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Casprings

(347 posts)
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 11:41 AM Jul 2017

Disregarding moral arguments, politics wise, is it better that Trumpcare passes?

First the passage is Trump means thousands of Americans die and millions lose security. It would be bad.

That said, the harm this bill will cause will destroy populations in rural America and his core supporters. Seems likely that is will erode support and could result in a landslide in 2018. Remember, millions will be losing coverage right before the mid-term. The political environment seems to be swinging towards dems. With all that, politics wise, does the GOP passing the bill help dems?

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Disregarding moral arguments, politics wise, is it better that Trumpcare passes? (Original Post) Casprings Jul 2017 OP
NO. spanone Jul 2017 #1
What the fuck is this shit right here. WhiskeyGrinder Jul 2017 #2
No shit, eh? n/t X_Digger Jul 2017 #43
No. 50 Shades Of Blue Jul 2017 #3
You couldn't undue until 2020 Casprings Jul 2017 #6
Probably not even then...you need super majority. Those are rare. Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #22
Honestly passing trumpcare could give us a veto proof majority if we played our cards right Tiggeroshii Jul 2017 #41
No! What kind of person Skidmore Jul 2017 #4
I am not! Casprings Jul 2017 #12
Try 20 million Tiggeroshii Jul 2017 #42
When rural America loses their healthcare, Shell_Seas Jul 2017 #5
I kind of doubt that. Casprings Jul 2017 #8
You're more optomistic than me. Shell_Seas Jul 2017 #9
It doesn't matter ...unless we get a super majority, it can't be fixed. Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #26
That is a certainty, therefore we must acknowledge there is only one way out of any of this Eliot Rosewater Jul 2017 #14
You cannot separate the death of people for political argument. Eom pirateshipdude Jul 2017 #7
I am not Casprings Jul 2017 #10
I care is people die.. Casprings Jul 2017 #13
Only if your politics doesn't care... NeoGreen Jul 2017 #11
Seeing as the majority affected by that would be in Red States OnDoutside Jul 2017 #15
I am not saying we shouldn't fight like hell... Casprings Jul 2017 #16
We shouldn't forget that the Democratic Party doesn't have much power right now, apart from being OnDoutside Jul 2017 #17
There is no such thing as free market health care...that is a Republican meme. Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #21
That is completely untrue...the entire system would collapse everywhere including blue Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #24
NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Ms. Toad Jul 2017 #18
Absolutely...what is wrong with some? Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #20
Absolutely not. It is not better. All those folks who think single payer will come if this happens Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #19
A better way to ask this: What are the political ramifications if Drumpfcare passes? BannonsLiver Jul 2017 #23
I don't think they are good for Democrats...we would need a super majority to Demsrule86 Jul 2017 #25
Yep. There's one ramification. BannonsLiver Jul 2017 #32
No Freethinker65 Jul 2017 #27
No just no Lotusflower70 Jul 2017 #28
People will die, NO. It's just, no. onecaliberal Jul 2017 #29
... demmiblue Jul 2017 #30
WTF? Anything these kgop m-fukkers pass will only embolden their claims of legitimacy & base support MedusaX Jul 2017 #31
NO. The worst parts won't kick in for years, so the political effects won't hurt any GOPer now. pnwmom Jul 2017 #33
CBO estimates 18 will lose it by 2018.. Casprings Jul 2017 #36
The $780 billion in Medicaid cuts won't start for years. This isn't just an Obamacare repeal bill. pnwmom Jul 2017 #37
Politics wise, no. Pundits and Think Tanks have agendas, they do politics as sports, not governing. haele Jul 2017 #34
No, a bunch of Republican voters pissed off at the GOP would be better dansolo Jul 2017 #35
OFFS, that is just how Republicans think. L. Coyote Jul 2017 #38
This is disgusting. You should take it down. nolabear Jul 2017 #39
When your politics sarisataka Jul 2017 #40
Fuck no. n/t X_Digger Jul 2017 #44

Casprings

(347 posts)
6. You couldn't undue until 2020
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 11:48 AM
Jul 2017

Getting rid of Trump would make that even more likely. President Pence would never sign a bill passed by dems. Trump really just doesn't give a two shits what he signs.

