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oberliner

(58,724 posts) Sat Feb 13, 2016, 07:50 PM Feb 2016

0

Republican Primary Prediction: Kasich does better than expected in South Carolina, finishes 2nd

Especially if he has a good debate performance tonight. I think his whole "positive message" schtick is going to be surprisingly successful. I think Cruz is losing his base to Trump. Marco blew it last debate. And Bush has just no personality.

I think Kasich ekes out a 2nd place finish (distant 2nd to The Donald) and that gets the establishment thinking that he might be The One.

3 replies

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Republican Primary Prediction: Kasich does better than expected in South Carolina, finishes 2nd (Original Post) oberliner Feb 2016 OP

SC Republican Party poll: brooklynite Feb 2016 #1

So that would make this a pretty bold prediction! oberliner Feb 2016 #2

I'm going to the theater...will try to watch tomorrow. brooklynite Feb 2016 #3

brooklynite

(94,598 posts)

1. SC Republican Party poll:

Reply to oberliner (Original post)

Sat Feb 13, 2016, 07:54 PM

Feb 2016

Trump 34.5%
Cruz: 15.5%
Bush: 13%
Cruz: 12.5%
Kasich: 8.5%

Internal campaign poll (via Mike Murphy):

Source I trust sends these SC tracking numbers from a non-Jeb campaign; Trump 34, Cruz 17, Jeb 12, Rubio 10. Kasich in single digits.

oberliner

(58,724 posts)

2. So that would make this a pretty bold prediction!

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #1)

Sat Feb 13, 2016, 07:55 PM

Feb 2016

Let's see what happens at the debate (if you can stomach watching).

brooklynite

(94,598 posts)

3. I'm going to the theater...will try to watch tomorrow.

Reply to oberliner (Reply #2)

Sat Feb 13, 2016, 07:57 PM

Feb 2016

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