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annabanana

(52,791 posts)
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 09:29 AM Apr 2016

If the GOP stops Trump, could they lose the South?

The hu-u-uge numbers that he one the Southern tier, contrasted with the delegate drain to Cruz could take the wind out of their sails in the general.. Independents and Trumpster divers might not see the point of showing up at all.

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If the GOP stops Trump, could they lose the South? (Original Post) annabanana Apr 2016 OP
"Trumpster divers"! LOL That's an instant classic! n/t brewens Apr 2016 #1
No no_hypocrisy Apr 2016 #2
K&R for "Trumpster divers" meow2u3 Apr 2016 #3
Nope. Never. nruthie Apr 2016 #4
some states mercuryblues Apr 2016 #5
If the groundwork can be done now.. 2020 will be pivotal. . . annabanana Apr 2016 #7
It will hurt on the margins Cosmocat Apr 2016 #6

no_hypocrisy

(46,114 posts)
2. No
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 09:47 AM
Apr 2016

As much as The South seems to love Trump, they would not sit at home and allow Hillary or Bernie in the White House. They'll be angry at the RNC but they'll vote for its nominee.

mercuryblues

(14,532 posts)
5. some states
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 11:06 AM
Apr 2016

will be in play. In SC the republican party is stacking the delegates with Cruz supporters. If Trump goes into the convention without enough delegates to win outright, this is the plan B to keep Trump from getting the nomination.

Voters are not happy about their votes getting hijacked. A good portion of them will not vote for Cruz or vote Dem to teach their party a lesson. _sound familiar?

Now if the Democrats can conquer the divide among its own voters and get them to the polls, not only will blues states be a landslide, but red states will be in play. Which can only help the down ticket races. 2020 will be a census year, districts will be redrawn and it would help tremendously if Dems are in control when that happens. There is one supreme court justice to be nominated and approved, not to mention others will be retiring. The dems need 8 more years to straighten out the boosh years and the teabagger damage.

annabanana

(52,791 posts)
7. If the groundwork can be done now.. 2020 will be pivotal. . .
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 03:10 PM
Apr 2016

And there will be more than one SC nominee to consider. We got a coupla senior Supremes up there.

Cosmocat

(14,564 posts)
6. It will hurt on the margins
Tue Apr 19, 2016, 11:27 AM
Apr 2016

and it will last for a few cycles.

Just spit balling, I think they could:

Keep 1/3 of their trump voters on the party ticket this year and moving forward.
Lose 1/3 of their trump voters for the POTUS race.
Lose 1/3 of their trump voters entirely for this election and a few more cycles.

That final third would be a real blow - most elections are closer, and these virulent types have won them a lot of elections.

But, not sure it totally blows the party up. Just takes the air of out if enough to win POTUS this year, make the senate very winnable, chew into, but probably not swing the gerrymandered house, help get some state level offices back into the D fold, probably linger for the mid terms and maybe 2020 ...

Hopefully effect them enough to maybe help with redistricting and try to reset some of these horrifically gamed districts - federal and state.

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