Where are the replies?

He will receive credit for a close win or he will receive blame for a loss. However, he will likely go uncredited for a blowout victory if that happens.

Good television producers are hard to find and harder to keep. Competition is fierce over qualified producers. Other stations would have probably paid more than Democrats for real talent in television production. I'll present reports by "experts" to support comments, induced, by personal experience in media, later...

I think his passion is with his current work. Of course if he is truly a Republican and is performing some sort of masterful internal sabotage, he will suddenly lose his current obscurity.

the Clinton campaign is making a big investment in Kriegel's shop. With 60 people at an average of at least $10-15 K per month, that's getting near $1 mil per month.

I certainly don't go as far as Trump, but I do think predictive modelling works better for marketing than for predicting citizen and business interactions with gov't (eg. program fraud, survey-nonresponse). It's not that modelling doesn't doesn't work in these areas, but it doesn't significantly outperform more traditional methods and it costs a lot.

In terms of political campaigns, I'm not sure if campaigns are more like marketing, or more like gov't-citizen interaction.

For example, in the Brexit campaign, Remain had a huge advantage in terms of access to political party databases that was denied to Leave. Even so, both official campaigns hired analytics shops to help them target and persuade voters. Both sides used the most up to date analytic targetting and persuasion methods.

It is ironic, therefore, that Farage and UKIP are now credited with having a significant impact on the outcome, even though they were not part of the official Leave campaign, and what they did was basically distribute Farage speeches and campaign events via Facebook.

http://www.referendumanalysis.eu/eu-referendum-analysis-2016/section-7-social-media/leave-versus-remain-the-digital-battle/

I think the lesson is that analytics can help (eg 2012 Obama), but it won't be enough against a persuasive campaign presented by charismatic leaders (eg. Farage, Johnson)

which is why Drumpf's Twitter campaign is so effective and Hillary's TV ads are falling flat. Drumpf moves the needle with this tweets while Hillary's ads keep her in neutral. Her TV ads are not working. Who is giving the go ahead on these lame ads, and why aren't they more hard hitting?

sorry about the spelling; LOL