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They had to spend 25 million to hold a republican seat in a red district. (Original Post) ehrnst Jun 2017 OP
That's the fifty state strategy. Make em fight for every seat. Iggo Jun 2017 #1
AND even then it was by a much smaller spread than in the past. WePurrsevere Jun 2017 #2
Yes it is mcar Jun 2017 #3
Make that to hold the seat. L. Coyote Jun 2017 #4
Correct - I have updated the headline. (nt) ehrnst Jun 2017 #7
K & R L. Coyote Jun 2017 #14
That's A Stunning Number, No? ProfessorGAC Jun 2017 #5
I think it was called the most expensive House race in history NewJeffCT Jun 2017 #6
And we spent the same to lose it customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #8
Ours came from many small donations. Is your answer to not compete everywhere? Bad idea. LBM20 Jun 2017 #11
My answer is to put the money where it will do some good customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #34
So... you want to tell all those individual voters not to donate to a Democratic candidate ehrnst Jun 2017 #44
I'm not telling anybody to do anything customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #45
You said that money spent on Ossoff would have been better spent elsewhere. ehrnst Jun 2017 #46
I would ask people customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #53
So you're saying that we should not fight in a heavily red district that elected DT by only 1% ehrnst Jun 2017 #54
dward Lasker realized the value of the Bishop Sacrifice in 1911. LanternWaste Jun 2017 #63
We didn't lose it as we didn't have it in the first place. Kaleva Jun 2017 #19
And my point is customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #35
Can you tell us what % of money that Ossoff raised ehrnst Jun 2017 #21
Nobody can, of course customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #37
Most of it was from out of state - I doubt that money was reserved for another campaign. ehrnst Jun 2017 #41
Of course it was for other campaigns FBaggins Jun 2017 #51
a lot of his money came from california democrats and other blue state democrats JI7 Jun 2017 #36
And they could have used that money customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #38
they were small donations. stop trying to control people who want to help democrats. JI7 Jun 2017 #39
I can't control anybody customerserviceguy Jun 2017 #40
Well if "we" hadn't supported an anti-choice mayoral candidate in Nebraska... moda253 Jun 2017 #48
And who determines those battles? (nt) ehrnst Jun 2017 #61
Suggestions often seem more valid when objective numbers and evidence are used to support them LanternWaste Jun 2017 #64
Every dollar of Democratic outside spending sucked up $2.50 of R outside spending krispos42 Jun 2017 #47
Aye this wasnt really much of a win due to the amount they had to spend to hold onto that seat. cstanleytech Jun 2017 #9
Absolutely! We made HUGE progress and THIS is the 50 state strategy everyone wants. LBM20 Jun 2017 #10
Roughly $200 were spent per vote cast. Xipe Totec Jun 2017 #12
And it changed nothing. The Rs were drained yuuugely just to hang onto what they had before. L. Coyote Jun 2017 #13
Not if that $25M is the difference in repealing the ACA... JoeStuckInOH Jun 2017 #15
Can you explain how that takes away from fighting the ACHA? ehrnst Jun 2017 #16
Russia enid602 Jun 2017 #17
Progress would be winning the seat oberliner Jun 2017 #18
Perhaps this graphic will put it into perspective for you. ehrnst Jun 2017 #20
Ossoff got fewer votes than Rodney Stooksbury oberliner Jun 2017 #22
Special elections, like midterms, generally have much lower turnout than presidential ehrnst Jun 2017 #23
True, but this special election received an inordinate amount of attention and fundraising oberliner Jun 2017 #25
So, what do you think was the cause of "not flipping the 6th?" ehrnst Jun 2017 #42
Good question oberliner Jun 2017 #49
I'm so proud of Jon Ossoff.. those who want Cha Jun 2017 #24
It is progress. But I have a problem with his running from outside LuvLoogie Jun 2017 #27
He grew up there, and moved near Emory to be near his fiance. ehrnst Jun 2017 #29
That's sweet and all that, but not politically relevant, nor astute. It's like driving LuvLoogie Jun 2017 #30
Clearly you're not mad at him. That's sweet. ehrnst Jun 2017 #31
I'm not mad. And I doubt that's the main reason he lost. LuvLoogie Jun 2017 #33
How do you get that 11,000 votes were "lost" due to his address? ehrnst Jun 2017 #43
Yup. mac56 Jun 2017 #26
Had to? Sanity Claws Jun 2017 #28
I don't think that they would spend money that they didn't think they had to. (nt) ehrnst Jun 2017 #62
It sure is. We need to field good strong candidate and fuck the republicans up. nt Blue_true Jun 2017 #32
Osoff's heart was in the right place, but he wasn't a strong candidate TexasBushwhacker Jun 2017 #52
She has experience in Voter suppression. And he did Damn good: ehrnst Jun 2017 #56
He did do well and Handel was lucky to win TexasBushwhacker Jun 2017 #59
Any suggestions? (nt) ehrnst Jun 2017 #60
WE MUST DEREGULATE COAL AND OIL IMMEDIATELY!!!!!!!1!! Orrex Jun 2017 #50
?? (nt) ehrnst Jun 2017 #55
It would have been funnier if I'd posted it in the correct thread. Orrex Jun 2017 #57
OK. ehrnst Jun 2017 #58

