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Renew Deal

(81,869 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:18 PM Feb 2016

The republican race and possibly the Democratic race could end on March 1.

Trump looks strong to win NV on 2/23. There are 686 delegates in 14 states voting on March 1. Trump has polled ahead most of them and is competitive everywhere. If he can run up the score in his favorable states and keep it close everywhere else, he might not be catchable.

But Jeb!!! dropped out you say? Well, in the polls I've seen Jeb hasn't polled above 5% in most of them.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016#Schedule_of_primaries_and_caucuses

For the Democrats, SC votes next week and Hillary is expecting a good showing. There are 11 states with 859 delegates voting on March 1. Hillary is expecting a good showing in at least half and competitive in 4 more. The states she is expecting to win easily have 571 delegates (AL, AR, GA, TN, TX, VA). Add that to SC and she may be uncatchable.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016#Schedule_and_results_of_primaries_and_caucuses

The race will look very different in 10 days unless something dramatic happens (which means it will look different either way).

3 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The republican race and possibly the Democratic race could end on March 1. (Original Post) Renew Deal Feb 2016 OP
The Dem race will go on far past March 1. morningfog Feb 2016 #1
I would be shocked if either party's race ended before March 15, at the earliest. (eom) StevieM Feb 2016 #2
I should have said "effectively ends". Renew Deal Feb 2016 #3

Renew Deal

(81,869 posts)
3. I should have said "effectively ends".
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:43 PM
Feb 2016

There is a high chance that the Dem race is completely over by March 16.

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