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brooklynite

(94,748 posts)
Wed Oct 14, 2015, 03:15 PM Oct 2015

Why Donald Trump loves online polls

Washington Post:

A few weeks ago, I wrote an article suggesting that Donald Trump's poll numbers had slipped. The next day, the candidate called me.

"I'm not complaining," Trump said. "But we have actually been going up. I know a lot of the online polls have been phenomenal, too, but I know that you don't cover that stuff as much."

Both parts of that are true. Some of the online polls have been phenomenal, and we don't cover them too much.

We don't cover them much because The Post relies on polls "based on the principles of inferential statistics," in the wonky words of our pollsters. The worry with online polls is that they "typically base their samples of respondents on groups of people who join a panel to take repeated surveys." If you take out the randomness of the sample, our pollsters say, "there is no theoretical bases to project results to a larger population."


Apparently Democratic online polls are more accurate?
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Why Donald Trump loves online polls (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2015 OP
Are you claiming that Trump isn't the Republican frontrunner? MannyGoldstein Oct 2015 #1
Actually, the latest "real" poll (FNC) has Trump and Carson one point apart... brooklynite Oct 2015 #2
Interesting that the graphs mirror each other Egnever Oct 2015 #5
And is your claim in regard to Bernie's poll numbers, MannyGoldstein Oct 2015 #6
Yep the polls after the debate were sprinkled upaloopa Oct 2015 #3
Nobody should ever base sharp_stick Oct 2015 #4
I clicky-clicky the online polls the mostist I can. onehandle Oct 2015 #7
 

Egnever

(21,506 posts)
5. Interesting that the graphs mirror each other
Wed Oct 14, 2015, 03:26 PM
Oct 2015

obviously the numbers are different but the trends mirror each other almost perfectly.


Almost makes the case that there is something to those online polls. Would like to see more samples.

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
4. Nobody should ever base
Wed Oct 14, 2015, 03:26 PM
Oct 2015

any kind of judgement on an online poll. I only barely trust any of the polls at this point in the process but the online ones aren't worth the electrons it takes to fire them around the internet.

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