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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHere is where the Presidential election will be stolen
William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, published a study last month assuming three different scenarios for turnout and voting margins among whites and minorities in the upcoming November election.
. . .
The third Frey scenario calls for white turnout and voting patterns to replicate those of 2004, and for minority turnout and voting patterns to replicate 2008 something closer to what this years election promises strong partisan participation by both whites and minorities. In this case, Frey writes, results favor an Obama win but barely.
According to Freys third scenario, Obama squeaks by with 292 electoral votes spread among 24 states, but his victory depends on winning by very slim margins in four key states Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Oregon which together have 66 electoral college votes, far more than enough to tip the contest to Romney if they go the other way.
Freys analysis demonstrates a crucial fact about current presidential politics: that white voters (76 percent) and minorities (24 percent), despite making up vastly different percentages of the electorate, are both key to the outcome. Little shifts in behavior in either group matter.
http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/25/white-working-chaos/?hp
The three largest of these four states have Republican Governors. This is where the election will be stolen.
nebenaube
(3,496 posts)The GOP's vote fabrication software has been beta tested and will shift 31 counties to Romney. (see Prosser's election and Walker's recall)... that is unless an FEC axe falls there and soon.
RZM
(8,556 posts)A 3 point shift in the Hispanic vote won't change much. A 3 point shift in the white vote would decide the election.
Puzzledtraveller
(5,937 posts)bongbong
(5,436 posts)However, they did in 2000 and 2004.
TomClash
(11,344 posts)Response to TomClash (Original post)
Arugula Latte This message was self-deleted by its author.
GarroHorus
(1,055 posts)Bandit
(21,475 posts)Sometimes there really are conspiracies....
GarroHorus
(1,055 posts)TomClash
(11,344 posts)Reading is fundamental.
GarroHorus
(1,055 posts)Yes, reading is fundamental.
TomClash
(11,344 posts)I excluded Oregon. It has a Democratic Governor and Senate. The House is split.
TomClash
(11,344 posts)And very true. Facts and thought are key.
progressiveinaction
(150 posts)We lose=stolen election.
We win=not stolen election. The people are waking up!
LaydeeBug
(10,291 posts)When the exit polls and the results are in sync, we can glean there is not a stolen election. When they do not, we can plainly see otherwise.
Now why don't you try and tell me that exit polls aren't reliable so you can show yourself to others?
Oh, and "Welcome to DU"
mother earth
(6,002 posts)be easy. Unfortunately, not one damned thing has been done to ensure the sanctity of the vote, nor do they have qualms about making up rules as they go come audit time. When complicity is two sided, it reveals that true democracy is simply an illusion.
snacker
(3,619 posts)stopbush
(24,396 posts)CTs are just pathetic.
TomClash
(11,344 posts)Well I would be very happy to be wrong.
I am no "conspiracy theorist" whatever that means.
Some people prefer not to think.
Ghost of Huey Long
(322 posts)If they do not steal it from Obama, it is because they have 4 more years of tanking the economy they plan on blaming on him.
magnifisense
(285 posts)they will begin impeachment hearings in the next Congress.
They'll use the "Holder Cover-Up" as the basis for starting hearings on "what Obama knew and when he knew it."
Quantess
(27,630 posts)The powers that be can get enough accomplished whoever wins the election fairly.