General Discussion

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Sat Jul 29, 2017, 10:40 AM Jul 2017

2020 US Senate Election Prediction if popular sitting or former Democratic governors run.

AK-Sullivan-R vs Walker-I/Tossup Democratic
CO-Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D/Lean Democratic
LA-Cassidy-R vs Bel Edwards-D/Tossup Democratic
MT-Daines-R vs Bullock-D/Tossup Democratic
NC-Thillis-R vs Cooper-D/Lean Democratic
WV-Capito-R vs Tomblin-D/Tossup Democratic.
Democrats will pick up AZ special and ME-if Collins-R retires.

6 replies

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2020 US Senate Election Prediction if popular sitting or former Democratic governors run. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 OP

The presidential democratic ticket can make 2020 another tidal wave.. beachbum bob Jul 2017 #1

What are the other 2 Democratic pick ups in 2018? nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 #3

This how I would rank them Casprings Jul 2017 #5

How would Steve Cohen do if he ran for the US Senate against Corker-TN? nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 #6

Nothing is a given... Casprings Jul 2017 #4

What makes you think Walker would caucus with the Dems. nycbos Jul 2017 #2

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

1. The presidential democratic ticket can make 2020 another tidal wave..

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 10:45 AM

Jul 2017

I also believe 3 democratic pickups are possible in 2018.....heller losing badly in Nevada is a given

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

3. What are the other 2 Democratic pick ups in 2018?

Reply to beachbum bob (Reply #1)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 02:44 PM

Jul 2017

Both of the AZ US Senate Seats assuming McCain-R leaves the US Senate next year ?
AZ (Flake-R) or TX (Cruz-R)?
Regarding the 2020 Democratic Presidential Ticket's coattails. The Democratic Presidential Ticket will help Democratic US Senate nominee in CO,ME (if OPEN seat),NH (Shaheen-D),NC,and VA (Warner) +2 or 3D
Democratic US Senate incumbents in MI (Peters-D) and MN (Franken-D) will overperform the Democratic Presidential Ticket in their homestate.
US Senate Races where a popular sitting or former governor can turn a US Senate Race from a red state into a tossup is AK (Sullivan-R vs Walker-I),AR (Cotton-R vs Beebe-D),KY (McConnell-R vs Beshear-D),LA (Cassidy-R vs Bel Edwards-D),MT (Daines-R vs Bullock-D)and WV (Capito-R vs Tomblin-D)
The wildcard 2020 US Senate Races are in GA and TX.

Casprings

(347 posts)

5. This how I would rank them

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #3)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 04:47 PM

Jul 2017

1. Heller
2. Flake and McCain's seat (assuming he retires and these seats go together
3. Cruz - TX
4. Bob Cooker - TN

If you get down to picking up Cooker's seat, you are looking at huge majorities in the House. Very unlikely, but I do think a big wave is possible. If you did above and defended everywhere, you would have a 53/47 den majority in the Senate.