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TomClash

(11,344 posts)
Mon Jun 25, 2012, 11:49 AM Jun 2012

Here is where the Presidential election will be stolen

William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, published a study last month assuming three different scenarios for turnout and voting margins among whites and minorities in the upcoming November election.

. . .

The third Frey scenario calls for white turnout and voting patterns to replicate those of 2004, and for minority turnout and voting patterns to replicate 2008 — “something closer to what this year’s election promises – strong partisan participation by both whites and minorities.” In this case, Frey writes, “results favor an Obama win – but barely.”

According to Frey’s third scenario, “Obama squeaks by with 292 electoral votes spread among 24 states,” but his victory depends on winning by very slim margins in four key states — Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Oregon — which together have 66 electoral college votes, far more than enough to tip the contest to Romney if they go the other way.

Frey’s analysis demonstrates a crucial fact about current presidential politics: that white voters (76 percent) and minorities (24 percent), despite making up vastly different percentages of the electorate, are both key to the outcome. Little shifts in behavior in either group matter.

http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/25/white-working-chaos/?hp

The three largest of these four states have Republican Governors. This is where the election will be stolen.

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Here is where the Presidential election will be stolen (Original Post) TomClash Jun 2012 OP
He can't depend on Wisconsin nebenaube Jun 2012 #1
Except the significance of 'little shifts' depends entirely on what group you are talking about RZM Jun 2012 #2
Remind me how they stole the election in 2008. Puzzledtraveller Jun 2012 #3
They didn't bongbong Jun 2012 #4
Karl Rove wasn't playing nt TomClash Jun 2012 #5
This message was self-deleted by its author Arugula Latte Jun 2012 #6
The conspiracy is HUGE!!!! GarroHorus Jun 2012 #7
"Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar" Bandit Jun 2012 #9
And a nationwide conspirayc to steal four statewide elections is so plausible n/t GarroHorus Jun 2012 #10
Four? TomClash Jun 2012 #15
"Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Oregon" GarroHorus Jun 2012 #17
Please try reading it again TomClash Jun 2012 #18
Well said TomClash Jun 2012 #16
Get with the program progressiveinaction Jun 2012 #21
Oh? And what *program* would THAT be? LaydeeBug Jun 2012 #22
TPTB know where to consolidate efforts, they've been there, done that...one more time will mother earth Jun 2012 #8
Worrisome. n/t snacker Jun 2012 #11
I look forward to your post on Nov 7 explaining Obama's landslide victory. stopbush Jun 2012 #12
Really? TomClash Jun 2012 #14
What about House and Senate races? What about the Wisconsin 'election' Ghost of Huey Long Jun 2012 #19
And if the GOP fails to steal the election magnifisense Jun 2012 #13
Naah. I don't think it is necessary. Quantess Jun 2012 #20
 

nebenaube

(3,496 posts)
1. He can't depend on Wisconsin
Mon Jun 25, 2012, 11:56 AM
Jun 2012

The GOP's vote fabrication software has been beta tested and will shift 31 counties to Romney. (see Prosser's election and Walker's recall)... that is unless an FEC axe falls there and soon.

 

RZM

(8,556 posts)
2. Except the significance of 'little shifts' depends entirely on what group you are talking about
Mon Jun 25, 2012, 11:59 AM
Jun 2012

A 3 point shift in the Hispanic vote won't change much. A 3 point shift in the white vote would decide the election.

Response to TomClash (Original post)

TomClash

(11,344 posts)
18. Please try reading it again
Tue Jun 26, 2012, 08:33 AM
Jun 2012

I excluded Oregon. It has a Democratic Governor and Senate. The House is split.

 

LaydeeBug

(10,291 posts)
22. Oh? And what *program* would THAT be?
Tue Jun 26, 2012, 01:32 PM
Jun 2012

When the exit polls and the results are in sync, we can glean there is not a stolen election. When they do not, we can plainly see otherwise.

Now why don't you try and tell me that exit polls aren't reliable so you can show yourself to others?

Oh, and "Welcome to DU"

mother earth

(6,002 posts)
8. TPTB know where to consolidate efforts, they've been there, done that...one more time will
Mon Jun 25, 2012, 12:44 PM
Jun 2012

be easy. Unfortunately, not one damned thing has been done to ensure the sanctity of the vote, nor do they have qualms about making up rules as they go come audit time. When complicity is two sided, it reveals that true democracy is simply an illusion.

TomClash

(11,344 posts)
14. Really?
Mon Jun 25, 2012, 09:17 PM
Jun 2012

Well I would be very happy to be wrong.

I am no "conspiracy theorist" whatever that means.

Some people prefer not to think.

 

Ghost of Huey Long

(322 posts)
19. What about House and Senate races? What about the Wisconsin 'election'
Tue Jun 26, 2012, 11:32 AM
Jun 2012

If they do not steal it from Obama, it is because they have 4 more years of tanking the economy they plan on blaming on him.

magnifisense

(285 posts)
13. And if the GOP fails to steal the election
Mon Jun 25, 2012, 03:27 PM
Jun 2012

they will begin impeachment hearings in the next Congress.

They'll use the "Holder Cover-Up" as the basis for starting hearings on "what Obama knew and when he knew it."

Quantess

(27,630 posts)
20. Naah. I don't think it is necessary.
Tue Jun 26, 2012, 11:39 AM
Jun 2012

The powers that be can get enough accomplished whoever wins the election fairly.

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