, including dental, optical, hearing aids and mental health services.
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 06:23 AM
Sep 2015

And yes, we can afford it.

 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
21. Afford it? ... But... but ... who will think of the corporate executives who
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 11:54 AM
Sep 2015

profit from the massive military-corporate collusion?!

Fairgo

(1,571 posts)
43. Health Equity
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 06:01 PM
Sep 2015

Health should be a human right. The only reason we are even having this conversation is because we have allowed the premise to slip into privatisation. Capital has overwhelmed democracy. Neoliberal philosophy frames the debate.

a la izquierda

(11,795 posts)
14. My deductibles AND co-pays went up.
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 06:50 AM
Sep 2015

I have really crappy state insurance through the state university I work for. The university has tried desperately to get private insurance, but the state mandates it.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
15. yep
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 08:24 AM
Sep 2015

I work for a 300 person non profit. My deductibles (senior salaried) are about 1/7 of my take home. For new salaried people, it's 1/4. For hourly, 1/3. And Mrs Clinton thinks heritage care is just fine. Time for something new - really new.

Thav

(946 posts)
17. Even with insurance, the true cost of care is a crapshoot
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 10:17 AM
Sep 2015

You never know how much a doctor's visit is going to cost, ever. Your insurance may say "Office Visit: $20" so you know it will be AT LEAST $20. I pay at least $1250/month for health care related expenses - about $600 for insurance, and the rest for my costs associated with care. Most of the extra is from previous years care, on payment plans.

My wife has had some health issues, I have 4 kids, but I'm lucky as I only do a yearly physical.

My mortgage is only $550/month.

If we were on single payer, and say I was paying $200 more in taxes because of it, I'd still be $1000/month ahead.

Single payer please!

Javaman

(62,531 posts)
20. my GF's deductable is so high, it's like not having healthcare at all.
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 10:45 AM
Sep 2015

we will never meet the deductible unless we have something truly horrible happen.

war and healthcare are a racket.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
23. Here's another Heritage Care story - truly American exceptionalism.
Wed Sep 23, 2015, 12:21 PM
Sep 2015

One of my colleagues' (Pete's) son lives with him. The child's mom lives halfway across the country. The son needs some routine surgery (probably only $75,000 unless he needs an aspirin), but because Pete's insurance is so lousy, they're going to send the patient to the other state, where his mom's insurance is better.

If the stakes weren't so high, our system would be hysterically funny.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
28. I am on Medicare.
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 05:49 AM
Sep 2015

I have an Advantage plan (with Humana). I am very healthy, although I've been going to the doctor a whole lot more than I think I should be going. This is the result of failing a physical for a life insurance because of high blood pressure, and although the bp is more or less under control, I'm still seeing the doctor a lot more than I think I should.

End rant.

More to the point, I have zero copay for those doctor visits. For the three meds I'm taking, I get them via an internet pharmacy, and have a zero copay for a 90 day supply. I'm sure that I might instead have a prescription that costs a whole lot more, and I really do count myself as lucky.

I have a brother with assorted medical issues, including having had a kidney transplant several years ago and all that goes with that. He, understandably, hits the donut hole, and recently we (his siblings) all sent him checks to cover that. He had to retire on disability at age 50, has a small pension and Social Security. Which just cover his normal monthly expenses. Not much money at all.

EVERYONE should have as low medical costs and copays as I do. Ideally, everyone would be as healthy as I am, but since that's not possible, everyone should (I know I'm repeating myself) should have as low medical costs and copays as I do. Period. End of discussion. Individual health issues totally notwithstanding. Zero copay for a doctor visit. Zero copay for medications. I don't see any problem here. Do you?

Kilgore

(1,733 posts)
32. Present system has not benefited us at all
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 09:07 AM
Sep 2015

We pay $987 a month for a bronze plan covering a family of three in WA state. It was purchased outside the exchange since we don't qualify for any subsidies, and providers accepting ACA coverage are a significant drive away. It has a $10,000 deductible!!!!!!

