2018 US Senate Race-Republican held US Senate seats Democrats need to win in order to get back in

the majority in the US Senate on January 2019.
Democrats are safe in CA,CT,DE,HI,MD,MA,MN,NY,RI,VT,and WA.
Democrats are strongly favored in FL,ME,MI,NJ,NM,PA,VA, WV, and WV.
Democrats are slightly favored in IN,MO,MT, and OH.
Democrats have a 50-50 chance of holding onto ND-assuming Cramer-R runs.
Democrats need to win at least 4 Republican held seats
AZ-Sinema-D runs and gets the Democratic nominaton, Flake-R loses in the Republican primary.
NV-Miller-D and/or Marshall-D runs and gets the Democratic nomination.
TX-O'Rourke-D or Castro-D need Cruz-R to self destruct.
UT-Matheson-D runs and gets the Democratic nomination, Chaffetz-R runs and gets the Republican nomination, McMullin runs as an Independent stealing the moderate Republican vote.
MS-Hood-D runs and gets the Democratic nomination, Wicker-R loses in the Republican primary.