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malaise

(269,157 posts)
Wed Aug 16, 2017, 09:36 PM Aug 2017

Reminder - Pay Attention



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php

Clearly all will not develop but 91L is now at 60%
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gert, located a few hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
located about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have become
a little more concentrated this afternoon. Upper-level winds are
forecast to become more conducive for development during the next
day or so while the low moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean, crossing into the Caribbean Sea on Friday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds
are expected to spread across portions of the Lesser Antilles on
Thursday night and Friday, and interests there and elsewhere in
the eastern Caribbean should monitor the progress of this
disturbance. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system on Thursday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.


2. A second area of low pressure is located about 950 miles west
of the Cabo Verde Islands, and its associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Gradual development
of this system is possible during the next few days while it
moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds
are expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation
when the disturbance moves north of the Leeward Islands this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

3. A tropical wave located southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown
16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Reminder - Pay Attention (Original Post) malaise Aug 2017 OP
Looks like its headed for the republican Goat Farm* Achilleaze Aug 2017 #1
Love your rant malaise Aug 2017 #4
Horrorcane Eclipse Achilleaze Aug 2017 #6
Hehehehehehe malaise Aug 2017 #9
Ferd Berffle. dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #11
(And also a bunch of low ground full of people still recovering from Sandy). . . .n/t annabanana Aug 2017 #5
That lower track takes it right to your shores. panader0 Aug 2017 #2
We're getting ready malaise Aug 2017 #3
Coffee maker for the car ? heather blossom Aug 2017 #7
Has one end like a phone charger for the lighter port malaise Aug 2017 #8
I'll look for one heather blossom Aug 2017 #10
Thank you! dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #12
Hi here sis - we'd better watch this one -90% chance in five days malaise Aug 2017 #13
Just this minute checked my weather site dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #15
Actually 92L is a bigger threat to the US malaise Aug 2017 #14
If Fla. does get hit, here's hoping Mar Loco feels it. n/t dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #16

Achilleaze

(15,543 posts)
1. Looks like its headed for the republican Goat Farm*
Wed Aug 16, 2017, 09:39 PM
Aug 2017

* aka the taxpayer-supported golden gourmet deluxe Bedminister Sandbox for FatCat republican Draft-Dodging Billionaires and their colluding russian and republican cronies as they continue PISS all over American democracy and basic human decency.

Achilleaze

(15,543 posts)
6. Horrorcane Eclipse
Wed Aug 16, 2017, 09:55 PM
Aug 2017

gonna also flush out on Camp David - a twofer, according to my well-lubricated cousin Ferd Berffle.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
11. Ferd Berffle.
Wed Aug 16, 2017, 11:51 PM
Aug 2017

I am stealing that.
dunno who or what the lucky recipient may be, but I love the name!

malaise

(269,157 posts)
3. We're getting ready
Wed Aug 16, 2017, 09:44 PM
Aug 2017

checked out the battery stuff, car charger and most importantly coffee maker for the car
We bought lots of water in June. The rest is routine.
Could fizzle out but better to be prepared. Lots of islands before ours.

malaise

(269,157 posts)
13. Hi here sis - we'd better watch this one -90% chance in five days
Thu Aug 17, 2017, 09:54 AM
Aug 2017

1. Morning satellite imagery shows that shower activity associated
with a low pressure system centered about 550 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles has become better organized overnight, and buoy
data indicates that the circulation is becoming better defined.
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form later today or tonight as the
system moves westward at about 15 mph. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to spread across
portions of the Lesser Antilles and the eastern Caribbean Sea
tonight and Friday, and interests in these areas should monitor the
progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

---------------
Likely to be a TD later today

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
15. Just this minute checked my weather site
Thu Aug 17, 2017, 01:58 PM
Aug 2017

( Just this minute woke up, actually)
and it had a video of some guy giving the storm report
but he was SO dramatic, and actually shouting, waving his arms, behavior you normally associate with a meteor hitting the planet..
had to turn him off.

In any event, hoping your and yours will be fine.

malaise

(269,157 posts)
14. Actually 92L is a bigger threat to the US
Thu Aug 17, 2017, 10:09 AM
Aug 2017

Last edited Thu Aug 17, 2017, 03:22 PM - Edit history (1)



Theoretically Florida could have a hurricane on the 25th anniversary of Andrew
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