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MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:26 AM Jun 2012

Will a recount test Wisconsin's vote? What that means.

http://lacrossetribune.com/news/local/state-and-regional/senate-power-likely-shifts-to-dems-wanggaard-ponders-recount/article_f8d5e4da-b092-11e1-8ff0-001a4bcf887a.html

There's a good chance that a recount will be demanded in Wisconsin's 21st state Senate district, by the Republican who lost by less than 800 votes. If that happens, we'll have an opportunity to see whether there was election fraud in this election, as many DUers have suggested. If a recount occurs, the election system in Wisconsin will get a good test.

Because of that, I hope a recount is called for. Since the Wisconsin legislature is out of session, it will have little impact. But we'll get a peek into whether the election was manipulated fraudulently.
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Will a recount test Wisconsin's vote? What that means. (Original Post) MineralMan Jun 2012 OP
They need a state-wide recount. shcrane71 Jun 2012 #1
That's not going to happen. The margin's too large. MineralMan Jun 2012 #3
There have to be precincts where the margins are small enough for a recount. shcrane71 Jun 2012 #5
That isn't how it works. For statewide elections, only the MineralMan Jun 2012 #6
Unrealistic...unless they find trouble in the 21st? AllyCat Jun 2012 #8
That might happen. However, if no evidence of fraud MineralMan Jun 2012 #10
My point is if they find fraud AllyCat Jun 2012 #37
I hate feeling so cynical about this, but... Matariki Jun 2012 #39
Won't this make the GOTV drive more difficult? How many Americans can be disenfranchised shcrane71 Jun 2012 #11
It shouldn't. In Minnesota, for example, each election is tested MineralMan Jun 2012 #17
Do you have paper ballots? If you have paper-ballots then I want to move to MN. shcrane71 Jun 2012 #22
We do. Paper ballots that are optically scanned. MineralMan Jun 2012 #23
True... Franken is the only contested election that I can think of where the Dem came out on top. shcrane71 Jun 2012 #27
We have a Democratic governor in Minnesota MineralMan Jun 2012 #30
Cause everyone knows that banana republic dictators with 98% of the votes ran fair elections, right? Scuba Jun 2012 #16
Not the point. I don't know of any election where a recount was done in MineralMan Jun 2012 #18
Sounds like all the more reason to have one. Scuba Jun 2012 #20
Perhaps, but there won't be one. MineralMan Jun 2012 #24
If fraud was involved B2G Jun 2012 #2
Legislative elections are much more local. MineralMan Jun 2012 #4
Walker won in Lehman's district by about 900 votes n/t B2G Jun 2012 #12
OK. As I said, that has nothing to do with the MineralMan Jun 2012 #14
That would really help. However, I am sure they will get Kathy Nicklaus in to help "find votes" AllyCat Jun 2012 #7
Really? I don't think that Senate District involves her. I'm not sure, though. MineralMan Jun 2012 #9
I'm sure she was being tongue-in-cheek. Get a grip. shcrane71 Jun 2012 #13
Why are you sure of that? MineralMan Jun 2012 #15
MineralMan... We're all goddamn, fucking pissed off. Some of us make jokes about unexplainable shcrane71 Jun 2012 #21
I'm very disappointed in the results. MineralMan Jun 2012 #25
Don't be offensive. I'm not "automatically assuming election fraud". I and everyone else wants to shcrane71 Jun 2012 #28
Perhaps yet again you have some bad information and are not up to date? Bluenorthwest Jun 2012 #36
That's completely off topic in this thread. MineralMan Jun 2012 #38
Legally, the 21st is not her district. But Republicans don't care much for law and AllyCat Jun 2012 #32
So Wisconsin DOES use electronic voting machines? Bluenorthwest Jun 2012 #34
We vote on paper but.. AllyCat Jun 2012 #35
I advocate for a state-wide recount to satisfy everyone that our elections are on the up-and-up. Scuba Jun 2012 #19
You can do that. Are you in Wisconsin? MineralMan Jun 2012 #26
Yeah, it's a secret so don't tell anyone, but I'm a cheesehead.... Scuba Jun 2012 #33
Really? How does that work? MineralMan Jun 2012 #40
Go see the muni clerk and ask. That's it. Scuba Jun 2012 #41
When do you start? MineralMan Jun 2012 #42
This was a critically important election for REPUBLICANS, summerschild Jun 2012 #29
The explanation that Wisconsinites don't want a recall for "policy" also doesn't fly. shcrane71 Jun 2012 #31

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
3. That's not going to happen. The margin's too large.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:31 AM
Jun 2012

However, in that Senate district, the margin is small enough for the loser to want to insist on a recount. Recounts give us a look into the state's system. Since there certainly will not be a statewide recount, this will at least test the system.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
6. That isn't how it works. For statewide elections, only the
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:37 AM
Jun 2012

vote total statewide can trigger a recount. In individual legislative districts, though, a close vote can result in a recount for that district in that race. As far as I know, that's how it works in every state.

