Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

BlueCheese

(2,522 posts)
Tue Dec 15, 2015, 01:55 AM Dec 2015

Trump opens up big GOP lead in ABC/WaPo poll, but trails behind Clinton in GE

According to the poll, Trump is now at 38%, well ahead of Ted Cruz at 15%, with Marco Rubio and Ban Carson next at 12%.

In a hypothetical general election matchup, Clinton leads Trump 53-40 among all adults, and 50-44 among registered voters.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-face-of-criticism-trump-surges-to-his-biggest-lead-over-the-gop-field/2015/12/14/b9555e30-a29c-11e5-9c4e-be37f66848bb_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_poll-1210am%3Ahomepage%2Fstory

Essentially, it looks as if Trump's comments about Muslims coming to the US have made him even more popular among the GOP base. I'll admit I was wrong-- I never thought he would make it this far, but at this point I've stopped doubting his staying power.

3 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Trump opens up big GOP lead in ABC/WaPo poll, but trails behind Clinton in GE (Original Post) BlueCheese Dec 2015 OP
A lot of the punditry re: Trump has been wrong. It's a bit scary. Nothing seems to slow him down. Tarheel_Dem Dec 2015 #1
His comments about Muslims were by design. joshcryer Dec 2015 #2
Pollsters and Trump's numbers - Stop freaking out. GoneOffShore Dec 2015 #3

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
2. His comments about Muslims were by design.
Tue Dec 15, 2015, 02:29 AM
Dec 2015

It was the first time I ever saw him read a statement from a piece of paper. He always rants on in his own Apprentice Style speeches but when he read that very carefully worded hit piece on new Muslims entering the country I knew it had to have been copy-tested. They reached out to conservative voters and asked them what they wanted to truly hear, and it was at the top of the list.

Expect more outrageous shit as the primaries draw nearer.

GoneOffShore

(17,340 posts)
3. Pollsters and Trump's numbers - Stop freaking out.
Tue Dec 15, 2015, 04:22 AM
Dec 2015

So, here's something to remember when looking at his poll numbers: Trump has the support of about 30% of likely Republican primary voters; pollsters usually peg "likely voters" at a bit over 60% in the general, but assume a freakishly high primary turnout, say seventy percent; then recall that self-identified Republicans are roughly 41% of all Americans.

0.3x0.7x0.41=0.0861

That's a bit under nine percent of the country, at a very generous estimate. Now remind yourself that eight percent of Americans believe the moon landings were faked. So.....

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Trump opens up big GOP le...