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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI predict people will tire of Trump and he will fade away.
Trump is a car wreck. At first it is exciting to watch a car wreck but if there is a car wreck every day at the same site eventually people get tired of sitting in traffic and take an alternate route.
Kind of like Kim Davis. Remember her?
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Winning back Congress would be HUUUUGGEEE!!
Funtatlaguy
(10,878 posts)If he is their nominee, we will have the greatest landslide since Nixon/McGovern.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)The primary begins in like 42 days. If it was another six months maybe. I think we are stuck with him for a long while yet.
kimbutgar
(21,162 posts)And walks off stage. It will show he is truly unfit to be president.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,414 posts)Why would another sucky debate performance make a difference now?
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,733 posts)And the more outrageous things he says and does, the higher his poll numbers go. If he walks off the stage tonight the knuckledraggers will love him more than ever because they'll see him as defying the "establishment."
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)Reap what you sow, GOP. Reap what you sow.
madville
(7,412 posts)I figure they already have preplanned offensive positions and comments mapped out in order to keep his name in the news 24/7.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)People are already walking away from his rallies before he is finished ranting.
onecaliberal
(32,864 posts)That has enveloped the Republican party. It would be kinda fun to watch if it weren't so completely horrendous. The cancer has been exposed, its out in the open for all to view.
Turbineguy
(37,343 posts)crazier bigot. Who knows, maybe Hitler has a grandson or something. Republicans would flock to that. The genuine article.
Cassiopeia
(2,603 posts)The GOP primary is also set up as winner take all for each state. Trump could easily get the nomination while only receiving 15% to 20% of the vote in each state.
That's some scary shit.
subterranean
(3,427 posts)The ones held between March 1 and March 14 will award delegates on a proportional basis. After that, it's winner-take-all.
Cassiopeia
(2,603 posts)Admittedly, I hadn't read too much into the R process as the end result will be the same, a nut bag will win the primary.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)He is a symptom that the the right wants to burn everything and remake it like it never was.
The far right is tired of being promised things that the Republican establishment never delivers.
GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)But they have been promised lots of things by Republican's in office, who never seriously tried to deliver even when they had total control under Bush.
Trump, Cruz, and Carson are not beholden to the Rightwing leadership. Trump is seen as completely outside the political Washington class. The later two are rightwing religious revolutionaries actively disliked by the leadership of the party, who consider them un electable in the general election.
How would you feel if the Democratic Party had promised all the programs and policies that you hold dear for four decades and not delivered on even one?
You would start looking for someone outside the normal Democratic circle of candidates.
Trump, Cruz, and Carson are Republican's version of that.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)to the Dixiecrats. They are white and angry, ready to inflict their venom onto anyone who is not white.
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)Could the RWNJs find somebody else to coalesce around to maintain some fig leaf of not being overtly racist and hateful? Possibly. Not sure who. Cruz has burned too many bridges, Rubio has the skills of a HS freshman class president candidate at best, Carson is just borderline sane and the others are either tainted by repeat losses and/or considered impure RINOS by the fanatic fringe who dominate primary voting in the GOP.
Could there be either a brokered convention or a last minute Faustian bargain to combine delegates to force an establishment candidate? Possibly. But that means an Indie or major write in campaign for Trump that guarantees a Dem landslide and, depending on the whim of a paranoid thinskinned billionaire, possible huge downticket losses if he decides to lash out back at them (what are the odds he'd accept a snub with equanimity?) and inform his brownshirt wannabe followers to refrain from voting for any Republican at any level.
Remember we are dealing with a GOP faithful electorate that IS racist and dumb and bigoted and incapable of nuance and slavering at the thought of a leader who talks like them. When we talk about the balance of RW power being between the plutocrats and the Teabag nation, that balance is only in party influence and funding and lobbying strength. The actual numbers of voters is massively imbalanced in their primary universe toward the knuckle-dragging troglodytes. There aren't enough MBAs and millionaires to outvote that crowd.
Whether Trump gets the nom or not (about evens in my opinion) we can pretty much guarantee that absent the seismic shift of, say, all other candidates simultaneously dropping out and endorsing Cruz or Rubio, he will get a plurality of primary voters.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)The old CW was that Trump would crash and burn. It was wrong. The new CW is that nothing will stop Trump. It is also wrong. He is still not going to crash and burn but that is not in fact the way most candidacies end. Trump will likely never actually drop out but my prediction is that he will not have the most delegates going into the convention.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)Hasn't happened yet
tularetom
(23,664 posts)I don't see anything preventing his nomination, and if the Democrats don't wake up and nominate the right opponent, he could conceivably be elected.
But when he finally comes to the realization that he's not running for king, and that he has to actually get stuff done, and that people will regard him as a failure and a loser when he can't deliver all the crap he promises, he'll find some excuse to drop out.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)real experience of a concept he knows little about "No", he'll start to reconsider.
0rganism
(23,957 posts)before he was governor of California
Kim Davis is some kind of celebrity martyr now, and Kentucky recently voted in a Republican governor because of her tantrums
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)charm, well-honed acting skills, good-looking, and Nancy was the epitome of graciousness. I did not vote for him and his policies were ruinous in many ways, but the old debate meme "There ya go again" was his way of sluffing off criticism with sheer imperial abandon.
backscatter712
(26,355 posts)Hopefully, he doesn't quite have enough popularity to actually win, so he may turn out to be like Sarah Palin - with quite a few more months where we get to have his face inflicted upon us by the TV, but after that, his star will finally fade.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)It seems he's only in the campaign for self-promotion. He's not wasting his time wrassling donors, and certainly isn't studying economics or current affairs. It's pretty obvious to me that he's not planning on entering any serious debate, as against the Democratic nominee.
Closer to the election, more and more aware Republican voters will be preferring an Establishment candidate, and I think Trump's fragile ego will not risk coming in second. He'll insult us all, come up with a bullshit excuse, and quit, sputtering about an independent run that won't happen.
leftyladyfrommo
(18,868 posts)He's everywhere.
cbdo2007
(9,213 posts)to stay out there and keep saying ridiculous stuff. I wish Anonymous could track down who is paying him to put on this charade. It's obviously not real and doesn't seem to have any real agenda besides publicity and media attention.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)I think he hits his high-mark this week, plateaus next week, dives precipitously the following week, and finally becomes a guilty memory of gullible half-wits the week after that.
He's a hair-do... and though hair-do's are popular, I give the benefit of the doubt to the collective electorate to place the popular, the pretentious and the ineffectual to the side when casting a meaningful vote.
His only (admitted) supporters left will be those same buffoons who think Sarah Palin has the brain of an academic.
EndElectoral
(4,213 posts)Johonny
(20,851 posts)He has a large following but not even a majority following. He's sort of like FOX news. He has a large minority of people that likely won't give him up until the end of time. But they aren't a great in number as the media pretends it is. He has huge dislike numbers that he is unlikely to overcome to win a national election. The GOP is stuck without a safe candidate so who knows what's going to happen in these primaries.
JI7
(89,252 posts)And as for davis the people of kentucky were mostly fine with her and elected a republican for gov who supported her