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MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 08:48 PM Feb 2016

Republicans have no more than 6 weeks to winnow down to a 2 man race.

Last edited Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:05 PM - Edit history (1)

Otherwise, Trump is guaranteed to be the nominee.

I don't see Cruz dropping out and the GOP establishment wrongly believes they can control Trump more easily than Cruz.

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Republicans have no more than 6 weeks to winnow down to a 2 man race. (Original Post) MohRokTah Feb 2016 OP
Trump is going to win the nomination davidn3600 Feb 2016 #1
I guess we can thank Rubio and Cruz for splitting the vote flamingdem Feb 2016 #3
Most analysts I'm hearing now think Trump is unstoppable. brooklynite Feb 2016 #2
It will get winnowed to 4 by next week. Algernon Moncrieff Feb 2016 #4
Not enough with GOP "proportional" splitting of delegates. MohRokTah Feb 2016 #5
watch him go after Hillary and Bernie almost Gabi Hayes Feb 2016 #6
I keep hearing from more and more republicans brer cat Feb 2016 #7
It isn't over yet Jim Beard Feb 2016 #8
Carson mercuryblues Feb 2016 #9
Carson will be kept in while it's still profitable for his advisers, or they need time to cover up muriel_volestrangler Feb 2016 #10
 

davidn3600

(6,342 posts)
1. Trump is going to win the nomination
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 08:56 PM
Feb 2016

Never in the history of the GOP has a candidate won New Hampshire and South Carolina and not gone on to win the nomination. And Trump won both easily.

Where exactly is the establishment going to stop him? What states is Rubio or Cruz going to win?

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
4. It will get winnowed to 4 by next week.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 09:02 PM
Feb 2016

Jeb! and Carson will likely drop.

Note how Trump's rhetoric becomes more and more outrageous. He's not trying to win (he is succeeding, but he's not trying); he's trying to draw media attention. I'm uncertain that he really wants the gig.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
5. Not enough with GOP "proportional" splitting of delegates.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 09:04 PM
Feb 2016

If they cannot make it a two man race, Trump wins.

 

Gabi Hayes

(28,795 posts)
6. watch him go after Hillary and Bernie almost
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 09:07 PM
Feb 2016

exclusively from now on.

those other losers are dust in the wind

brer cat

(24,591 posts)
7. I keep hearing from more and more republicans
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 09:43 PM
Feb 2016

that they will be holding their nose and voting D in the general. They are not all crazy enough to vote for Trump or Cruz.

 

Jim Beard

(2,535 posts)
8. It isn't over yet
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 09:56 PM
Feb 2016

Texas votes in 10 days and I am sad to say Cruz is our senator and being a republican primary, I think "winner takes all" in most of the states.

Also I think Rubio can claim Florida. If neither one does this, the contest is over.

mercuryblues

(14,537 posts)
9. Carson
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 10:59 PM
Feb 2016

won't drop out. I bet he will be campaigning for the presidency and wonder why his name is not on the ballot. After all, he did not drop out of the race so he thinks he is still in it. I wouldn't be surprised if he tries to move into the White House next year.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,347 posts)
10. Carson will be kept in while it's still profitable for his advisers, or they need time to cover up
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 04:44 AM
Feb 2016

Several articles have pointed out how his entire campaign looks like a scam:

The trickiest question about the Ben Carson campaign is whether or not the former surgeon is himself in on the scam. My guess is that he’s not. Ben Carson strikes me as many things — naive, befuddled, deeply weird, woefully ignorant and incurious about everything other than surgery — but I don’t think he’s particularly cunning. So I suspect he was probably just duped into being the front for this money-making enterprise without ever fully understanding that that’s all it ever was. I’d guess he hasn’t even negotiated a fair share of the take.

If that’s true, then Carson is innocent of being in on the grift, but still not entirely innocent. He’s still guilty of a staggering arrogance. You should run for president, the grifters told him, and he responded by saying, “Yes, that makes perfect sense. Who better than me?”
...
And let’s be clear about this: The Ben Carson for President campaign has functioned as a money-making scam. It has not functioned as anything like an actual campaign with any plan or goal of getting Ben Carson elected to anything. People have been writing about this since last year — usually with cagey, question-mark headlines. “Is Carson for Prez a Direct Mail Scam?” Josh Marshall asked last November. His answer: Sure seems to be. “Is Ben Carson Running for President?” Jonathan Chait asked. His answer: He does not seem to be. And here’s Jeet Heer, this month, asking “Is Ben Carson’s campaign an elaborate scam?” Well, if you’ve gotta ask …

Heer is referring to Josh Israel’s report for Think Progress, which addresses all those questions while managing not to put them in the headline: “As Ben Carson’s Campaign Tanked, Top Advisors Reaped Millions.
Though his campaign raised more than $22 million over the final three months of 2015 — the most of any Republican hopeful — he ended the year a seemingly spent force. … But while Carson declined in the polls, a small group saw its fortunes on the rise: his campaign advisors and consultants. Already under fire for a campaign spending model that bore the marking of a direct mail scam, Carson’s newly disclosed fourth quarter spending shows huge payments to companies controlled by his current and former advisors.

The campaign spent more than $27 million over that period. $4.7 million of that went to Eleventy Marketing Group, mostly for its “digital media/web service.” The Akron, Ohio-based company president, Ken Dawson, is also the Carson campaign’s chief marketing officer. … Eleventy’s other clients include TMA Direct.

TMA Direct received $2.8 million from the Carson campaign over the same period for web services, mailings, and list rental. Mike Murray is Carson’s senior advisor for grassroots marketing and TMA’s president and CEO. His official biography also notes that he founded the American Legacy Political Action Committee and that its Save Our Healthcare program was chaired by Carson. Murray also serves as managing partner for Precision Data Management, which received an additional $217,000 from the campaign for web services.

Communication Management Source hauled in more than $1.2 million from Carson’s campaign coffers for travel expenses. The company is run by Joann Parker, wife of then-Carson finance chairman Dean Parker. His Vita Capital also received more than $138,000 for supplies, travel, and event expenses. Dean Parker was one of many Carson staffers to resign last month, amid criticism of his reported $20,000 monthly fee. …


http://www.patheos.com/blogs/slacktivist/2016/02/18/a-prediction-franklin-graham-will-run-for-president-in-2020/?repeat=w3tc
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