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dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 10:59 AM Aug 2017

Guys..... we may be in big trouble.

From Texas' own Juanita Jean site: http://juanitajean.com/

So far, thousands of homes have been inundated.
Tens of thousands of people are out of their homes.
The ENTIRE Texas National Guard has been activated with over 12,000 personnel mobilized.
The US Coast Guard has brought HALF of its US helicopter fleet to the Houston metro area.
The shelter at the George R. Brown Convention Center is now near capacity with 5,000 people who’ve lost their homes, and shelters all over the area are running full.
Gasoline shortages are just right around the corner since most of the refineries here are shut down;
both of the metro areas major airports are still shut down.

This is what happens when you pave over hundreds of square miles of land that was once prairie.
This is what happens when you build homes on top of watershed and up against major rivers and bayous. This is the expected result of unbridled development without appropriate oversight for infrastructure.
We’re finally reaping the result of what we have sown for years, and if we’re honest, there is major work to be done beyond simply repair these thousands of homes and buildings.



On the reader comment page is this:
I live in Hamilton TX – a five hour drive from Downtown Houston and we are high and dry.
State Highway 36 which is a major trucking route across Texas comes through Hamilton.
You cannot believe how quiet it is. There aren’t any trucks on the road.
No oil field pipe.
No produce. No tankers. Nothing headed east to the Port of Houston and nothing headed northwest to the rest of Texas from Houston.
When the trucks stop moving, the economy stops.


And this map of flooding tells why....
The dark blue symbols with the slash through it are road closures; the light blue circles are flooding.
To give non-Texans a sense of scale, the east-west distance of this map is over 300 miles.




And it is still storming in Houston. plus they have opened several reservoir floodgates to prevent dam collapses.
and now Louisiana coast/refineries are under part of the huge storm.
58 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Guys..... we may be in big trouble. (Original Post) dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 OP
I would take the news with a grain of salt Not Ruth Aug 2017 #1
That op was 2 days ago. Here's their most recent from yesterday. Listen to the news uppityperson Aug 2017 #4
The guard was not activated until Monday Lithos Aug 2017 #23
Just so I am understanding..... dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #47
Your understanding is correct Lithos Aug 2017 #50
Sadly, we can count on the orange FF* to show his loathsome colors about this. dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #52
Last night the news said 10 known dead. dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #8
This time it's not only the poor and marginalized malaise Aug 2017 #2
I'm in SE Houston. narnian60 Aug 2017 #3
It would be great if after all are safe, we could have an honest discussion... trotsky Aug 2017 #5
agree. mountain grammy Aug 2017 #9
a guest on Rachel said KT2000 Aug 2017 #13
The city planners aren't the problem. Nobody listens to them is the problem. yardwork Aug 2017 #14
yes - it's more complicated KT2000 Aug 2017 #17
Many city planners are doing and saying all the right things. The politicians ignore them. yardwork Aug 2017 #21
I've got a friend like that. INSISTS this has nothing to do with global warming. calimary Aug 2017 #18
So maybe it's not global warming greymattermom Aug 2017 #19
You might have misunderstood my post. Many planners know it's climate change. yardwork Aug 2017 #22
With all due respect, no. And you make a SUPERB point here. calimary Aug 2017 #54
But the right wing is too committed to their ideology. trotsky Aug 2017 #15
+10 Duppers Aug 2017 #33
This is the 3rd serious flood in Houston in several years now. n/t dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #48
Hear hear! defacto7 Aug 2017 #24
Maybe keep messaging it as "infrastructure" Bradical79 Aug 2017 #28
Yep, scientists, meteorologists have been warning about this for years. Duppers Aug 2017 #40
Deregulation and less government is taking a huge hit this week. L. Coyote Aug 2017 #44
The aftermath will be horrific. Locrian Aug 2017 #6
That is what the new FEMA director said..years and years. dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #7
No long trips in the forseeable future. Baitball Blogger Aug 2017 #10
We have been in trouble for a long time; we just haven't been honest about. alarimer Aug 2017 #11
And the population of the country has exploded FLPanhandle Aug 2017 #12
Geologists, hydrologists and the like have been screaming about it for decades. alarimer Aug 2017 #16
I'm no expert in Native American history, Mr.Bill Aug 2017 #26
I was wondering about that this morning. AtheistCrusader Aug 2017 #30
When we had a major fire here that destroyed 1,200 homes, Mr.Bill Aug 2017 #32
The Tonkawa, Bidais, Karankawa and Atapkan tribes all inhabited the coastal area LanternWaste Aug 2017 #36
There are plenty of Native American sites on the coast of Florida FLPanhandle Aug 2017 #38
There are huge shell mounds on the gulf coast. trof Aug 2017 #39
Well, a lot of it is the artificial surfaces and development alarimer Aug 2017 #58
Where I live the Payaya Indians inhabited flood plains LeftInTX Aug 2017 #53
Time for the oil companies to take California refineries itsrobert Aug 2017 #20
Yeah, I remember they did that with the power plants in California... hunter Aug 2017 #29
Google Enron and the California blackouts. elehhhhna Aug 2017 #46
The fact is, 50" of rain Mr.Bill Aug 2017 #25
When you think you've seen it all. yallerdawg Aug 2017 #27
that looks practical. pansypoo53219 Aug 2017 #45
My husband has pics like this of his neighborhood from 1967. raven mad Aug 2017 #55
Holy shit!!!! Is this worse than Katrina? Initech Aug 2017 #31
Depends on what factor you are using. dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #49
Good coverage available on ABC News livestream from KTRK the Houston ABC affiliate Cognitive_Resonance Aug 2017 #34
Thanks for the map and the description -- it is hard to believe that that whole area has flooding karynnj Aug 2017 #35
All pavement and roofs results in man-made disasters. Impervious surface change (1940-2017) L. Coyote Aug 2017 #37
Wow! Duppers Aug 2017 #41
In the 1940 census, Houston had only 384,500 residents FLPanhandle Aug 2017 #43
Nice graphic. dixiegrrrrl Aug 2017 #51
Back not to long before Obama came in, my county had a flood. Doreen Aug 2017 #42
Texas, we're all with you. raven mad Aug 2017 #56
The big problem in Houston is that they have no zoning regulations. They leave everything up to pnwmom Aug 2017 #57