 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
41. Honestly passing trumpcare could give us a veto proof majority if we played our cards right
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 10:15 PM
Jul 2017

But what would the chances of that be?

Skidmore

(37,364 posts)
4. No! What kind of person
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 11:48 AM
Jul 2017

would say say carnage is acceptable for political gain? We don't kill the vulnerable.

Shell_Seas

(3,334 posts)
5. When rural America loses their healthcare,
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 11:48 AM
Jul 2017

they will likely blame Obama, Hillary, or fake news. And then still vote red.

Eliot Rosewater

(31,112 posts)
14. That is a certainty, therefore we must acknowledge there is only one way out of any of this
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 12:01 PM
Jul 2017

voting.

Every non fascist shows up to vote, in every election , for ANY democrat.

OnDoutside

(19,962 posts)
15. Seeing as the majority affected by that would be in Red States
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 12:08 PM
Jul 2017

If one was cynical/amoral, it might seem a runner, but this could have unexpected consequences for Democratic Party, drastic consequences for people affected. If there was no healthcare and Republicans still controlled Congress, they'd paint Democrats as obstructing people's healthcare, if Dems tried to block it.

Casprings

(347 posts)
16. I am not saying we shouldn't fight like hell...
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 12:53 PM
Jul 2017

We should. We shouldn't want power for power's sake. The reason you get power is to help people. Plus, even politically, we cannot be seen as playing games with this. We have to do everything in our power to stop this.

However, this issue has always seemed odd to me. If you really thought about where a free market health care system might work, it is urban areas. Lots of docs, lots of hospitals means that you might be able to design something that could work somewhat. These are basically democratic voters. Not that they won't be hurt, as many are poor, but less so then rural areas. Here you have basically one doctor and very few doctors. In other words, you have a very natural monopoly.

In sum, the odd thing politically is that this bill hurts their voters a lot more then it hurts our voters. When you take this issue, which will hurt the white and poor, and add it to Russia, which will hurt them among the white and educated.. it just doesn't seem like good politics to me.

OnDoutside

(19,962 posts)
17. We shouldn't forget that the Democratic Party doesn't have much power right now, apart from being
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 03:05 PM
Jul 2017

the gap between a clearly divided Rep Party, to push through their changes. Aside from that, and not forgetting the moralistic standpoint, failure to be seen to do the right thing would be bound to backfire, especially with the Democratic base. I think you were right to make the point, that many had a moment to think about.

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)
21. There is no such thing as free market health care...that is a Republican meme.
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 04:43 PM
Jul 2017

It would never work anywhere...so you come here to suggest Democrats are better off if we let the ACA go... no we are not...and I can't understand why any Democrat would think so.

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)
24. That is completely untrue...the entire system would collapse everywhere including blue
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 04:46 PM
Jul 2017

states. The medicare cut make Trump care unacceptable on any level...this is not about health care ...it is about destroying medicare and giving a giant tax cuts to Republicans...and there is no guarantee we would be able to fix it for years.

Ms. Toad

(34,075 posts)
18. NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 04:36 PM
Jul 2017

Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?

Sheesh. It is so much fun to run into what seems like near-daily suggestions on DU suggesting I should be willing to sacrifice my daughter's life for the sake of winning the next election. Hey - I can just make another daughter, right?

Remind me to ask my daughter, when she gets home later from her monthly $8,000 life-saving infusion how she feels about being a political football.

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)
19. Absolutely not. It is not better. All those folks who think single payer will come if this happens
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 04:40 PM
Jul 2017

are wrong...we get nothing for years if ever...and you can't the immorality of killing millions out of the argument.

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)
25. I don't think they are good for Democrats...we would need a super majority to
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 04:48 PM
Jul 2017

fix anything and even if we got a simple majority we would not be able to fix it...and would be tossed out in the next election...enacting Trump care is a lose lose for Democrats.

Lotusflower70

(3,077 posts)
28. No just no
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 05:00 PM
Jul 2017

There is no guarantee that would help the Democrats especially with the continued hacking, gerrymandering and voter suppression. Plus I don't want to see people die.

