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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:25 PM Jul 2012

Job growth has really slowed over the last three months

This BLS report makes it somewhat likelier that the Fed may have to return to balance sheet expansion. Bernanke testifies to congress July 17, and it will be interesting to see what he has to say.

Once again, the ADP employment report was a poor predictor of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report. (It helped fake Goldman into a last minute upward revision of their estimate of the BLS report which had been spot on before they changed it.)

The economy has added 902,000 jobs over the first half of the year (952,000 private sector jobs). At this pace, the economy would add around 1.9 million private sector jobs in 2012; less than the 2.1 million added in 2011.

However job growth has really slowed over the last three months with only 225,000 payroll jobs added (a 900,000 annual pace), and only 274,000 private sector jobs (a 1.1 million annual pace). This is very sluggish employment growth.

The unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2% in June The household survey showed a another increase in employment (128,000 jobs added), and since the participation rate was unchanged at 63.8%, that was just enough to keep with the increase in the labor force.

U-6, an alternate measure of labor underutilization that includes part time workers and marginally attached workers, increased slightly to 14.9%.

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/07/employment-another-weak-report-more.html



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Job growth has really slowed over the last three months (Original Post) cthulu2016 Jul 2012 OP
The global economy has slowed in the last three months taught_me_patience Jul 2012 #1
Slowdown in Europe caused by auserity programs. I think a lot of doc03 Jul 2012 #2
 

taught_me_patience

(5,477 posts)
1. The global economy has slowed in the last three months
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:32 PM
Jul 2012

Greece, Spain, and Italy are grease fires and England has double dipped into recession. Germany, the stalwart of Europe has slowed to a crawl. Meanwhile, manufacturing in Asia is contracting in many countries... Korea, Taiwan, Japan... and China is slowing dramatically. Look for a Chinese stimulus soon to revive their slowing economy.

The slowdown in Europe is really hurting US exports.

doc03

(35,361 posts)
2. Slowdown in Europe caused by auserity programs. I think a lot of
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 01:02 PM
Jul 2012

of it was also caused from gas prices here.

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