uppityperson

(115,677 posts)
4. That op was 2 days ago. Here's their most recent from yesterday. Listen to the news
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 11:07 AM
Aug 2017

They don't seem to be overblowing this.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=9525787

. Well ...

The guard units could not be here unless Abbott put them here, they can not just do what they want. As we all learned in Katrina the guard has to be called in by the state.

FEMA can not do jack right now, they can not get here. Houston is underwater, there are no roads in or out that are passable. We will live or die by who and what is here for the next week depending on what this storm does. We have not run out of food or water, shelters are not overfull, gas is available, and for the most part utilities are up.

I do not see how you can second guess what Abbott has done ... what else do you think he should have done? Saying the state was unprepared because Abbott is a dick and has/will jack us over on insurance and help after the fact does not negate the level of organization I am seeing on the ground.

National Guard is here, assets seem to be where they are needed, rescue response has been effective, and so far we have very few casualties. So far, I would call this a success story as far as loss of life ... which is the ultimate measure of a disaster like what we are in the middle of.

Lithos

(26,403 posts)
23. The guard was not activated until Monday
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:29 PM
Aug 2017

The guard which was here seems to have come from other States. The storm hit Texas on Friday night meaning that Abbott took over 48 hours to activate.

Also, Abbott just had a really crappy insurance bill pass which takes effect Sept 1 which makes it difficult for insurers to collect. Ie, it tilts things so much into the insurance company's favor as to make it impossible for someone to get their claims fully serviced.

And, the chemicals which are entering the ecosystem from the flooding of the various petrochemical sites makes this a huge environmental disaster which will likely never be addressed in any useful manner by either the Texas or Federal Governments.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
47. Just so I am understanding.....
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 03:48 PM
Aug 2017

"which makes it difficult for insurers to collect" ?
or did you mean
which makes it difficult for the insured to collect ?????

I take "insurers" to mean the insurance companies.....

Lithos

(26,403 posts)
50. Your understanding is correct
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 04:32 PM
Aug 2017

I was typing fast and got things backward.

The insured has few, if any rights at this point.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
52. Sadly, we can count on the orange FF* to show his loathsome colors about this.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 05:25 PM
Aug 2017

At least some folks will remember that come voting time.

