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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNew WI Recall Poll has Walker & Barrett tied at 49%
A new poll taken by pollster Celinda Lake who is a Democrat but is well respected by polling professionals has found that the battle between Scott Walker and challenger Tom Barrett is now deadlocked, at 49 percent each.
The poll which will be released later today and was comissioned by the pro-labor Greater Wisconsin Committees political fund also finds that independents are breaking towards Barrett, 49-44.
The poll is an automated one (which means it doesnt include cell phones) that surveyed 600 likely Wisconsin voters from May 24-28, which means it was in the field until Monday of this week. Its sample: 43 percent Democrats and Dem-leaners; 43 percent Republican and GOP-leaners; and 13 percent non-leaning independents.
http://www.uppitywis.org/blogarticle/new-celinda-lake-poll-has-race-neck-and-neck-barrett-49-walker-4
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New WI Recall Poll has Walker & Barrett tied at 49% (Original Post)
WI_DEM
May 2012
OP
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)1. --and that's before my weekend stint on the phones.
It's in the bag, people.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)2. mine too...
I found great enthusiasm last weekend on calls--also lots of dems who sat out the 2010 election are going to vote this time.
yortsed snacilbuper
(7,939 posts)4. "dems who sat out the 2010 election are going to vote this time. "
I guess they learned their lesson?
elleng
(130,914 posts)3. Doesn't include cell phones,
so what's that mean, y'all???
:fingerscrossed:
ananda
(28,862 posts)5. Re cell phones.
Didn't I recently read an article claiming that more Dems use cell phones than Reeps?
Hope so!
elleng
(130,914 posts)6. Wouldn't be surprised about that,
and surely younger people, so IF younger Badgers were NOT polled, what's THAT mean???
movonne
(9,623 posts)7. Why is the Marquette poll saying that walker is ahead????
elleng
(130,914 posts)8. Dunno. Maybe comments will shed some light,
Poiuyt
(18,124 posts)10. The Marquette poll oversamples conservatives
Once Again Marquette Poll's Sample Grossly Oversamples Conservatives, Undersamples Moderates
Polls are only relevent if their sample is reflective of the electorate. As the graph demonstrates, compared to exit poll data (averaged from 2010, 2008 and 2006) the recently released Marquette poll grossly oversamples conservatives and undersamples moderates.
This is, of course, quite significant considering that the same poll shows Barrett beating Walker 50 to 42% among moderates.
http://www.uppitywis.org/blogarticle/once-again-marquette-polls-sample-grossly-oversamples-conservati
Polls are only relevent if their sample is reflective of the electorate. As the graph demonstrates, compared to exit poll data (averaged from 2010, 2008 and 2006) the recently released Marquette poll grossly oversamples conservatives and undersamples moderates.
This is, of course, quite significant considering that the same poll shows Barrett beating Walker 50 to 42% among moderates.
http://www.uppitywis.org/blogarticle/once-again-marquette-polls-sample-grossly-oversamples-conservati
gratuitous
(82,849 posts)9. Turnout = Everything
Get to the polls, get your friends to the polls. Get your relatives, neighbors, hell, even your enemies to the polls. The more votes, the more better.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)11. +1, GOTV! I believe WI Dems and Indy's can do it!