General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAll the predictions... all of them in one graphic
Not bad, Clinton clears 270 in every single forecast. NPR's is especially lame, leaving 103 EC votes as "too close to call". Pfff, tea sipping effetes. That hardly qualifies as a forecast at all. I'd say a 100 Electoral College margin of victory is a pretty cautious call.
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)based upon what the graphic shows. If she doesn't win, it would then certainly appear to have been a rigged election.
Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)Bucky
(54,065 posts)left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)Fahrenthold451
(436 posts)Bucky
(54,065 posts)Frankly, I have the same reaction when I see him on TV
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,036 posts)Clinton/Kaine
Favored . . 221
Lean . . . . . 67
Total . . . . 288
Trump/Pence
Favored . . 139
Lean . . . . . 53
Total . . . . 193
Toss-up . . . 57
Note: Totals do not add up due to adding rounded averages. Interestingly the Total + Total + Toss-up does equal 538.
still_one
(92,395 posts)would only go up
barbtries
(28,811 posts)i'm still full of this hateful fear, but somewhat less so.
it is sooooo much closer than it should be.
bucolic_frolic
(43,286 posts)it's like I'm giving blood and they don't stop taking more,
cold, shivering, shaking
barbtries
(28,811 posts)i tend to sleep an awful lot.
mountain grammy
(26,648 posts)Wide awake here and scared to death.
barbtries
(28,811 posts)have a clear vision of myself hunched up alone in a hotel room in Philly tonight. i plan to make phone calls if i can't sleep!
it's been dreadful. i have been lethargic. it's been hard to work. as i write i am sitting at my desk in the office !
i have pools of calm. all the signs point to Hillary winning.
mountain grammy
(26,648 posts)I've kept myself busy with this campaign, but here in my red county, I get depressed with all the Trumpers.
Hillary will win. My husband assures me of this every minute, but I'm still a wreck. Hoping for a good night's sleep tonight.
Today, I'm cleaning the house.
alfredo
(60,075 posts)Bernardo de La Paz
(49,036 posts)Last edited Tue Nov 8, 2016, 11:02 AM - Edit history (1)
on edit: I'm sorry; I was mistaken about the meaning of the word.
Why use femininity ("effete" as a negative?
Why the assumption that NPR is male and not male enough for you?
Why the assumption that males have to be very masculine?
Response to Bernardo de La Paz (Reply #11)
Mendocino This message was self-deleted by its author.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)ef·fete
əˈfēt/
adjective
(of a person) affected, overrefined, and ineffectual.
"effete trendies from art college"
synonyms: affected, pretentious, precious, mannered, overrefined; More
no longer capable of effective action.
"the authority of an effete aristocracy began to dwindle"
synonyms: weak, enfeebled, enervated, worn out, exhausted, finished, drained, spent, powerless, ineffectual
"the fabric of society is effete"
Nothing about gender in there at all.
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,036 posts)Looks like the OP actually used the phrase very well, deftly.
Thanks!
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)I was genuinely puzzled by your charge so had to look it up.
Wanted to add it to my bookmark list.
paulkienitz
(1,296 posts)I ranked these by taking the midpoint of their tossup range, and got this ordering:
FiveThirtyEight 297.5
Cook Political 301
ABC 306
PredictWise 308
Sabato's Crystal Ball 308.5
Governing 311.5
CNN 315.5
NBC 316
Associated Press 321.5
Princeton 323
NPR 323.5
Fox 325.5
The Fix 326
NYT Upshot 334.5
Rothenberg&Gonzales 335
Nate Silver is about 19 EV off the average, and the most Trumpward of the bunch. Given that the turnout stories indicate a surge of Dem votes way beyond his prediction, I expect that this election will be Silver's comeuppance as the big star among statistical election predictors.
FSogol
(45,526 posts)Make it happen, DU.
mountain grammy
(26,648 posts)and I'll sleep for a week.
ginnyinWI
(17,276 posts)And as for the trumpster, they'd better get a straight jacket ready.