For essentially the same coverage pre obamacare, we were paying ~$500 a month with a $2,500 deductible. Don't tell me "ya but ACA covers more" I know it does, but those extra features are for benefits that are of no use to me.

Makes no sense, and IHMO, the system is still broken. Seriously thinking of going without coverage and banking the premiums.

Too early in the morning to be pissed off!!!!

Javaman

(62,531 posts)
34. it's the bronze level that's the killer.
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 10:17 AM
Sep 2015

my GF's daughter just signed up for ACA and she waffled between either a high payment with a lower deductable per month for either the silver or the gold or a higher deductible for a lower payment per month for the bronze.

devil and the deep blue sea.

we as a nation desperately need single payer

Kilgore

(1,733 posts)
35. Gold premieums were just silly.
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 10:34 AM
Sep 2015

It's been a while since I looked at it, but $1,250 a month comes to mind.

Javaman

(62,531 posts)
36. while ACA is a baby step in the right direction...
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 11:16 AM
Sep 2015

the concept of levels of coverage does nothing but further divide the have even mores from the have even less.

it's like a form of casts system based on health and wealth.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
42. It's a step in the wrong direction.
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 05:34 PM
Sep 2015

It set us back at least 25 years by making the insurance companies part of the government. It will be impossible to get them out.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
41. Single payer still has premiums and deductibles
Thu Sep 24, 2015, 02:39 PM
Sep 2015

I don't get why people think that makes them go away

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
47. And has no dedicated revenue stream
Fri Sep 25, 2015, 03:29 AM
Sep 2015

Non-starter. Without dedicated revenues it's held hostage by Congress every two years.

It also has the kind of hand-waving that infuriates me about this: "oh, we'll just replace current private insurance payments with a tax" it's not that ****ing simple. You are going to pass a tax based on current insurance payments? Or are you just going to estimate what insurance payments "should" be? Or are you going to pass a payroll levy and wave your hands about how it's replacing insurance premiums? In any of those cases there will be winners and losers and the losers are going to be furious.

Canada, I think, was right at least about this: this is more sanely done at the state/province level. If it's Federal, the yahoos in Alabama and Wyoming get way more say on my health insurance than I think I can stand.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
48. It certainly does. The fund would be separate from general tax funds.
Fri Sep 25, 2015, 03:46 AM
Sep 2015

The only losers are going to be insurance companies and pharma profit gougers.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
49. The fund is separate, only a small portion of its levies are
Fri Sep 25, 2015, 03:50 AM
Sep 2015

Yes, it does at least have a separate fund, but that fund is fed by four different sources, only one of which is dedicated to it. It also shakes out to about a 10% payroll levy if I'm reading that right. Including on people who currently don't have insurance, or don't pay for it themselves (their employer does), or can't afford it. And it includes a 10% self-employment tax on top of the current rate. The Chamber of Commerce will have a field day with that, and the electoral map will look like 1984.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
52. Well hell I can think of dozens of ideas that are better than our current system
Fri Sep 25, 2015, 05:44 AM
Sep 2015

The question is as always getting there.

1. The health insurance industry employs about 750K people (it's roughly a quarter of all insurance employment). While they won't all lose their jobs, most of them will, and we need to find something for them to do.

1a. Simultaneously, Medicare Administration staffing will need to expand by (this is my rough guess) about 150%, along with a similar increase in contracting. This seems like an easy solution to 1, and in a perfect world it is, but the Government is so unbelievably slow at ramping up hiring that it would probably end up looking like healthcare.gov but ten times as big.

2. 10% only counts the cost of the treatments currently being delivered to people (this also bothers me about the bill's analysis). Usage will go up. That is the entire point of doing this in the first place. If the 12% of uninsured Americans use health care services at the same rate as insured Americans, it takes us back up to about 15%. But the big question is the currently underinsured: we don't know what their usage rate will be, and if it approaches the rate of people with better insurance, it's going to wind up costing a lot more than our system does now. We simply don't know enough about the rate of underutilization by underinsured people, which is why I think it's dishonest to say we know this will save money. It's not very difficult at all to imagine a scenario where it costs more, if you accept the premise that there is a large amount of underutilization currently.