It's completely unrealistic to think any recount will occur on the state level. It isn't going to happen.

AllyCat

(16,189 posts)
8. Unrealistic...unless they find trouble in the 21st?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:39 AM
Jun 2012

Maybe if they find evidence of election fraud, that would trigger some kind of investigation to the rest of the state. I hope.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
10. That might happen. However, if no evidence of fraud
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:41 AM
Jun 2012

turns up in that district, then that won't happen. It will, however, be an indication that fraud probably isn't why Walker won. For a statewide election, the fraud would need to be statewide.

Matariki

(18,775 posts)
39. I hate feeling so cynical about this, but...
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 02:06 PM
Jun 2012

how many times has evidence of fraud caused anyone to look into similar issues in other areas?

I think the answer is probably *never*.

That whole egregious thing with the miraculously discovered ballot bags ripped, duct-taped and mislabeled should have had *every* Wisconsin election hand counted and double checked.

shcrane71

(1,721 posts)
11. Won't this make the GOTV drive more difficult? How many Americans can be disenfranchised
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:41 AM
Jun 2012

prior to getting an independent investigation in our election system? I guess all of us.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
17. It shouldn't. In Minnesota, for example, each election is tested
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:52 AM
Jun 2012

by doing a hand recount of all the votes in randomly-selected precincts. Those precincts are not known before the election. Those test recounts are monitored by both parties. So, any statewide election fraud would be detected by that process. So, if you're in Minnesota, you know that the elections are run properly. Further evidence comes from two statewide recounts, in 2008 and 2010. Again, both parties monitored the entire process. I don't know what Wisconsin's process is for testing their election system, but Minnesota does a good job. We don't have election fraud here. Nobody's disenfranchised.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
23. We do. Paper ballots that are optically scanned.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:02 AM
Jun 2012

I think Wisconsin does the same. The paper ballots are sealed after the election, and unsealed in case of a recount. Recounts are done under the watchful eyes of people from both parties. In the Al Franken recall, the process took a very long time, indeed, including review by the courts. Recounts are expensive and time-consuming. Minnesota refined its recount process before the 2010 election, where another statewide recount took place for the Governor's race. That went more quickly. We had practice. No evidence of election fraud was discovered in either recount.

shcrane71

(1,721 posts)
27. True... Franken is the only contested election that I can think of where the Dem came out on top.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:10 AM
Jun 2012

I've just read an article stating that in some precincts in WI, the optical scanning voting machines were replaced with paperless machines. That truly concerns me.

Even with paper ballots and optical scanners, it doesn't keep shady election officials from discovering bags of uncounted ballots after the election was already called. I'm referring to WI last Supreme Court justice race and Kathy Nickolaus in Waukesha county.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
30. We have a Democratic governor in Minnesota
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:25 AM
Jun 2012

after another recount. That's two that I know of personally and participated in. Minnesota has an excellent election system. I'm not in Wisconsin, so I don't know how theirs works in detail.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
16. Cause everyone knows that banana republic dictators with 98% of the votes ran fair elections, right?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:51 AM
Jun 2012

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
18. Not the point. I don't know of any election where a recount was done in
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:54 AM
Jun 2012

any race where there was a large margin of victory. Most states have automatically triggered recounts when races are very close, and have procedures where the loser can demand a recount if the margin is larger. Where margins are over 5% as in Wisconsin, nobody ever demands a recount. There is no possibility that such a recount will occur, unless someone has solid evidence that there was widespread fraud. Suspicions won't do it.

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
2. If fraud was involved
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:30 AM
Jun 2012

How did Lehman manage to pull out a win? One would think he would have lost by similar margins, no? We're talking about the same ballots here.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
4. Legislative elections are much more local.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:33 AM
Jun 2012

It's entirely possible that that district didn't like the sitting state Senator well enough not to recall him. I don't know how that district's vote on the recall of Walker went, but different results are always possible in legislative elections. Lehman won because people voted for him. Even people who voted for Walker might well have voted for Lehman. That's how it works. Legislative elections are local.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
14. OK. As I said, that has nothing to do with the
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:45 AM
Jun 2012

election for the state Senate race. People often vote one way for one thing and another way for another. For example, Obama won by a large margin in Minnesota in 2008, but Al Franken had to win after a long, painstaking recount. Same voters, different margins.

Election basics, really. Each race gets a different result. That people voted for Walker doesn't mean that they didn't vote for Lehman.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
9. Really? I don't think that Senate District involves her. I'm not sure, though.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:39 AM
Jun 2012

She can only be involved for her own county. Understanding how this works is fundamental knowledge. Without it, you can't understand elections.

shcrane71

(1,721 posts)
13. I'm sure she was being tongue-in-cheek. Get a grip.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:43 AM
Jun 2012

We don't believe that bullshit that's been thrown down our throats from the MSM about this election. It's not that hard to understand.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
15. Why are you sure of that?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:47 AM
Jun 2012

I have a grip - a grip on reality. This has nothing to do with the MSM. It has to do with a possible recount in a state Senate race in Wisconsin. That shouldn't be that hard to understand. And it's serious, not a joke.

shcrane71

(1,721 posts)
21. MineralMan... We're all goddamn, fucking pissed off. Some of us make jokes about unexplainable
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 09:56 AM
Jun 2012

occurrences like 10-18% of Obama supporters coming out to vote for Walker. Whether you want to believe it or not, many people believe that election fraud is bigger than we wanted to ever admit to ourselves. In light of having no recourse to fix the myriad of problems to ensure fair elections, we joke. Getting Kathy Nickolaus to come find votes is funny to many of us.

