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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsOhio is falling off the Senate map. That’s trouble for Democrats nationally.
Well f- - - k, this is not good news.
There's hardly anything I want more than to see McTurtle tossed back in a fetid pond in Kentucky somewhere.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/30/why-ted-stricklands-struggles-could-cost-senate-democrats-dearly/?tid=pm_politics_pop_b#comments
snip:
"If Ohio is indeed lost for Democrats, that marks a major complication although far from a death blow for their broader hopes at winning back the majority in November.
At the moment, there are two Republican-held seats that look likely to go to Democrats: Illinois and Wisconsin.
In Illinois, Sen. Mark Kirk (R) was always going to face a tough road. Kirk won his seat in the midterm election of 2010 (a great Republican year nationally) and against an ethically challenged Democratic candidate. Now he has to stand for reelection in a presidential election year against Rep. Tammy Duckworth, a top Democratic recruit, and with Donald Trump as his party's presidential candidate.
In Wisconsin six years ago, Sen. Ron Johnson (R) ran a terrific, outsider campaign to knock off incumbent Russ Feingold (D). But that was about the last smart thing Johnson did politically. He has voted like a senator representing Nebraska rather than one representing a Democratic-leaning state like Wisconsin. And Feingold, who ran a tin-eared and, frankly, just plain bad campaign in 2010, is much improved this time around.
Democrats scored a major recruiting coup in Indiana when they persuaded former senator Evan Bayh (D) to run for the seat being vacated by Sen. Dan Coats (R). Bayh, by dint of his family's famous last name and his time spent in the Senate and governorship, is, without question, the Democrats' strongest possible recruit in the Hoosier State. Polling suggests he has a comfortable if not certain edge over Rep. Todd C. Young, the Republican nominee.
Assuming that all three of those seats go Democratic, that's a three-seat pickup for the party. To claim the majority, the party would need four seats if Hillary Clinton is elected president (Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, Clinton's running mate, would serve as the tie-breaker vote) and five seats if Trump wins.
That math assumes that Democrats hold all of their own seats. That may not happen, given that Rep. Joe Heck (R) is seen as having a slight edge over former state attorney general Catherine Cortez Masto (D) in the race to replace Harry Reid (D) in Nevada."
more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/30/why-ted-stricklands-struggles-could-cost-senate-democrats-dearly/?tid=pm_politics_pop_b#comments
VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)and it looks good for Katie McGinty over Toomey in PA. With Bayh in IN that's a pick-up of 5, resulting in a tie if the Dem loses in NV.
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)He has a good approval rating right now, so his appearances should help.
Plus...he has a little motivation for paybacks against an asshole that questioned his very "being".
Proud Public Servant
(2,097 posts)Assuming a Hillary win we need to pick up 4 seats to make it 50-50. Right now we're on track to pick up 5 (WI, IL, IN, PA, NH) and lose one (NV) for a net of the four we need, but NH and PA are by no means certain.
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)Probably won't sleep until after the West comes in.
The bubbly will be on ice. Here's hoping we can pop the cork!
MFM008
(19,808 posts)At 8:01 pm they will call CA, WA and OR for her.
Idaho for the maggot, then they will play with Nevada and the other swing States until they absolutely have to call them for Ratings sake.
OnDoutside
(19,956 posts)Has yet to hit, post Labor Day.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)I hope the Clinton campaign rains down fire on rump! !! GOTV
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)"good conservatives" to distinguish themselves, on the ballot and off, from the Trump wing of the Republican Party.
Kablooie
(18,634 posts)In spite of Trumps idiocy.
Huge swaths of our country have been thoroughly brainwashed and it will take generations before the effects are bled out.
Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)as someone who hit the half century mark personally, I have seen enough over the prior 30 years to know that I have little hope of seeing this country pull its head out of its ass during my lifetime.
karynnj
(59,503 posts)Than Ohio. Both have a D advantage on the rw real clear politics no toss up chart and have for at a month. Ohio has not been in our favor since they started polling.
I also wonder about Nevada. I hate to argue that polls need adjusting, but in many recent elections the Hispanic vote has been under represented. Going by the name, our nominee is Hispanic. That race is very close in polling.
Anyone from Nevada or following this?