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Barrett: Final tracking poll: 47.8% to 47.7%. (Original Post) PeaceNikki Jun 2012 OP
If it is really this close then I think Barrett wins because undecideds usually fall to the... WI_DEM Jun 2012 #1
If it's really this close now, Barrett has the BIG MO ProgressiveEconomist Jun 2012 #17
I hate polls. Left Coast2020 Jun 2012 #2
Which puts us at a dis advantage because they will fix the election if it is so close still_one Jun 2012 #3
'They' will attempt to 'fix' the election in any event. elleng Jun 2012 #4
You say that with such certainty. HereSince1628 Jun 2012 #6
Thank you. Everyone here disregards our concerted election integrity efforts PeaceNikki Jun 2012 #7
Kathy Nickolaus may have given you a bad rap. Zorra Jun 2012 #21
No, she gave herself a bad rap and woke us up. PeaceNikki Jun 2012 #23
I guess you had no problem with Waukesha County Clerk Kathy Nickolaus /nt still_one Jun 2012 #34
That's a non sequitur, from your comments it seems you don't actually know what happened HereSince1628 Jun 2012 #35
That is what I wanted to hear /nt still_one Jun 2012 #36
Well internal polls are done to show the campain what they need to do so I... hrmjustin Jun 2012 #5
Walker is a 95% favorite on Intrade - I wish I had some spare cash on account banned from Kos Jun 2012 #8
I wonder how much money the Koch brothers have sunk into intrade in recent weeks. n/t gkhouston Jun 2012 #11
Wow 95%?! Sounds like a very good risk adjusted bet. Lucky Luciano Jun 2012 #12
Agree, but if you believe the poll that has Walker up seven per cent banned from Kos Jun 2012 #14
k&r... spanone Jun 2012 #9
We will win if we have spectacular turnout in Dane County undeterred Jun 2012 #10
We need it in Milwaukee, too!!! PeaceNikki Jun 2012 #13
Thousands more in Milwaukee! undeterred Jun 2012 #32
k&b flamingdem Jun 2012 #15
K&R SunSeeker Jun 2012 #16
Not to rain on anyone's parade Phlem Jun 2012 #18
The state party will have ward totals before they get to the county. PeaceNikki Jun 2012 #19
Thanks, but we'd rather trust the WI Democrats, aided by outside observers, to watch the polls, etc. brentspeak Jun 2012 #22
I am a Wisconsin Democrat, thanks. PeaceNikki Jun 2012 #24
Post removed Post removed Jun 2012 #25
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceNikki Jun 2012 #26
PPP 50% WALKER - 47% BARRETT Iliyah Jun 2012 #20
well Ellipsis Jun 2012 #29
We have boots on the ground jemdem Jun 2012 #27
Welcome to DU, jemdem.... lamp_shade Jun 2012 #30
So, has the DNC finally decided to help? Ken Burch Jun 2012 #28
Go Wisconsinites!! malaise Jun 2012 #31
Post removed Post removed Jun 2012 #33
Thank You Nikki... WillyT Jun 2012 #37

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
1. If it is really this close then I think Barrett wins because undecideds usually fall to the...
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:35 PM
Jun 2012

challenger 2-1 this close to the election.

elleng

(131,023 posts)
4. 'They' will attempt to 'fix' the election in any event.
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:41 PM
Jun 2012

Question is whether we've learned anything over the last 11 or so years, and whether we'll DO anything about it.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
6. You say that with such certainty.
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:42 PM
Jun 2012

give us a link to evidence that the fix is in for Wisconsin and not just the musings of paranoid anxiety

PeaceNikki

(27,985 posts)
7. Thank you. Everyone here disregards our concerted election integrity efforts
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:44 PM
Jun 2012

including a unique opportunity to learn from a recount and several elections since.

Zorra

(27,670 posts)
21. Kathy Nickolaus may have given you a bad rap.
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 12:28 AM
Jun 2012

Rumor has it she's got her finger on the tally lever again.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
35. That's a non sequitur, from your comments it seems you don't actually know what happened
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 09:36 PM
Jun 2012

with Nicklaus and Waukesha Co. That's all been discussed elsewhere.

