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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsExxon/Rosneft/Blackstone/Trump
After a few hours of web surfing & note taking, I was able to identify a variety of investments/investors who stand to benefit from the lifting of the existing sanctions on Russia -- but also stand to lose if the sanctions are not lifted in a timely manner....
(I also found the trail between the 19.5% and Trump's Blackstone buddies ... only to stumble across the article linked below & learn that I had effectively reinvented the wheel as this connection had already been discovered...)
Yasenevo will likely go to clean up mode
2/15/2017
https://www.blogger.com/blog-this.g
my findings
The Exxon component is far greater than just the highly publicized $1billion loss from the Arctic Drilling project that was halted due to the sanctions .....
Timeline/Players:
1998 Tillerson was head of Exxon's
Neftgas Ltd
Neftgas + Rosneft = Sakhalin-1 (Siberian coast)
2006
Tillerson CEO/Pres. Exxon
& Sechin takes over Rosneft
2011
Rosneft + Exxon = Strategic Cooperation Agreement
Explore/Exploit Arctic & Black Sea
* Rosneft subsidiary gets 30% equity in Exxon's La Escalera Ranch project in W.Texas
* Rosneft gets rights to acquire 30% of Exxon Holdings (20 blocks) in Gulf of Mexico
* Rosneft subsidiary RNCardium oil acquires 30% of Exxon's stake in Canada -- Cardium formation to develop tar sands reserve
2012 Neftgas Holdings incorporates (Pável Ilyasov)
2013 Exxon had rights to
11.4 million acres in Russia &
(14.6 million in the US)
2014 Exxon had rights to
63.7 million acres in Russia
Sanctions halted Arctic drilling but did not prohibit acquisition of rights for future projects
Exxon holdings w/ OAO Rosneft include
* Laptev & Chukchi Seas
* Kara & Black Seas
These rights have expiration dates from 2017 -2023
and are to planned to begin contribution in 2020
Kara & Black Seas will cost estimated $350billion to develop
June 2016
St. Petersburg Economic Forum
Sechin (Rosneft) gives Tillerson (Exxon) thumbs up when Tillerson is asked about Sanctions and he says he will leave that to the governments...
(what does Sechin know?)
October 2016
Rosneft acquired Essar Oil (Indian Refinery- 400,000 bpd)
for $13billion
Includes: port terminals, power plants & pumps
Nov/Dec 2016
Rosneft acquired 30% of
Shouroulk in Egypt and its Zohr offshore gas field from Italy's ENI SPA for $1.575 billion
Dec. 2016
Rosneft Trading SA
Loans $1.5billion to
Venezuela PDV SA against 49.9% of US CITGO Holdings / CITGO Petroleum
Which includes 3 refineries and pipelines (749,000 bpd)
* Corpus Christi, Tx
* Lemont, Illinois
* Lake Charles, La. (6th largest in US)
(Hmmmm... sounds like a down payment on a future sale ... contingent upon sanctions being lifted)
Rosneft ownership is roughly
19.25% BP
19.50% QHG******
10% Russian Stock Market
50% Russia
1.25% other
The QHG 19.5% = the mystery shares referenced in the Steele/Trump Dossier ...
Russia's VTB temporarily loaned QHG 10.2billion (euro) to purchase the 19.5% of Rosneft
The loan was satisfied by a combination of payments:
300million euros from GlenCore
2.5 billion from Qatar
5.2 billion from Intesa SanPaolo on behalf of QHG (loan)
2.2billion ???? Not clear
QHG is made up of GlenCore & Qatar...
and
GlenCore = BP + Qatar
GlenCore
Lists as a director
Peter Grauer (Bloomberg) also a
director - Blackstone
QHG's loan from Intesa SanPaolo (Italian bank) who has partnership with GSO Capital division of Blackstone
Russian source says
QHG likely to default on loan
(Strange, Qatar has hundreds of billions... why finance? Why default? Perhaps just the mutually trusted neutral middleman?)
Meaning Intesa or whomever it assigns the loan to (GSO Capital/ Blackstone) will own that 19.5% upon default by QHG.... likely to occur immediately after sanctions are lifted.
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Exxon/Rosneft/Blackstone/Trump (Original Post)
MedusaX
Feb 2017
OP
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)1. Thanks for the details.
Always reminded,BP has Queen of England ties. And Blackstone Capital is considered a Russian Mafia Money Bag. QHG is really a collection of Shell Companies formed in Safe Haven Countries.
Panich52
(5,829 posts)2. No mention of Tillerson?