MedusaX

(1,129 posts)
31. WTF? Anything these kgop m-fukkers pass will only embolden their claims of legitimacy & base support
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 05:21 PM
Jul 2017

Mundane status quo partisan politics...
has officially been deconstructed and sold for scrap....

The days in which a bad piece of legislation passed by one party can be of value for the other party at the next election... are gone.

This is a fight for the core of our entire way of life as members of a constitutionally based democratic republic...

We are not even talking about an internal philosophical disagreement based fight - similar to that of civil war...

think 1775.... and that whole independence from the king scenario ...
where most of the kgop are not ready to break from king putin-rump...
but it is necessary, nonetheless, to seek independence.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
33. NO. The worst parts won't kick in for years, so the political effects won't hurt any GOPer now.
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 05:28 PM
Jul 2017

That's why they wrote the bill with a "glide path." They're hoping by the time millions of people lose their Medicaid and other benefits, they won't remember who passed the bill that made it happen.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
37. The $780 billion in Medicaid cuts won't start for years. This isn't just an Obamacare repeal bill.
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 09:47 PM
Jul 2017

It's bigger intent is to decimate Medicaid.

haele

(12,660 posts)
34. Politics wise, no. Pundits and Think Tanks have agendas, they do politics as sports, not governing.
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 06:05 PM
Jul 2017

People who actually work in government, along with actual Politicians who are in government to make a difference, instead of someplace to land because they were shitty at the job they went to college for, will tell you that policies that are enacted to help communities are almost universally hated by the loudest voices within the communities. Legislation will never be "perfect", because "perfect legislation" can only be found in places like North Korea or Saudi Arabia; where the dictators own everything.

So, let's consider the BACA. It's basically a Trillion Dollar over Ten Years Tax Cut for wealthy individuals paid for by gutting the parts of the ACA where they consider they're being unfairly taxed and regulatory requirements that doesn't seem important to people with money to begin with. Nothing "new" is being added - not services, not regulations. Just parts are being taken away.

That's a lot of money involved, and the people who want it to pass own the Media, investment firms, major retail, and international corporations. So, they're pretty much in charge of how the message is going to be delivered to "the masses" - the general electorate.
And that's where the politics of governance goes out the window. If the message is being controlled, and you are not one of the ones controlling it, there's no politics there. It's sports, and they won.

If TrumpCare passes, there's not going to be much of an uprising against the GOP, because the people making money off the GOP and TrumpCare control the media. And they've pretty much bought most of the infrastructure to run a ground game against the Democrats since 1992 - because we've been playing politics, and they haven't.

I'm not being defeatist, I'm being a Sea Lawyer here. And every Lawyer will tell you - never ask a question or propose a solution unless you have a very high probability you know what the answer is going to be.
Historically, I don't trust the electorate here. I know too many people who have given up on Democracy, who refuse to vote because "both parties do it". Too many people have made the perfect the enemy of the good, and will accept whatever shit the GOP is selling because they're going to wait for the knight in shining armor to rescue them and make a unilateral change in their lives.

If TrumpCare passes, that's at least a decade of health care - of life lost for probably close to 1/6 of the citizens in this country. It's millions of jobs lost, at a time when technology is taking over productivity and Health Care was one of the few fields that might still have jobs.
TrumpCare passing will turn the survivors cynical and isolationist, not trusting in their governance, local, state or national as services falter and disappear and the wealthy buy more and more of the government resources.

Politics-wise, for a Democracy, it's a disaster - unless you like living in Putin's Russia, or some other third world country.

Haele


dansolo

(5,376 posts)
35. No, a bunch of Republican voters pissed off at the GOP would be better
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 07:37 PM
Jul 2017

I'd rather they stayed home because the GOP couldn't pass it.

nolabear

(41,986 posts)
39. This is disgusting. You should take it down.
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 10:07 PM
Jul 2017

Hailing the destruction of a group of people, any group of people, is not who we are.

Jesus.

sarisataka

(18,663 posts)
40. When your politics
Mon Jul 17, 2017, 10:13 PM
Jul 2017

Includes Looking at the potential political benefits of genocide, be at active or passive, it is a sign you may have gone a bit too far...

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