For now, you can believe that tomorrow night around 8 pm the folks in the Waukesha Co Clerks office aren't going to be able to shake a stick without hitting an election observer.

Whatever problems occur tomorrow in Waukesha are going to be witnessed by scores of eye witnesses.

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
5. Well internal polls are done to show the campain what they need to do so I...
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:41 PM
Jun 2012

think I will believe this poll. Not to is just depressing. Go Barrett Go!

 

banned from Kos

(4,017 posts)
8. Walker is a 95% favorite on Intrade - I wish I had some spare cash on account
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:45 PM
Jun 2012

I would like to put $100 down on Barrett to win more than $900 (depends on the ask).

Lucky Luciano

(11,258 posts)
12. Wow 95%?! Sounds like a very good risk adjusted bet.
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:54 PM
Jun 2012

98 units have a 94.8 bid and 98 units have a 94.6 bid. If I had an account, I would probably clear all of those bids. I think walker has a 60/40 advantage, so a good bet in my eyes. I don't know why walker has such a good chance of winning - such a criminal POS.

 

banned from Kos

(4,017 posts)
14. Agree, but if you believe the poll that has Walker up seven per cent
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 11:05 PM
Jun 2012

then 90% to win is about right.

The Intrade gap has to close some by Tuesday.

PeaceNikki

(27,985 posts)
13. We need it in Milwaukee, too!!!
Sun Jun 3, 2012, 10:54 PM
Jun 2012

So excited/scared/happy.... It's been a long 16 months! Thanks for all you've done and do!!!

I.ve been in your neck of the woods a couple times in past month. I saw John Fuselgang at the Barrymore and jet-skiied lake Monona.

undeterred

(34,658 posts)
32. Thousands more in Milwaukee!
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 08:32 AM
Jun 2012

Thanks for all your hard work and your informative posts here at DU! Everyone in Madison is ON FIRE!

Phlem

(6,323 posts)
18. Not to rain on anyone's parade
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 12:08 AM
Jun 2012

and I do hope I'm wrong but I'll bet there will be around 7000 extra votes in Waukesha after the final count has been done.

-p

PeaceNikki

(27,985 posts)
19. The state party will have ward totals before they get to the county.
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 12:13 AM
Jun 2012

We're watching the polls. And just so everyone is clear, we've had practice.

We learned a ton at the recount and have had recalls with primaries to test run.

We've got it. Wisconsin Dems are smart. Even those of us in Waukesha County.

Response to PeaceNikki (Reply #24)

Response to Post removed (Reply #25)

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
20. PPP 50% WALKER - 47% BARRETT
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 12:17 AM
Jun 2012

with a 2.8 error -

I think Barrett can win this because of the Independents and a high turn-out of the Dems!

PPP said that the repugs are charged about voting, and Independents are now favoring Barrtett. Strong turn out by the Dems will be the cherry on top.

Although I'm from Cali, I'm believing WI can take WI back.

Ellipsis

(9,124 posts)
29. well
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 01:30 AM
Jun 2012

Late Sunday night, Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) released a poll that showed Scott Walker leading Tom Barrett in Tuesday's recall election by three percentage points. htening," as the last poll they conducted showed a five point spread between Walker and Barrett. The results, as listed in their poll's toplines:

Tom Barrett ..................................................... 47%
Scott Walker ................................................... 50%
Undecided....................................................... 3%



As a side note, the PPP poll has Barrett winning independents by a 48 percent to 46 percent margin over Walker.

jemdem

(1 post)
27. We have boots on the ground
Mon Jun 4, 2012, 01:15 AM
Jun 2012

We had 35,000 volunteers out this weekend contacting all our supporters. I heard Walker has mostly paid canvassers. Walkers supporters seem annoyed, our side seems motivated I have seen more walker signs in yards, but I also heard he paid to have them placed there.

I think we can do it, we just have to keep pushing 2 more days

Response to PeaceNikki (Original post)

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