Iggo

(47,552 posts)
1. That's the fifty state strategy. Make em fight for every seat.
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 09:30 AM
Jun 2017

But they're not gonna fight if we don't take a swing.

WePurrsevere

(24,259 posts)
2. AND even then it was by a much smaller spread than in the past.
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 09:38 AM
Jun 2017

I get that people are down about us losing but that we came so very close in a long time and very red district, not to mention made the Republicans send a LOT of money defending it, is something to take pride in IMO.

This is still early in our fight. We have a long way to go and the fight's NOT going to be easy. Mourn today if you need to but allowing doom and gloomers to bring or keep us down can NOT be an option. Quite literally the future of our planet, our civil/human rights and millions of lives is at stake.

NGU!

ProfessorGAC

(65,042 posts)
5. That's A Stunning Number, No?
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 09:52 AM
Jun 2017

If that value were extrapolated over all 435 seats in the House, that comes to 10.875 billion dollars. For Congressional seats?

This has to be an extreme outlier.

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)
6. I think it was called the most expensive House race in history
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 09:55 AM
Jun 2017

too bad the guy running in SC didn't get similar fundraising help - maybe a few TV ads or a few more people making calls on his behalf could have swung a much lower turnout race in his favor.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
8. And we spent the same to lose it
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 10:42 AM
Jun 2017

The difference is, Rethugs have money to burn, Ossoff's loss cost some of our people some necessities.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
34. My answer is to put the money where it will do some good
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:24 AM
Jun 2017

Not just narrow the Rethuglican margin of victory in some meaningless game. The Ossoff money could have been wisely spent on some purple districts in 2018 that would have actually produced some Democratic Representatives, who could act as a brake on what Trump (or Pence) can do in the last two years of that awful administration.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
44. So... you want to tell all those individual voters not to donate to a Democratic candidate
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 07:14 AM
Jun 2017

in an incredibly important race?

Didn't that money show the country that Democrats are willing to back a 50 state strategy?

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
45. I'm not telling anybody to do anything
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 12:45 PM
Jun 2017

All I'm doing is making suggestions, that people are free to take, ignore, or modify. And I can guarantee you that we won't have 25 million dollars to fight even every close race, let alone the ones that are solidly in the GOP column.

We don't have to win the entire House, just a decent majority, like we had after the 2008 election.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
46. You said that money spent on Ossoff would have been better spent elsewhere.
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 01:30 PM
Jun 2017

And how are people supposed to know that prior to donating?

How do you propose to stop that sort of "pointless" spending?

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
53. I would ask people
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 11:31 PM
Jun 2017

to look to the history of the district or state involved, and see what the political climate has been like for the Democratic Party in recent decades. The district that voted Newt Gingrich into office is probably not terribly kind to progressive sensibilities.

Presidents pick Cabinet secretaries from safe places. They have armies of political analysts advising them which potential Cabinet officials to avoid, because of the danger of flipping the seat. Every party has done this for many decades. And as a rule, seats don't get flipped right after an election, it takes a couple of years for discontent with the party in power, or the individual in the office, to resonate with mushy middle voters who might be tempted to vote for a different party the next time around.

We'll be in better position in November of 2018 than we are right now to send Trump the repudiation he so richly deserves.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
54. So you're saying that we should not fight in a heavily red district that elected DT by only 1%
Mon Jun 26, 2017, 10:14 AM
Jun 2017

Because that is the "history of the district involved."

Here's more history on the district:



If we hadn't gone after that seat, people would be screaming that the Dems aren't gettting out there and going for the obvious....

And in what way are we neglecting " to send Trump the repudiation he so richly deserves."?




