I doubt Thump or his successor will get re-elected. Thump would need a continually expanding economy and deft footwork to handle economic downdrafts here at home and international crises abroad.
I fear that some of the Republicans' desired budget cuts to the sickly and the elderly will get passed into law between now and the next Presidential election. Many of Thump's voters went for the Donald thinking that he would make things better for them, despite ample warning; will they vote for him for making things worse? A lot of Trump's credulous voting strength is going to be painfully schooled as to what all that right-wing Fibber-tarian I've-got-mine political theory means to them and theirs as they lose medical, pension, and Social Security benefits that they'd taken for granted and allowed them to indulge their right-wing fantasizing.
Moreover, race-baiting is likely to have increasingly painful consequences in the more racially-mixed states. Trashing Afro-Americans and Latinos might work very well in the Dakotas, Idaho, and West Virginia, but it's going to prove increasingly dangerous in places like Arizona and Texas. The voters of Maricopa County did sack Sheriff Joe in an election where things were trending the Donald's way. Even Hillary, arch she-devil in Texas Republicans' political pantheon' got within ten points of tying with Thump in 2016. If the Latinos of Arizona are sufficiently aroused, Arizona Republicans might well have a bad year next go-round. If the Latinos of Texas bestir themselves to register to vote and then actually go to the polls, Thump or his successor is going to have to vacate 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in 2021.
Some of the Rust Belt and some red states are going to flip next election.
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