General Discussion

former9thward

(32,019 posts) Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:14 PM Jan 2016

Microsoft says Trump, Clinton will win in the early primaries.

Microsoft's Bing just called the first four primaries for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton. Microsoft's track record in calling political races has been excellent so far.

Trump wins the first four (Iowa, New Hampshire, S. Carolina and Nevada). Clinton wins all except New Hampshire.

Microsoft correctly called the “No” vote on the referendum for Scotland to secede from Great Britain, and also accurately predicted the outcome of more than 95 percent of the 2014 U.S. midterm elections.

(The numbers I am posting come from a table which I am unable to replicate with cut/paste so a couple names are misplaced)

Iowa (Feb. 1)
DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton 50.1% Donald Trump 39.8%
Bernie Sanders 46.8% Ted Cruz 30.5%
Martin O’Malley 3.1% Marco Rubio 12.9%

New Hampshire (Feb. 9)
DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS
Bernie Sanders 58.4% Donald Trump 40.2%
Hillary Clinton 40.5% Ted Cruz 13.1%
Martin O’Malley 1.1% Marco Rubio 12.6%
John Kasich 11.9%

South Carolina (Feb. 20, 27)
DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton 63.5% Donald Trump 44.3%
Bernie Sanders 36.4% Ted Cruz 22.6%
Martin O’Malley 0.1% Marco Rubio 14.7%

Nevada (Feb. 20, 23)
DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton 91.2% Donald Trump 39.6%
Bernie Sanders 8.7% Ted Cruz 20.8%
Martin O’Malley 0.1% Ben Carson 18.4%
Marco Rubio 12.4%

http://www.pcworld.com/article/3026461/data-center-cloud/microsofts-bing-just-called-the-first-four-primaries-for-donald-trump-hillary-clinton.html

9 replies

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Highlight:

Microsoft says Trump, Clinton will win in the early primaries. (Original Post) former9thward Jan 2016 OP

gdp joeybee12 Jan 2016 #1

The people that brought you Windows ME, Vista and 8. hobbit709 Jan 2016 #2

If I remember nothing else when Alzheimer's renders my brain useless I will still remember A Simple Game Feb 2016 #9

Funny that. Didn't MS supply the voting machines in Iowa? pangaia Jan 2016 #3

Uh, who is smoking the cow manure? : Jarqui Jan 2016 #4

Well, guess there is no point in me voting then. Oh...wait: dixiegrrrrl Jan 2016 #5

When it's YOUR tabulating software Ferd Berfel Jan 2016 #6

How far from the date of the Scotland and US midterm elections did Bing make its predictions? Jim__ Jan 2016 #7

I don't know. former9thward Feb 2016 #8

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)

1. gdp

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:17 PM

Jan 2016

But I will say that this is good news

hobbit709

(41,694 posts)

2. The people that brought you Windows ME, Vista and 8.

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:19 PM

Jan 2016

A Simple Game

(9,214 posts)

9. If I remember nothing else when Alzheimer's renders my brain useless I will still remember

Reply to hobbit709 (Reply #2)

Thu Feb 4, 2016, 06:37 PM

Feb 2016

how Microsoft screwed me with Windows ME. I will never understand how they could release such a piece of garbage.

pangaia

(24,324 posts)

3. Funny that. Didn't MS supply the voting machines in Iowa?

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:19 PM

Jan 2016

Or the APPS or software or matchsticks or whatever?

Jarqui

(10,126 posts)

4. Uh, who is smoking the cow manure? :

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:20 PM

Jan 2016

Nevada (Feb. 20, 23)
DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton 91.2% Donald Trump 39.6%
Bernie Sanders 8.7% Ted Cruz 20.8%
Martin O’Malley 0.1% Ben Carson 18.4%
Marco Rubio 12.4%

Someone's snorting their bonus money from Clintons before the job is done

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)

5. Well, guess there is no point in me voting then. Oh...wait:

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:23 PM

Jan 2016

Ferd Berfel

(3,687 posts)

6. When it's YOUR tabulating software

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:35 PM

Jan 2016

I guess you can be the decider.

Tammany Hall boss William Marcy Tweed: "As long as I count the votes, what are you going to do about it?"

Jim__

(14,077 posts)

7. How far from the date of the Scotland and US midterm elections did Bing make its predictions?

Reply to former9thward (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 10:24 PM

Jan 2016

I can accept that the available evidence may allow an accurate prediction of Iowa and New Hampshire. Nevada and South Carolina are 3 weeks out and the available evidence may change dramatically in that time frame.

ETA: I see it called the mid-terms in early October. So, probably about the same time frame as Nevada and South Carolina. But, I suspect the primaries may be more volatile than the congressional elections.

former9thward

(32,019 posts)

8. I don't know.

Reply to Jim__ (Reply #7)

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 01:19 AM

Feb 2016

But they are putting their predictions out there for all to see. We will see how accurate it is.

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