General Discussion

B2G

(9,766 posts) Tue Oct 25, 2016, 01:52 PM Oct 2016

It's starting to look like a landslide, and while we wildly celebrate,

can I just ask what this might to do the Dem GOTV effort?

Particularly among the less enthused, Republican crossovers and undecided voters making a last minute decision?

If they think this is in the bag for Clinton, will they bother to vote? And what impact would that have on the results?

19 replies

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Highlight:

It's starting to look like a landslide, and while we wildly celebrate, (Original Post) B2G Oct 2016 OP

Good question. I intend to canvass again this weekend. Might as well have a landslide! TonyPDX Oct 2016 #1

It ain't over til it's over apcalc Oct 2016 #2

But it happens all the time. B2G Oct 2016 #4

Democrats seem pretty motivated right saltpoint Oct 2016 #3

it is not a landslide until all the votes are counted Angry Dragon Oct 2016 #6

Yes, you and I know that. B2G Oct 2016 #8

Ds are early voting like crazy, far ahead of Rs stopbush Oct 2016 #7

Rs typically wait until election day... B2G Oct 2016 #9

I'd like to see the evidence that confidence depresses the vote bigtree Oct 2016 #10

Agreed Egnever Oct 2016 #15

Remember the lesson of Brexit C_U_L8R Oct 2016 #11

There really are no data here, and anecdotes often suggest the opposite whatthehey Oct 2016 #12

I just wish people would STOP this landslide talk, This race is still close. Old Vet Oct 2016 #13

I love it safeinOhio Oct 2016 #14

Want a landslide? VOTE! Cyrano Oct 2016 #16

I always vote treestar Oct 2016 #17

People want to be on the side that's winning NightWatcher Oct 2016 #18

Dec 1969 #

TonyPDX

(962 posts)

1. Good question. I intend to canvass again this weekend. Might as well have a landslide!

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 01:55 PM

Oct 2016

For all of the crap Don the Con has spewed, an unquestionable winning margin is the least we can do in return.

apcalc

(4,465 posts)

2. It ain't over til it's over

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 01:55 PM

Oct 2016

And we crush that SOB.

Beyond that, I can't answer your questions. If anyone stays home or gets lazy, they are a disappointment to the caring citizenry.

B2G

(9,766 posts)

4. But it happens all the time.

Reply to apcalc (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 01:58 PM

Oct 2016

Despite what happens on DU, a great many folks in the country just won't bother if they think it's over before it even happens.

saltpoint

(50,986 posts)

3. Democrats seem pretty motivated right

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 01:57 PM

Oct 2016

now. Early voting is looking good. A lot of people are standing in long lines to vote in areas traditionally favorable to blue candidates.

Clinton early on set up an extremely formidable ground game. Trump didn't bother. He only has a few field offices in several states. I think the advantage in get-out-the-vote is to Clinton, while Trump is going to suffer badly for lack of one.

Angry Dragon

(36,693 posts)

6. it is not a landslide until all the votes are counted

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:12 PM

Oct 2016

B2G

(9,766 posts)

8. Yes, you and I know that.

Reply to Angry Dragon (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:14 PM

Oct 2016

I'm talking about the typical unengaged voter who gets all of their news from their television sets.

stopbush

(24,397 posts)

7. Ds are early voting like crazy, far ahead of Rs

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:13 PM

Oct 2016

if anyone has an enthusiasm problem it's the Rs, not the Ds.

B2G

(9,766 posts)

9. Rs typically wait until election day...

Reply to stopbush (Reply #7)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:15 PM

Oct 2016

At least that's what I've heard stated in the past.

But that is good news.

bigtree

(86,008 posts)

10. I'd like to see the evidence that confidence depresses the vote

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:16 PM

Oct 2016

...I'm more certain that pessimism has more of a depressing effect.

Egnever

(21,506 posts)

15. Agreed

Reply to bigtree (Reply #10)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 03:19 PM

Oct 2016

I would like to see evidence of that as well.

People like to be on the winning team.

C_U_L8R

(45,025 posts)

11. Remember the lesson of Brexit

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:23 PM

Oct 2016

We only win if we actually GOTV !!

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)

12. There really are no data here, and anecdotes often suggest the opposite

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:30 PM

Oct 2016

CA and HI are two of the most certain D wins, and no poll in 2012 suggested it was even vaguely close.

The final margin of victory was 10 and 15 better than the final polling aggregate at RCP respectively. If lopsided polls depressed turnout, it was for the losers not the winners.

The best turnout state of all is MN which hasn't gone R since 72, and was in no polled danger of doing so in any of its recent nation-leading turnout elections.

Ask yourself whether there is a greater incentive to be part of a certain victory or a certain defeat.

Old Vet

(2,001 posts)

13. I just wish people would STOP this landslide talk, This race is still close.

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:37 PM

Oct 2016

It aint over till its over, Ask Gore.

safeinOhio

(32,733 posts)

14. I love it

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 03:16 PM

Oct 2016

Cyrano

(15,071 posts)

16. Want a landslide? VOTE!

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 03:51 PM

Oct 2016

And, oh yeah. If you want to win big, VOTE.

treestar

(82,383 posts)

17. I always vote

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 03:54 PM

Oct 2016

I do not think that mentality it all that common - it is amazingly dumb. People want to participate. A lot of people feel like it is their duty. Who would think it's in the bag and I don't have to bother - that is so silly. What if everybody did that? Who does that?

NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)

18. People want to be on the side that's winning

Reply to B2G (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 03:57 PM

Oct 2016

If they think trump's losing, they'll want to pile on.

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