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angrychair

(8,702 posts)
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:08 PM Nov 2016

Florida looks like a lock

Breaking down realtime data from here:
http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html

Shows Clinton has been:
winning dramatically in non-white counties.
Winning in wealthy counties.
Winning in middle-income counties.
Winning in younger counties.

Based on this data and other reports I am calling Florida for Clinton by roughly 200,000 votes mainly driven by Hispanic and blacks and young voters.

On edit: some of you are to stressed and acting as if positive data is somehow wrong to report.
Many of us, some still are, waging one hell of a ground game.

Yes, it's not over till it's over but please be calm, we are all on the same side here. A little positive news is not a bad thing.

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Florida looks like a lock (Original Post) angrychair Nov 2016 OP
STOP RandySF Nov 2016 #1
Doing a disservice...3 more hours of voting to be dobe beachbum bob Nov 2016 #3
What disservice?? angrychair Nov 2016 #8
Im sleptical of that site davidn3600 Nov 2016 #5
you are misreading what they are reporting.... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #6
That is literally what exit polling is... angrychair Nov 2016 #11
exit polling asks voters how they voted and why..... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #13
Post removed Post removed Nov 2016 #7
Agreed. cwydro Nov 2016 #9
Hostile much angrychair Nov 2016 #10
For those who can't take the heat ..... OnDoutside Nov 2016 #12
Dec 1969 #

angrychair

(8,702 posts)
8. What disservice??
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:22 PM
Nov 2016

I posting realtime data that is publicly available. It's not a secret. MSNBC is about to review exit polling data within the next hour.
Most if not all on DU, including myself 15 days ago, have already voted for Clinton.

 

davidn3600

(6,342 posts)
5. Im sleptical of that site
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:18 PM
Nov 2016

Especially since it suggests Trump is underperforming Romney's numbers in Florida, while more credible sources say Trump has already exceeded that number.

It also has Clinton leading in Iowa which is even harder to believe.

I'd put some salt on that site for now.

getagrip_already

(14,764 posts)
6. you are misreading what they are reporting....
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:19 PM
Nov 2016

They don't do exit polling. they count noses, and then extrapolate from where they vote/live who they voted for.

They will miss people living in the wrong neighborhoods. They will miss voters crossing over and voting for the other team.

It's good guesswork, but it isn't vote counts. They don't ask voters who they voted for.

angrychair

(8,702 posts)
11. That is literally what exit polling is...
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:28 PM
Nov 2016

Guess work. I didn't create it, I just thought it was interesting. People act like I just kicked a puppy. Calm down.

getagrip_already

(14,764 posts)
13. exit polling asks voters how they voted and why.....
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:34 PM
Nov 2016

votecastr doesn't. They just count noses.

It's a pretty big difference.

Response to angrychair (Original post)

angrychair

(8,702 posts)
10. Hostile much
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:26 PM
Nov 2016

What is the need to be that hostile for quoting publicly available data???
Most Florida pollsters called Florida for Clinton yesterday based on early voting alone.

OnDoutside

(19,962 posts)
12. For those who can't take the heat .....
Tue Nov 8, 2016, 05:32 PM
Nov 2016

Soft kitty,

Warm kitty,

Little ball of fur.

Happy kitty,

Sleepy kitty,

Purr Purr Purr

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