3. Even if it's the best case and we cut the 17% of our GDP to 12% (IIRC it's that and not 10%, btw), that still represents an increase in government spending equal to 4% of GDP. That is a 20% across the board wage levy, or a 40% across the board corporate tax, or a 10% VAT. There's no getting around how huge of an increase in Federal spending (and so Federal power) that is -- and we need to remember that currently we're giving those reins to John Boehner. But beyond the policy skepticism (I'd much prefer the states do this because of the Boehner issue), the political problem here is a killer. We are advocating a tax (or deficit) increase equal to 4% of the GDP to a population that is less trusting of government than at any point in living memory. It would be a disaster to run on this nationally.

3a. Yes, I know that the tax increase is -- if things go well -- balanced by lower private insurance spending. But lots of people don't see their private insurance spending now (maybe their employer contributes most or all of their premiums) whereas they will see a payroll levy every two weeks. Furthermore, to understand the resistance to this, imagine that your sketchy uncle can get DVDs cheaper than you can at Best Buy. Does that mean you want to hand him your entire DVD budget and trust he'll do it?

4. Even here on the left we have people who are enraged that the government subpoenaed records of who called whom when one of the participants was a foreigner. Not recording what they said, mind you, just keeping the dots in case they want to connect them later. These are business records belonging to the phone company, but people still felt violated and outraged. And now we're talking about the Federal Government maintaining records of all medical procedures whatsoever? That's going to go over like a lead balloon. And I guarantee you a Republican President would abuse it.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
53. A $200/month tax beats an $800/month premium any old day.
Fri Sep 25, 2015, 10:02 PM
Sep 2015

If you are going to use the employment argument, then we must also maintain and increase the prison industrial complex. After all, it employs lots of people.

I see no problem with government maintenance of health care records that does not already exist with private medical records--which have already been hacked. We could get Taiwan to show us how to do it--your entire medical history is in your medical ID card there. Same with France--and their system was created by a US company.

Single payer will never be implemented on a national level. What will happen is what happened in Canada. One province gets it, the doctors see their income go up by 2/3, and suddenly all the provinces want it. At that point there will have to be national standards.

Increased utiilization saves lives--that is the whole fucking point of making health care a public good.

 

Texas Blues

(55 posts)
55. At least this helps us get to single payer
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 11:33 AM
Sep 2015

When the Affordable Care Act was enacted, we knew there were going to be problems by the radical republicans who would do anything they could to sabotage the act. What we should now do is complete the migration to single payer, as we have the mandate to do so and the President can just do it through executive order.

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
57. Interesting how Jim Messina's strongly connected to this, espec. given his new allegiance
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 12:01 PM
Sep 2015

He worked for Baucus, then for Obama, now for Cameron and the Tories.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Messina_(political_staffer)

Zorra

(27,670 posts)
58. I did not have a surgery because the out of pocket expenses were out of this world.
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 12:06 PM
Sep 2015

It was a relatively minor outpatient laser surgery. $30,000 worth of minor surgery. Anyway, I canceled the surgery, thinking maybe that I could get better without the surgery. The specialist told me I would definitely not get better without the surgery.

There's no way can you get better without the surgery, she said.

The day after I was supposed to have had the surgery, I received a letter from my health insurance company informing me that they were not going to pay for the surgery, because the doctor had not tried a certain treatment first. However, the doctor had tried that treatment.

Anyway, I'm completely cured now, without surgery, or any further treatment from the medical establishment. I'm still paying off the medical bills that I accrued from the specialist who misdiagnosed my condition.

The entire healthcare system in the US is FUBAR because of our for profit private healthcare insurance companies. We need universal single payer right now.

I'm voting for Bernie Sanders, the candidate who will do everything in his power to get us single payer. I urge everyone to vote for Bernie.

The life you save may be your own, or your child's.
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