General Discussion

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Wed Jun 21, 2017, 04:16 PM Jun 2017

GA-06: Why Handel's Win Isn't a Disaster for Democrats

If Democrats were to outperform their "generic" share by eight points across the board in November 2018, they would pick up 80 seats. Of course, that won't happen because Republican incumbents will be tougher to dislodge than special election nominees. But these results fit a pattern that should still worry GOP incumbents everywhere, regardless of Trump's national approval rating and the outcome of the healthcare debate in Congress.

Put another way, Democratic candidates in these elections have won an average of 68 percent of the votes Hillary Clinton won in their districts, while Republican candidates have won an average of 54 percent of Trump's votes. That's an enthusiasm gap that big enough to gravely imperil the Republican majority next November—even if it didn't show up in "the special election to end all special elections."

http://cookpolitical.com/story/10391

8 replies

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GA-06: Why Handel's Win Isn't a Disaster for Democrats (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2017 OP

People are very keen to self flagellate on this board. The loss was not a disaster. Gravitycollapse Jun 2017 #1

Exactly right Egnever Jun 2017 #7

K&R for the Greatest Page emulatorloo Jun 2017 #2

But we lost!!!! tazkcmo Jun 2017 #3

The Cook Political report is very trustworthy Gothmog Jun 2017 #4

And it's only a year! People are forgetting that! Initech Jun 2017 #5

Repubs will not be able to spend $25 million each on 220 House seats... Wounded Bear Jun 2017 #6

Democrats would have 220 seats at this rate. Dawson Leery Jun 2017 #8

Gravitycollapse

(8,155 posts)

1. People are very keen to self flagellate on this board. The loss was not a disaster.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 04:19 PM

Jun 2017

We should have expected it despite our best efforts.

Egnever

(21,506 posts)

7. Exactly right

Reply to Gravitycollapse (Reply #1)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 06:30 PM

Jun 2017

This race was never ours to win. The fact it was so close is amazing.

emulatorloo

(44,124 posts)

2. K&R for the Greatest Page

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 04:19 PM

Jun 2017

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)

3. But we lost!!!!

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 04:22 PM

Jun 2017

If we don't start winning in historicly GOPee district special elections, we're never going to win in more realistic districts! EVER!!! Omg! NYC is going to go red!!!!!!! Why didn't the DNC spend a couple hundred thousand and buy their candidate a house in the district??????

I don't have time for all this losing!!!! I have to go lay down a bet on the Washington Generals before the tip off in their game against the Harlem Globe Trotters. The Generals are bound to win!

sarcasm

Gothmog

(145,242 posts)

4. The Cook Political report is very trustworthy

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 04:31 PM

Jun 2017

Initech

(100,076 posts)

5. And it's only a year! People are forgetting that!

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 06:27 PM

Jun 2017

All of these 4 seats, they are only serving for one year. One. They will have to answer in that length of time. If they don't, we get to kick their asses out for real!

Wounded Bear

(58,656 posts)

6. Repubs will not be able to spend $25 million each on 220 House seats...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 06:29 PM

Jun 2017

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

8. Democrats would have 220 seats at this rate.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Jun 21, 2017, 07:54 PM

Jun 2017

I would say 225-27, but Fascist Party voter purges and gerrymandering mean Democrats will be cheating out of a few seats.

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