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Recursion

(56,582 posts)
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 07:24 AM Apr 2016

The Fight for $15 Is Unreasonable. That’s Why It’s Winning.

http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2016/04/01/new_york_and_california_are_headed_for_a_15_minimum_wage_here_s_why_the.html

When fast food workers first marched off their jobs in late 2012 to protest for $15-an-hour pay, their demands seemed as hopeless as they were heartfelt. In labor-friendly New York, where the protests began, the state minimum wage was just $7.25, same as the federal rate. President Obama was still a full year from backing a national minimum of $10.10. In most of the country, liberals had spent the past two years on defense, fighting kamikaze tactics by Tea Party Republicans in Congress and trying to fend off labor-gutting legislation in the states. Doubling the pay floor wasn’t on anybody’s to-do list.

...

Maybe the most remarkable things about both bills was that they were considered compromises. In California, elected Democrats chose to pass their own legislation in order to head off a popular, union-backed ballot initiative that would have raised the minimum even faster. In New York, Gov. Andrew Cuomo had pushed for a true statewide $15 minimum. But he agreed to let wages rise much more slowly in poorer regions upstate—first to $12.50 by 2020, then eventually up to $15 with raises following a set formula—all as a concession to conservatives who worried businesses in their districts wouldn’t be able to afford drastically higher payrolls.

Consider that for a moment. Raising the minimum to $12.50 in New York’s rust belt was considered a mushy fallback position to appease Republicans. That’s how far the Fight for $15 has shifted the Overton window when it comes to talking about pay. It has revived Franklin Roosevelt’s old idea that a minimum wage should be a living wage, or at least near to it—a concept that seemed thoroughly dead for decades.

Cuomo himself, who undoubtedly still has some national political ambitions, embodies this rapid shift as well as anybody. Just last year, before he found religion on wages thanks to political pressure from his left, the governor wrote off Mayor Bill de Blasio’s plea for a $13 minimum in New York City as a political “non-starter.” Today, that idea wouldn’t even count as half a loaf.
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The Fight for $15 Is Unreasonable. That’s Why It’s Winning. (Original Post) Recursion Apr 2016 OP
In a nutshell, that's why we need President Sanders. thesquanderer Apr 2016 #1
Hell yes.... daleanime Apr 2016 #9
Agree. n/t lumberjack_jeff Apr 2016 #11
That's what makes Sanders dangerous Albertoo Apr 2016 #36
Every one of those countries with no minimum wage has strong unions. thesquanderer Apr 2016 #37
1/ Top down solutions are nightmares 2/ $15 nationally is too high Albertoo Apr 2016 #39
By the time we get 15 dollars jomin41 Apr 2016 #2
It is already behind in many places around the country pipoman Apr 2016 #4
A national...in many cases, even a statewide minimum wage is almost completely useless... pipoman Apr 2016 #3
lol SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #5
I agree....only complete idiots don't get it pipoman Apr 2016 #6
did you like you time in chicago? SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #13
You must be responding to a completely different thread.... pipoman Apr 2016 #14
you are so misinformed that you seem lost in this subject SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #15
Not with an idiot. pipoman Apr 2016 #20
you best not talk with yourself SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #21
I don't seek the help of anyone who doesn't understand pipoman Apr 2016 #22
you use all right wing terms SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #23
enough said.. pipoman Apr 2016 #24
run - run away SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #25
He's referencing an economic theory, Pipoman Scootaloo Apr 2016 #27
you might wat to get your hands on some of the late 70's early 80;s economist magazines SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #26
Last time...this is so fucking simple pipoman Apr 2016 #29
it is not so fucking simple - please stop being an ass SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #34
I am all for $15 in Kansas when it is $25 in California. pipoman Apr 2016 #35
we agree SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #38
That's the problem with wages. Xolodno Apr 2016 #16
Exactly pipoman Apr 2016 #18
Gotta keep those Alabamians from feeling too well-off, I guess. Scootaloo Apr 2016 #28
The irony, they probably are better off... Xolodno Apr 2016 #33
So now you want to discriminate against workers based on the area they live? B Calm Apr 2016 #30
In a nut shell...yeah. Xolodno Apr 2016 #32
A national minimum wage is about reducing interstate competition. Xithras Apr 2016 #17
A national minimum wage has the same effect as no minimum wage at all pipoman Apr 2016 #19
This article says it should be $21.16 (source at bottom) panader0 Apr 2016 #7
Economically that's probably a reasonable number Recursion Apr 2016 #8
We should really be FIGHT FOR $22! They can afford it! TIME TO PANIC Apr 2016 #10
Hillary supporters take note. Odin2005 Apr 2016 #12
+1 B Calm Apr 2016 #31
The current minimum wage is painfully inadequate jonks2746 Apr 2016 #40

thesquanderer

(11,990 posts)
1. In a nutshell, that's why we need President Sanders.
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 09:21 AM
Apr 2016

Last edited Sun Apr 3, 2016, 10:22 AM - Edit history (1)

Sure, some of what he promotes may sound impossible, just like that minimum wage did in NY. But if you at least *begin* the conversation, maybe eventually you get what you want, or at least you may get some movement in that direction. If you don't even ask, you get nothing, you've given up to the other side before you've even gotten started. Neither Sanders nor Clinton will get 100% of what they propose. I'd rather get half of a bigger loaf.