*....I reserve the term "F**k Face" for people such as him.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
8. Last night the news said 10 known dead.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 11:27 AM
Aug 2017

I will take their info..in this case MSNBC...they have sources in more than place.

malaise

(268,998 posts)
2. This time it's not only the poor and marginalized
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 11:03 AM
Aug 2017

Our close friend's daughter, husband and three children had to evacuate - they spent Sunday night in the closet on the second floor of their home.

trotsky

(49,533 posts)
5. It would be great if after all are safe, we could have an honest discussion...
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 11:14 AM
Aug 2017

about things like environmental regulations and protection, about our infrastructure needs as we face climate change and stronger, wetter storms like Harvey, about all sorts of things.

But we won't, because Republicans will accuse Democrats of "politicizing" the disaster, and we will politely shut up like we always do, and allow them to beat us up over it somehow.

KT2000

(20,577 posts)
13. a guest on Rachel said
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 12:03 PM
Aug 2017

they have been predicting this sort of thing for years, trying to get government to believe that climate change will cause this sort of event in Texas. Gov. entities said they were exaggerating. Maybe now city planners across this country will listen.

KT2000

(20,577 posts)
17. yes - it's more complicated
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 12:39 PM
Aug 2017

than just the city planners. Many of them are just doing the what elected officials want. Business and the money carry all the weight.

calimary

(81,267 posts)
18. I've got a friend like that. INSISTS this has nothing to do with global warming.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:09 PM
Aug 2017

We've had this argument before. I'm at wit's end with this one, gotta admit.

Hell, even trump just said "we've never seen anything like this."

greymattermom

(5,754 posts)
19. So maybe it's not global warming
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:15 PM
Aug 2017

but the ocean temperature in the Gulf of Mexico is warmer than usual, and that's easy to measure. Do they deny the measurements of water temperature?

yardwork

(61,608 posts)
22. You might have misunderstood my post. Many planners know it's climate change.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:24 PM
Aug 2017

Planners make recommendations that are often subverted or ignored by the political process. Big developers come in and suddenly all the zoning protections are overturned, for instance.

calimary

(81,267 posts)
54. With all due respect, no. And you make a SUPERB point here.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 06:52 PM
Aug 2017

It's absolutely correct - no, not just correct, ESSENTIAL - to remind about the big developers who are only looking to make a big buck, as you have, here. Likely the developers themselves don't live in, or likely anywhere near, the developments they push for. They've got lots of money for bribes - er - I mean campaign contributions - for the politicians whose jobs allow them to appoint AND fire people like city planners.

They might also do some sort of sweet-talking with the planners themselves. After all, regardless what you have to spend to sweeten the pot for that creative new zoning "exemption", you stand to make SO MUCH more after you develop that property with luxury homes and towers of waterfront condos and apartments. Towers are great because as much as you could make from a single-story beachfront property, just think if you could stack 30 stories of property and multiply the payday by 30 - or however many stories you can get the zoning restrictions relaxed enough to allow. And the higher up you build, the better the view, and you can charge even more!

trotsky

(49,533 posts)
15. But the right wing is too committed to their ideology.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 12:14 PM
Aug 2017

If they could figure out some way to admit climate change is real while blaming it on Obama or Hillary, they'll get the base to buy in!

defacto7

(13,485 posts)
24. Hear hear!
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:35 PM
Aug 2017

I'll wait, watch, hope and act after we see the final aftermath of this. There's no argument anymore about the condition of corporate power and stupidity and it's effect on city planning through politics. Total redo people. That's what we are going to need in this country.

 

Bradical79

(4,490 posts)
28. Maybe keep messaging it as "infrastructure"
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:47 PM
Aug 2017

and back end enviromental issues in the short term? Maybe some things could get done if approached as practical engineering to save money over the long term and protect against disaster.

Duppers

(28,120 posts)
40. Yep, scientists, meteorologists have been warning about this for years.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 02:09 PM
Aug 2017

GCC is not responsible for hurricanes but for the much greater intensity of them. And we've been warned, it's only going to get worse.

Don't rebuild but relocate.

The economy is going to take a huge hit from Harvey but this is only the beginning for the Gulf and Eastern coasts.

L. Coyote

(51,129 posts)
44. Deregulation and less government is taking a huge hit this week.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 03:14 PM
Aug 2017

But, don't expect capitalists to let that bother them. They will make a lot of money off this disaster and the next one too.

