It had Trump as high as 44% chance of winning earlier this week so yes, this is better. I hope it keeps going.

but im bad..fucking anxious as hell about this..

Last edited Fri Sep 23, 2016, 01:53 PM - Edit history (2)

Election Day. Not before. (or after)

One of the skills of a seasoned campaign team is orchestrating this and HRC and her team have plenty of practice at doing just that. The Orange Blunder, not so much.

Brace yourself, Trumpski is likely to get a small bounce during the debates because he's set the bar to where all he has to do is not expire or noticeably soil himself and a spellbound media will fawn and supplicate themselves to him. HRC will not be given the same pass, simply because she's expected to do well. (In fact, the sexist media will insist that she meet an impossible standard to be declared the winner.) Exactly like we saw in 2012 with Obama vs Romney only the extremes are much greater this time. But, keep a stiff upper lip, because, the American electorate is not quite as beholding to the Punditry as their egos would like to think. This bounce will fade.

Soon the public (and shortly thereafter the media) will tire of the antics of the Apricot Clown and the demand for ratings will burst the dam on the news of his crimes and misdeeds.

At that point, it's all on HRC to win or lose. But, you've got to vote!

But to save their lousy asses, the tv pundits will need a week to boil it down so succinctly.

This is why I read DU.

Senator Sanders and his supporters have played a bigger role in the eventual success of Hillary's campaign than they even realize.

But, it's not over yet... GOTV!

Look at Princeton consortium by Sam wang, Larry sabato Crystal ball from university of va, or upshot by nyt. They are NOT media driven and...their numbers are more 70-75 HRC, drumpf 23- 28.

A 2 in 5 chance of a worldwide calamity? What the fuck is the American nation thinking?

Stop the fascist. I beg you.

20 point margin between reasonable and sociopathic? Between Churchill and Hitler?

Damn pathetic.

Past results may no longer apply but historically the price at betting parlors has outperformed polls as a predictor. Hillary peaked at 80%, dipped into high sixties, but has been 72 for almost a week.

He calls himself a statistician and his percentages add up to 101???

Which it appears they are about to do. And I am still holding out hope for Iowa. The early voting numbers are good for Hillary there. Georgia and Texas are winnable for Hillary as well. All about GOTV.

I don't see him ever being close again after that.