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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy Donald Trump loves online polls
Washington Post:A few weeks ago, I wrote an article suggesting that Donald Trump's poll numbers had slipped. The next day, the candidate called me.
"I'm not complaining," Trump said. "But we have actually been going up. I know a lot of the online polls have been phenomenal, too, but I know that you don't cover that stuff as much."
Both parts of that are true. Some of the online polls have been phenomenal, and we don't cover them too much.
We don't cover them much because The Post relies on polls "based on the principles of inferential statistics," in the wonky words of our pollsters. The worry with online polls is that they "typically base their samples of respondents on groups of people who join a panel to take repeated surveys." If you take out the randomness of the sample, our pollsters say, "there is no theoretical bases to project results to a larger population."
"I'm not complaining," Trump said. "But we have actually been going up. I know a lot of the online polls have been phenomenal, too, but I know that you don't cover that stuff as much."
Both parts of that are true. Some of the online polls have been phenomenal, and we don't cover them too much.
We don't cover them much because The Post relies on polls "based on the principles of inferential statistics," in the wonky words of our pollsters. The worry with online polls is that they "typically base their samples of respondents on groups of people who join a panel to take repeated surveys." If you take out the randomness of the sample, our pollsters say, "there is no theoretical bases to project results to a larger population."
Apparently Democratic online polls are more accurate?
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Why Donald Trump loves online polls (Original Post)
brooklynite
Oct 2015
OP
Actually, the latest "real" poll (FNC) has Trump and Carson one point apart...
brooklynite
Oct 2015
#2
MannyGoldstein
(34,589 posts)1. Are you claiming that Trump isn't the Republican frontrunner?
That would be analagous, no?
brooklynite
(94,748 posts)2. Actually, the latest "real" poll (FNC) has Trump and Carson one point apart...
Egnever
(21,506 posts)5. Interesting that the graphs mirror each other
obviously the numbers are different but the trends mirror each other almost perfectly.
Almost makes the case that there is something to those online polls. Would like to see more samples.
MannyGoldstein
(34,589 posts)6. And is your claim in regard to Bernie's poll numbers,
or as to who won last night's debate?
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)3. Yep the polls after the debate were sprinkled
with feiry dust to make them represent the people.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)4. Nobody should ever base
any kind of judgement on an online poll. I only barely trust any of the polls at this point in the process but the online ones aren't worth the electrons it takes to fire them around the internet.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)7. I clicky-clicky the online polls the mostist I can.
[img][/img]
[font size="5"]I WIN![/font]