 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
63. dward Lasker realized the value of the Bishop Sacrifice in 1911.
Mon Jun 26, 2017, 01:10 PM
Jun 2017

Though it's often difficult to understand the play, thankfully, Edward Lasker, being a non-linear thinker, realized the value of the Bishop Sacrifice in 1911.

I certainly sympathize with anyone who is unable (or simply) unwilling to examine not simply tactics, but strategy as well; and perceives one and only one solution within the context of that round, rather than seven moves down when the sacrifice results in mate.

Kaleva

(36,301 posts)
19. We didn't lose it as we didn't have it in the first place.
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 07:18 PM
Jun 2017

They had to spend big bucks defending a piece of their own turf.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
35. And my point is
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:26 AM
Jun 2017

they don't care, they have more money than anybody should have. Our money comes from the substance of the lives of everyday people who have to make choices about spending money on a political campaign, or buying a necessity for themselves or their families.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
21. Can you tell us what % of money that Ossoff raised
Thu Jun 22, 2017, 08:40 AM
Jun 2017

was earmarked for others, and will not not be there for them?

I'm not privy to that information.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
37. Nobody can, of course
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:30 AM
Jun 2017

But money is not an infinite commodity, at least not for our side. The rich, who buy Congress seats all the time have almost unlimited resources to do so, that we do not. Money spent on a lost cause is money that is not available for a future fight where it could possibly make a meaningful difference.

Let's see how things go in 2018, and we can use 20-20 hindsight to see which close races could have benefited from a few extra percentage points that this year's money could have bought.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
41. Most of it was from out of state - I doubt that money was reserved for another campaign.
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 06:42 AM
Jun 2017

And no, it was not a lost cause.

If we had not tried hard to get him elected, then more bashing of "Democratic Leadership" would have ensued.

FBaggins

(26,737 posts)
51. Of course it was for other campaigns
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 03:17 PM
Jun 2017

That's why the DNC had the worst May fundraising in 14 years.

JI7

(89,249 posts)
36. a lot of his money came from california democrats and other blue state democrats
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:29 AM
Jun 2017

who live in mostly safe blue areas .

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
38. And they could have used that money
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:32 AM
Jun 2017

next year to help out some candidates in purple areas to get out their messages, and defeat those who would follow Trump blindly.

If California Democratic voters could give to Ossoff, they could give to Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Democratic candidates who are trying to fight the gerrymandering that Repukes are so skilled at.

 

moda253

(615 posts)
48. Well if "we" hadn't supported an anti-choice mayoral candidate in Nebraska...
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:20 PM
Jun 2017

we could have picked up this seat in the first round of voting.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
64. Suggestions often seem more valid when objective numbers and evidence are used to support them
Mon Jun 26, 2017, 01:12 PM
Jun 2017

Suggestions often seem more valid when objective numbers and evidence are used to support them rather than simple allegations.

krispos42

(49,445 posts)
47. Every dollar of Democratic outside spending sucked up $2.50 of R outside spending
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:15 PM
Jun 2017

Yeah, money is an infinite resource... the question is if they spend it $5: $2, who runs out first?

And if that had happened during a regular election and/or in a more moderate district, what would have been the outcome?


If nothing else, it energizes the local Democratic-leaning organizations and gives the damn Republicans a broader fight to wage. It lines up repeat/reliable fundraising efforts (like monthly donations) as well.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
16. Can you explain how that takes away from fighting the ACHA?
Wed Jun 21, 2017, 05:59 PM
Jun 2017

Especially considering that congress votes on it?

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
20. Perhaps this graphic will put it into perspective for you.
Thu Jun 22, 2017, 08:31 AM
Jun 2017

Yes, this is progress. Instantaneous change - that lasts - doesn't exist. Incremental change does. Demanding instantaneous change is unrealistic.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
22. Ossoff got fewer votes than Rodney Stooksbury
Thu Jun 22, 2017, 04:48 PM
Jun 2017

The Ossoff campaign spent millions of dollars, while Stooksbury spent, literally, zero.

And Ossoff was running against a dud of a candidate, as opposed to Stooksbury who was running against a long-standing popular incumbent.

This was an opportunity to win the seat. I am not happy about the result.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
23. Special elections, like midterms, generally have much lower turnout than presidential
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 07:51 AM
Jun 2017

elections.

So, % is more of a real indicator than actual numbers, because of the differences in actual turnout between those types of elections.

That is what the graph is using.

When Tom Price ran in 2016 he beat Rodney Stooksbury by 23.2%. Ossoff came much, much, closer.

Is that clearer?

Curious - did you donate to Ossoff's campaign?