I do appreciate you're telling us how this broken election process works. Seems like we need some out-of-the-box thinking to instill confidence in our election system.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
25. I'm very disappointed in the results.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:07 AM
Jun 2012

But, elections often don't go the way I would like. They always have. That does not mean that I automatically assume election fraud. People vote as they vote. Sometimes, it's for stupid reasons, in my opinion. This is one of those cases, I think.

That an election doesn't go as I wish it did doesn't mean it was fraudulent. It means that it didn't go the way I think it did. The reasons for that are different for every such election.

Could there have been fraud? Sure. Was there? I do not know. The point of my OP is that the one close Senate race may end up in a recount, where we can take a look at how it went. I hope that happens.

There will be no statewide recount.

shcrane71

(1,721 posts)
28. Don't be offensive. I'm not "automatically assuming election fraud". I and everyone else wants to
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:18 AM
Jun 2012

meet these 10-18% of Obama supporters in November who supported Walker this election. We simply don't believe it.

We both want to dig into this election and have the results proven to us. We all can't come from your viewpoint of we won't propose election fraud until we have hard evidence. How do we get that hard evidence? If no one questions results, then we have an emperor-has-no-clothes scenario, and nothing gets done. Don't kill the naysayers. They're often there to help.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
36. Perhaps yet again you have some bad information and are not up to date?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:55 AM
Jun 2012

I mean, as recently as 2004 you were posting that gay people should not be allowed around children, and when 'explaining' that you said you were really wrong, deeply uninformed and remained so while you had access to all the most current information, just as we all did. So a person that was THAT wrong once, hugely, definitively and hatefully incorrect, when that person comes along preaching their grip on 'reality' I personally see good reason to question that person's basic and foundational abilities to judge what is right and wrong.

AllyCat

(16,189 posts)
32. Legally, the 21st is not her district. But Republicans don't care much for law and
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:37 AM
Jun 2012

I don't see why the clerk in that district might not get her phone number (may even have it on speed-dial). The conversation might start something like this: 21st-"Yeah, Kathy. We got a little problem down here we need a little help with and I was wondering if maybe I could pick your brain about how to fix it". And voila! A little PC number crunching here, a box of false uncounted ballots there...Vanwanggard wins!

I understand how the election process works. Unfortunately, living in WI the past couple decades, I also see how the process seems to consistently appear circumvented.

Paper-ballots, counted in public view. That will make it so when we tackle party message to voters and campaign cash...maybe the vote can actually be honest. Right now, I have no faith.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
34. So Wisconsin DOES use electronic voting machines?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:46 AM
Jun 2012

And you live there. Some in this thread are saying it can not be fraud because WI uses all paper ballots....

AllyCat

(16,189 posts)
35. We vote on paper but..
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:52 AM
Jun 2012

The ballots are then run through optiscans. Those were replaced in many areas with new free machines from Command Central before the recall election. Even before that the safety of the Optiscans had been called into question.
-

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
26. You can do that. Are you in Wisconsin?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:08 AM
Jun 2012

If so, you can work with any movement for that or start one. If you're not in Wisconsin, your advocacy is likely to fail.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
33. Yeah, it's a secret so don't tell anyone, but I'm a cheesehead....
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:43 AM
Jun 2012

... and I can actually do a local recount with no authority other than my own.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
40. Really? How does that work?
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 02:11 PM
Jun 2012

If anyone can do a recount, then that would be a great idea. DUers and other Democrats throughout the state could recount their own precincts or districts. Is there a plan to do that?

I don't think we have that capability here in Minnesota, so I'd love to hear how that works. Maybe it's something we can implement here.

summerschild

(725 posts)
29. This was a critically important election for REPUBLICANS,
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:24 AM
Jun 2012

as they planned to use a victory as a springboard for the rest of the states. And we know they will do anything to win. Despite lame explanations for it, I'm still troubled by the exit polls. Numerous news agencies reported they were 50/50 with 90% of the returns in and the places still out were heavily Democratic strongholds.

And it was paticularly strange that even though the race was called 58 minutes after the polls closed, the only laggard was the 21st District Senate seat won by a Democrat. That one took until the next day to call.

shcrane71

(1,721 posts)
31. The explanation that Wisconsinites don't want a recall for "policy" also doesn't fly.
Thu Jun 7, 2012, 10:29 AM
Jun 2012

Walker has been under criminal investigation for months. If that's not misconduct, I don't know what is.

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