And IMO, if we got half a loaf from either of them, my sense is Hillary's answer would be "we did great, we got the best we can get" while Bernie's response would be "that's a great start, but we need to keep fighting over the coming years." It comes down to, in the long term, what kind of country you want America to be.

This would be moot if Bernie had zero chance of winning, but as long as he has a serious shot, we have a serious shot. (And predictwise says--and Krugman quotes--that Sanders has a 10% chance, which to me, is a serious shot.)

 

Albertoo

(2,016 posts)
36. That's what makes Sanders dangerous
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 10:25 PM
Apr 2016

Promising the impossible isn't serious politics.

Five developed nations (which are doing fine in economic terms) that have no legal minimum wage are Sweden, Denmark, Iceland, Norway and Switzerland.
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/080515/5-developed-countries-without-minimum-wages.asp

Negotiations between employers and employees are far more sensible than top down thresholds invented by politicians.

thesquanderer

(11,990 posts)
37. Every one of those countries with no minimum wage has strong unions.
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 11:13 PM
Apr 2016

There needs to be some mechanism to assure a living wage... that is, it is not going to happen by itself simply out of the benevolence of the employers.

A federal minimum wage may not be the ideal solution, but I think it would be a lot more difficult to legislate that all workers must be part of unions.

 

Albertoo

(2,016 posts)
39. 1/ Top down solutions are nightmares 2/ $15 nationally is too high
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 12:04 AM
Apr 2016

Whenever the minimum wage is set top down higher than 50% of the average GDP/capita,
you end up getting severe unemployment problems (one exception: New Zealand)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_minimum_wages_by_country

jomin41

(559 posts)
2. By the time we get 15 dollars
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 09:33 AM
Apr 2016

we'll still be behind the inflation curve. Unless it is indexed to inflation, and even then, this is a never-ending fight for fundamental fairness.

 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
4. It is already behind in many places around the country
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 09:38 AM
Apr 2016

Try living in PaloAlto, San Francisco, in fact most of the inhabitable parts of California.....it is impossible...

 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
3. A national...in many cases, even a statewide minimum wage is almost completely useless...
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 09:35 AM
Apr 2016
It has revived Franklin Roosevelt’s old idea that a minimum wage should be a living wage, or at least near to it—a concept that seemed thoroughly dead for decades."

A living wage where? Everywhere? Completely impossible without it varying from one state....in fact one city/county, the amount of the minimum wage. A single minimum wage in the US or a state has to be based on the lowest cost of living in the area leaving the areas which need the minimum wage most to pay far under a "living wage"..
 

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)
13. did you like you time in chicago?
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 10:54 PM
Apr 2016

I think they are screwed in thinking and have screw the world

only complete idiots don't get it

 

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)
21. you best not talk with yourself
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:57 PM
Apr 2016

if you want some help with this subject - i will be happy to show you real information - looks like you really need help

 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
22. I don't seek the help of anyone who doesn't understand
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 10:18 AM
Apr 2016

Even the simplest economic truths....like, say, 'a "living wage" in Grand Island Nebraska is vastly different than a living wage in San Diego California'.....as I said before....only complete idiots don't get it...

 

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)
23. you use all right wing terms
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 12:59 AM
Apr 2016

i see nothing in any of your post that suggest that you have any knowledge of economics that is anything but the shit shoveled in chicago

if you can think - reword this

"Even the simplest economic truths....like, say, 'a "living wage" in Grand Island Nebraska is vastly different than a living wage in San Diego California'"

like someone not a rightwing asshole

can you?

what are the last three books that you have read that deal with economics?

 

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)
26. you might wat to get your hands on some of the late 70's early 80;s economist magazines
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 01:23 AM
Apr 2016

it would help you understand how far gone your thinking is

 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
29. Last time...this is so fucking simple
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 02:15 AM
Apr 2016
Average home losting price

California. $654k
Kansas $166k

http://m.trulia.com/home_prices/

Average electricity cost

California $15.23 Kwh
Kansas. $10.04

http://www.neo.ne.gov/statshtml/204.htm

gasoline prices

California. $2.78
Kansas. $1.87

http://fuelgaugereport.aaa.com/todays-gas-prices/

cost of living

California #47 of 50 col index 134.4
Kansas #8 of 50 COL index. 90.9

https://www.missourieconomy.org/indicators/cost_of_living/


Only an idiot doesn't understand that a "living wage" differs between California and Kansas.....this is a real no brainer....



 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
35. I am all for $15 in Kansas when it is $25 in California.
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 10:15 PM
Apr 2016

Which is perhaps what it should be both places. Instead what did Cali get big cheers for laat week?.... $10 and 15 by fucking 2022.....this is a ridiculous insult. I don't believe anyone who wants to work in Cali isn't already making $10 or more. My son was making $15 in N.SD County sweeping floors at a mom and pop liquor store 5 years ago.... $15 would create a painful equity adjustment ripple almost to the top in the nonprofit healthcare organization I work for...I would be fine with that if the pain was everywhere....all working together and all that...bit $15 would do nothing at all to the places that most need a higher wage.