 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
25. True, but this special election received an inordinate amount of attention and fundraising
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 08:42 AM
Jun 2017

There were literally record-breaking amounts of money being spent by both campaigns, so this was not your typical special election.

I donated a small amount to Ossoff's campaign. Thereafter, I was deluged with emails asking for more money - to an incredibly annoying degree. Since I assume you donated as well, you know what I'm talking about.

In any case, I am disappointed in the way things turned out, as this was a real opportunity to Flip the 6th, as the hashtag opined.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
42. So, what do you think was the cause of "not flipping the 6th?"
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 06:45 AM
Jun 2017

You must have an idea on what went wrong.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
49. Good question
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 02:27 PM
Jun 2017

Maybe the candidate could have taken it to Trump a bit more. He seemed a little timid sometimes on that front, a strategy I understand and respect, but possibly not as effective as the alternative.

Also, maybe he was seen as too young and lacking enough relevant experience - and there was that silly point about not living in the district that kept dogging him.

On the whole, he seemed to run a good campaign, though. Maybe it just wasn't winnable. I don't know enough to do anything other than speculate about it.

Cha

(297,232 posts)
24. I'm so proud of Jon Ossoff.. those who want
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 07:58 AM
Jun 2017

to insist there is no progress are not seeing the whole picture.

LuvLoogie

(7,003 posts)
27. It is progress. But I have a problem with his running from outside
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 09:04 AM
Jun 2017

the district. I had no idea this was the case. For me it's disappointing that a candidate wouldn't cross that basic T. For that, I have to say that Jon Ossoff did not do everything he needed to win.

I am not disappointed in the loss, but in a perceived lack of respect for the constituents of that district. A blind spot, if you will.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
29. He grew up there, and moved near Emory to be near his fiance.
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 08:40 PM
Jun 2017

"Well, I grew up in this district. I grew up in this community. No one knew there was going to be an election coming,” Ossoff said when asked whether he would be able to vote for himself in Tuesday’s election; he will not. “I’ve been living with Alisha, my girlfriend of 12 years, down by Emory University, where she’s a full-time medical student. And as soon as she concludes her medical training, I’ll be 10 minutes back up the street into the district where I grew up, but I want to support her and her career and do right by her.”

LuvLoogie

(7,003 posts)
30. That's sweet and all that, but not politically relevant, nor astute. It's like driving
Sat Jun 24, 2017, 09:00 AM
Jun 2017

on an expired license, because you don't have time to get to the DMV. Except that you are wanting to represent people in the legislative process in Washington. It's kind of serious.

And hearing that story only makes me want to ask, why hasn't he married her? It's not like they're Jerry Brown and Linda Ronstadt.

But hey, I ain't mad at him.

LuvLoogie

(7,003 posts)
33. I'm not mad. And I doubt that's the main reason he lost.
Sat Jun 24, 2017, 10:59 AM
Jun 2017

Was his residency as an issue worth 11,000 votes in Georgia 6? Hard to say. Was it a contributing factor in flipping people on the fence? Probably. How many of those were there?

It was a tight race. There are electoral rules, which in compliance he was. But there are political "rules" to which he was vulnerable. Is he qualified? Yes. Should he run again? Yes, but from within the district.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
43. How do you get that 11,000 votes were "lost" due to his address?
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 06:46 AM
Jun 2017

Exit polls?

What about all those others that came out for him that had not come out in previous elections where it was a red landslide?

mac56

(17,567 posts)
26. Yup.
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 08:51 AM
Jun 2017

There's a song where Warren Zevon sings, "never thought I'd have to pay so dearly for what was already mine."

After the Georgia election this week, I bet Republicans are singing that too.

Sanity Claws

(21,848 posts)
28. Had to?
Fri Jun 23, 2017, 09:10 AM
Jun 2017

I agree that the Democratic candidate made a nice showing but he still lost by 4 points. I'm not sure whether the Republicans' spending $25 million made a difference between a win and a loss.
Nevertheless it is significant that the Republicans felt compelled to spend that kind of money. That party does not feel safe even in a very red gerrymandered district.

TexasBushwhacker

(20,190 posts)
52. Osoff's heart was in the right place, but he wasn't a strong candidate
Sun Jun 25, 2017, 03:19 PM
Jun 2017

He just didn't have the experience that Karen Handel has.

TexasBushwhacker

(20,190 posts)
59. He did do well and Handel was lucky to win
Mon Jun 26, 2017, 12:22 PM
Jun 2017

But I think someone who had been elected to public office might have won it.

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