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pampango

(24,692 posts)
Mon Nov 23, 2015, 04:02 PM Nov 2015

CBC: There is a plan to end the war in Syria — and it might even work


Barack Obama and Russia's Vladimir Putin have a rare, and intense, one on one at the G20
summit in Turkey last week. Much of the discussion there dealt with ISIS and the war in Syria.


Something is definitely stirring at the Vienna talks aimed at ending Syria's vicious civil war and it looks suspiciously like hope — however hard it is to credit any positive news these days. ... No doubt the atrocity in Paris just over a week ago has had something to do with this.

Key Concessions

Key players on opposite sides of the conflict — such as Russia and the U.S. — seem to realize that this war is now feeding jihadist violence that is threatening all nations. So they've started making concessions to arrive at a common roadmap for the differing Syrian factions to follow.

Simplified greatly, the object is to get a ceasefire and some sort of collaboration between the Assad regime and the so-called moderate rebels by as early as January no less. Then, using this transitional truce and lots of UN help, seek a new Syrian constitution to arrive at national elections and a new government within 18 months.

To get the process this far, concessions have been required. Western partners have dropped the "Assad must go" demand as the two main backers of his regime, Russia and Iran, were unwavering in their insistence that Bashar al-Assad must at least be part of the initial transitional administration.

At the same time, it seems clear that both Moscow and Tehran have told Assad that his time in power is limited. He's being pushed to prepare for power-sharing with rebels, and will likely exit as any new constitution and elections loom.

The tricky bit here involves getting Russia and Iran to deliver the Assad government to the process, and for Obama and the West to do the same with the non-jihadists who have been fighting him, an always fractured alliance.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/peace-plan-syria-brian-stewart-1.3328962

Hard to be optimistic about the situation in Syria but one can hope.
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CBC: There is a plan to end the war in Syria — and it might even work (Original Post) pampango Nov 2015 OP
That picture says so much flamingdem Nov 2015 #1
Something like this needs to happen. Putin's moves are making it happen, too. Comrade Grumpy Nov 2015 #2
Assad could win the election. 4139 Nov 2015 #3
Not with Russia and Iran telling Assad that his time in power is limited. 1StrongBlackMan Nov 2015 #5
So could Kim Jong Un. KamaAina Nov 2015 #7
I'm thinking this has been in the works for awhile now. n/t 1StrongBlackMan Nov 2015 #4
Phase 1. Xolodno Nov 2015 #6
I never doubted it for a minute. POTUS can't show his cards until others agree. lindysalsagal Nov 2015 #8
 

Comrade Grumpy

(13,184 posts)
2. Something like this needs to happen. Putin's moves are making it happen, too.
Mon Nov 23, 2015, 04:09 PM
Nov 2015

We would have been content to see Syrians being killed for the foreseeable future, as long as Assad was getting hurt.

It wasn't just Putin's moves, though; the flood of refugees helped the Europeans concentrate on this, too.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
5. Not with Russia and Iran telling Assad that his time in power is limited.
Mon Nov 23, 2015, 04:16 PM
Nov 2015

Just reading between the lines, on that.

Xolodno

(6,395 posts)
6. Phase 1.
Mon Nov 23, 2015, 04:27 PM
Nov 2015

Phase 2. Eliminate Daesh.

Phase 3. Rebuild Syria...loans will be from Russia, China and Iran. Syria is not going pro west or pro Sunni.

lindysalsagal

(20,692 posts)
8. I never doubted it for a minute. POTUS can't show his cards until others agree.
Mon Nov 23, 2015, 06:05 PM
Nov 2015

Explains his terse reactions to the crap he's been taking from brainless, uninformed candidates.

If he pulls that off, along with Kadafe and Bin Laden, the GOP will swallow major bile. He'll be nothing short of the next coming.

Not bad for a Kenyan.

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