Minimum wage should be scaled based on cost of living index or something...it isn't one size fits all anymore.

Xolodno

(6,398 posts)
16. That's the problem with wages.
Mon Apr 4, 2016, 03:02 PM
Apr 2016

A person who has a "livable" wage in San Francisco would probably live like a king in a backwater town in Alabama...and a backwater town in Alabama can't support it. It can't be defined nationally at a specific amount. Wages need to be defined by cost of living in the general area.

Xolodno

(6,398 posts)
33. The irony, they probably are better off...
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 03:22 PM
Apr 2016

vs. those working in the higher cost of living metro areas.

Xolodno

(6,398 posts)
32. In a nut shell...yeah.
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 03:21 PM
Apr 2016

LA, New York, etc. have figured it out, they need a higher minimum wage for their area. The cost of living, added transportation expense, higher tax rates, higher rents, etc. Actually makes someone living off of $10 an hour in LA a lot poorer vs. someone living off of $10 an hour in Lone Pine. Its just the plain facts.

And there is virtually no upward push on wages (or for that matter drive to provide, low cost housing, convenient and reliable public transportation etc.) in the higher cost cities due to structural economic deficiencies and decades of oppressing unions and collective bargaining.

I could easily envision a national base minimum adjusted upward for the cost of living in the area.

Xithras

(16,191 posts)
17. A national minimum wage is about reducing interstate competition.
Mon Apr 4, 2016, 06:12 PM
Apr 2016

On one hand, virtually every economist in the world says you're right. The BEST way to handle a minimum wage is to index it to the LOCAL cost of living. Doing so ensures that everyone gets (and maintains) a liveable wage without causing major economic disruption in areas with a lower cost of living.

The problem? If the minimum wage is $5 an hour in Alabama and $22 an hour in New York, you're setting the states up to compete with each other for jobs. New York is going to have a hard time convincing employers that they're citizens are worth four times as much money.

On top of this, you'll create an incentive for migration. How many $5 an hour Alabamans would relocate to New York if they could get $22 an hour for the exact same low skill job? This creates a major burden on social services in states like New York, while creating an economic incentive for states like Alabama to keep their cost of living low (exporting the states poor would likely be seen as a net positive by that states leadership).

Viewed from a purely economic perspective, a localized minimum wage makes a lot of sense (I used to believe in it myself). From a national perspective, and accounting for political and social realities, a national minimum wage makes even more sense.

panader0

(25,816 posts)
7. This article says it should be $21.16 (source at bottom)
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 10:00 AM
Apr 2016

America’s minimum wage was raised to $7.25 per hour on July 24, 2009. It’s still there. Unlike almost all other federal benchmarks, the minimum wage is not updated for inflation.

The minimum wage reached its (inflation-adjusted) historic high in 1968, when it was raised from $1.40 to $1.60 per hour. Adjusted for inflation using the BLS online inflation calculator that would come to $10.55 per hour in 2012 dollars.

That $10.55 figure is the focus of a nationwide campaign organized by the National Employment Law Project (NELP). In today’s political climate it would certainly be a major accomplishment to achieve a $10.55 minimum wage. But $10.55 is still far too low.

Using 1968 as our benchmark for the minimum wage implies that low-wage Americans today should be making just as much as low-wage Americans were making 44 years ago. That benchmark is — frankly — ridiculous.



Can you imagine Americans of 1968 settling for a minimum wage standard of living that had been set based on 1924 standards? What about 1880 standards? At some point we should expect low-wage workers to start living better than they used to.

A better way to update the minimum wage is to benchmark it to personal income growth in the economy as a whole.

Per capita real personal income excluding current transfer receipts — that is, the personal income earned in the economy, excluding Social Security and other government programs, adjusted for inflation — has grown by 100.6% since 1968.

In other words, the NELP has it too low — by half. If our standard for minimum wages had kept pace with overall income growth in the American economy, it would now be $21.16 per hour.

Yes, had the US income distribution and US standards of decency remained exactly what it was in 1968, the minimum wage would now be $21.16 per hour.
- See more at: http://inequality.org/minimum-wage/#sthash.CNMTI3IK.dpuf

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
8. Economically that's probably a reasonable number
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 10:05 AM
Apr 2016

Politically I think punching for $15 and hitting $12 and change is probably about as good as we can expect (and, hell, it's not remotely a bad thing to more than double the minimum wage...)

TIME TO PANIC

(1,894 posts)
10. We should really be FIGHT FOR $22! They can afford it!
Sun Apr 3, 2016, 10:44 AM
Apr 2016

I know some of the conservatives out there will say that such a hike will hurt small business owners, but following their logic, in a "free market" no one is entitled to a successful business.
(The government could always subsidize small business owners, rather than giants like Wal-Mart.)

 

jonks2746

(41 posts)
40. The current minimum wage is painfully inadequate
Fri Apr 8, 2016, 02:32 AM
Apr 2016

Especially if you live in New York or LA. A higher wage is definitely needed.

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