Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,035 posts)
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 02:30 PM Apr 2016

The coming Republican demographic disaster, in 1 stunning chart

Start here.





That's a chart taken from a new Pew study of the Hispanic population in the United States. Here's what you need to pay attention to: Almost six in 10 Hispanics and 51 percent of African Americans are 33 years old or younger. Less than four in 10 whites are 33 or younger.

What does this have to do with politics? A HUGE amount.

Consider that in the 2012 election, Mitt Romney won just 27 percent of the Hispanic vote and just 6 percent of the black vote. In an electorate that was 72 percent white, Romney was able to stay competitive thanks to winning the white vote by 20 points. But, he still lost. And lost convincingly to President Obama.

The Cook Political Report's David Wasserman explains the problem for Republicans well in this post for 538:


In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 56 percent of all white voters and won election in a 44-state landslide. In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried 59 percent of all white voters yet lost decisively. What happened? African Americans, Latinos, Asians and other non-whites — all overwhelmingly Democratic-leaning groups — rose from 12 percent of voters in 1980 to 28 percent in 2012.

The white vote as a percentage of the overall electorate has been in steady decline since the 1980s and, judging from birth patterns as illustrated by the Pew chart above, that trend seems very unlikely to change.

Need more evidence of just how white the Republican party is today? In 2012, just one in every 10 people who voted for Mitt Romney was not white. Forty-four percent of the people who voted for Barack Obama weren't white.

&w=1484

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/25/the-coming-republican-demographic-disaster-in-1-stunning-chart/?wpisrc=nl_rainbow

3 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The coming Republican demographic disaster, in 1 stunning chart (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Apr 2016 OP
partly because millenials and hispanics have low turnouts in midterms repubs have msongs Apr 2016 #1
Can't feel sorry for GOPers, or other candidates, who pander to white people to win. Hoyt Apr 2016 #2
And what (other than gerrymandering) preserves them likewise whatthehey Apr 2016 #3

msongs

(67,420 posts)
1. partly because millenials and hispanics have low turnouts in midterms repubs have
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 02:34 PM
Apr 2016

gerrymandered their way into control of most state governments. people who flock to a personality cult will disappear when the cult leader no longer is flavor of the week so don't count on them

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»The coming Republican dem...