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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Little-Noticed Conservative Plan To Permanently Lock Democrats Out Of Policymaking
The Little-Noticed Conservative Plan To Permanently Lock Democrats Out Of Policymakingby Ian Millhiser at Think Progress
http://thinkprogress.org/justice/2015/11/16/3722395/the-little-noticed-conservative-plan-to-permanently-lock-democrats-out-of-policymaking/
"SNIP..............
Ultimately, however, these are very modest successes in comparison to the bold proposals offered at the Federalist Society. Take the REINS Act, for example, which would automatically invalidate any new regulation that impacts more than 0.0006 percent of the nations economy unless this regulation is approved by Congress by the end of 70 session days or legislative days. Given congressional dysfunction, this bill would likely shut down many new federal rules entirely regardless of whether those new rules expand the scope of federal regulation, update an existing regulation in light of new technological or other developments, or even if the new rule repeals an existing regulation entirely.
As a practical matter, however, REINS and similar proposals would likely effect a massive shift in power from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party.
Much of our electoral system, at the moment, places a thumb on the scale in favor of Republicans. The GOP-controlled Supreme Court gave state lawmakers more leeway to enact voter suppression laws than they have enjoyed since Jim Crow. U.S. House districts tend to favor Republicans because Democrats tend to cluster in cities where they are concentrated into relatively few congressional districts. These geographic factors are then exacerbated by partisan gerrymandering, which also give Republicans a significant advantage in many key states.
Indeed, in 2012, ThinkProgress estimated that Democrats would have needed to win the national popular vote in all U.S. House races by 7.25 percentage points in order to eek out a bare majority in Congresss lower chamber.
..............SNIP"
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The Little-Noticed Conservative Plan To Permanently Lock Democrats Out Of Policymaking (Original Post)
applegrove
Nov 2015
OP
I'm sure someone has done the math on senators and the math. I remember hearing that somewhere.
applegrove
Nov 2015
#10
randys1
(16,286 posts)1. OH MY GOD
I have been saying this about any election for a long time
Indeed, in 2012, ThinkProgress estimated that Democrats would have needed to win the national popular vote in all U.S. House races by 7.25 percentage points in order to eek out a bare majority in Congresss lower chamber.
Takket
(21,625 posts)5. found this.........
http://www.thenation.com/article/republicans-only-got-52-percent-vote-house-races/
Looking forward, its even worse for Democrats. FairVotes Monopoly Politics projection model was, as usual, highly accurate in this electionof 368 projections made a year ago, only two were wrong. Weve already released our projections for 2016thats two years away, folksand picked sure winners in 373 districts, leaving only 14 percent of the House even potentially in play. To win a majority of 218 House seats, we project that Democratic candidates would need to win ten million more votes than Republicans.
Imagine if analysts assumed that structural bias in the Electoral College would allow the Democrats to keep the White House in 2016 even if their candidate lost by 10 million votes. That distortion would stir an uproarremember that when Al Gore lost in 2000, he had won the popular vote by 500,000 votes. Yet the partisan skew in House elections draws barely a yawn.
~snip
I'm curious if anyone has any data on how many people the GOP reps actually represent vs. how many the democrats do?
Looking forward, its even worse for Democrats. FairVotes Monopoly Politics projection model was, as usual, highly accurate in this electionof 368 projections made a year ago, only two were wrong. Weve already released our projections for 2016thats two years away, folksand picked sure winners in 373 districts, leaving only 14 percent of the House even potentially in play. To win a majority of 218 House seats, we project that Democratic candidates would need to win ten million more votes than Republicans.
Imagine if analysts assumed that structural bias in the Electoral College would allow the Democrats to keep the White House in 2016 even if their candidate lost by 10 million votes. That distortion would stir an uproarremember that when Al Gore lost in 2000, he had won the popular vote by 500,000 votes. Yet the partisan skew in House elections draws barely a yawn.
~snip
I'm curious if anyone has any data on how many people the GOP reps actually represent vs. how many the democrats do?
randys1
(16,286 posts)6. Well that is just fucking insane. Unacceptable. God dammit
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)9. Ifyou control the districting
you control the results.
applegrove
(118,778 posts)10. I'm sure someone has done the math on senators and the math. I remember hearing that somewhere.
msongs
(67,441 posts)2. dems have been sleeping the past 7 years. no surprises here nt
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)8. And collaborating actively
during their few bouts of wakefulness.
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)3. This group of Ultra Neo Conseratives or Facists
have their boy Paul Ryan all set to go with their agenda. Noticed a couple of weeks ago the House did some rule changes which pretty much shuts out the Democrats on any or all legislative matters. Remember Hastert,well that was one of their trail runs. Same again with Senenbrenner,and to think we just plain got lucky.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)4. Until we can control the House, it doesn't really matter.
Because it's not like any sort of sane legislation is gonna get through there anyway, certainly not with the Hastert rule back in place.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)7. Yes, it is fascism now.
Beyond all doubt.