Locrian

(4,522 posts)
6. The aftermath will be horrific.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 11:17 AM
Aug 2017

Grinding, painful, slow - homeless, hungry, confused, etc. It will take years to recover.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
7. That is what the new FEMA director said..years and years.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 11:24 AM
Aug 2017

which reminds me...did fuckface make it to Houston yet?

alarimer

(16,245 posts)
11. We have been in trouble for a long time; we just haven't been honest about.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 12:00 PM
Aug 2017

Or, more accurately, no one wants to hear it. More than 50% of people in the US live within 50 miles or so of the coast. There is no longer any buffer against encroachment by the ocean under "normal" circumstances, much less catastrophic storms.

This is the future with climate change. Expect that sea level rise will make these low-lying areas uninhabitable. And that is without accounting for flooding by storms.

People get complacent, even after Katrina. Change happens so slowly as to make no difference.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
12. And the population of the country has exploded
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 12:01 PM
Aug 2017

We have 100 million more people in this country than we did in 1970.

They all have to go somewhere and most want to live by the coast.



alarimer

(16,245 posts)
16. Geologists, hydrologists and the like have been screaming about it for decades.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 12:36 PM
Aug 2017

Ask anyone who works in the field of coastal zone management. The future is horrifying and it is here.

Mr.Bill

(24,292 posts)
26. I'm no expert in Native American history,
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:42 PM
Aug 2017

But am I correct in thinking that most of the Native Americans were smart enough to not live on the beach?

Locally, I live in a county with the largest natural lake in California. In occasional heavy rainfall years, shoreline properties can flood. I know for a fact that the Native Americans who were here for thousands of years were smart enough to not live on the shore of the lake.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
30. I was wondering about that this morning.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:51 PM
Aug 2017

I haven't seen any major details or stories or histories that we can draw long term planning from, but on the other hand...

given what we did to the indigenous populations, how little we've listened and how much we've marginalized them, maybe they're just watching us screw ourselves over now, since no one listened to them, ever.

Mr.Bill

(24,292 posts)
32. When we had a major fire here that destroyed 1,200 homes,
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:55 PM
Aug 2017

An Indian casino opened their event center and kitchen to the Red Cross for weeks to be used as a shelter. Their tribal chairman said "My people have been here a little longer than yours, but today we are all one tribe." He was elected as a county supervisor in the next election.

Sad to say, my "people" have seldom done much for his in history. I must say I don't feel as badly now when I lose money at their casino.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
36. The Tonkawa, Bidais, Karankawa and Atapkan tribes all inhabited the coastal area
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 02:00 PM
Aug 2017

The Tonkawa, Bidais, Karankawa and Atapkan tribes all inhabited the coastal area which is now under 25" of water.

Signs of beach villages inhabited by the Ninchopen and Pakani sub-tribes of the Tonkawa dating to the 15th and 16th centuries have been discovered outside of Corpus Christi some years back.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
38. There are plenty of Native American sites on the coast of Florida
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 02:00 PM
Aug 2017

Obviously, bays, bayous, rivers are great for fishing and transportation.

The same reason Native Americans lived on the coast is why most human civilizations are also on the coast.

The difference is we have way too many humans on the planet now.

trof

(54,256 posts)
39. There are huge shell mounds on the gulf coast.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 02:07 PM
Aug 2017

Although the villages may have been seasonal, it indicates that they spent a lot of time living there.

alarimer

(16,245 posts)
58. Well, a lot of it is the artificial surfaces and development
Wed Aug 30, 2017, 10:15 AM
Aug 2017

That destroyed the natural ability of land to buffer against storms. Wetlands, barrier islands and the like have all been filled in or paved over. Channelizing rivers like the Mississippi has prevented soil from replenishing the delta, so the land is actually eroding away. Andy impervious surface only channels runoff into rivers and streams, adding to their levels.

Maybe natives knew better, or maybe there were just fewer of them and they lived before concrete was a thing. It's hard to say what might have happened in the absence of colonization.

LeftInTX

(25,335 posts)
53. Where I live the Payaya Indians inhabited flood plains
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 06:35 PM
Aug 2017

They were very nomadic. They had no choice but to live close to the water or they would not survive. They would flee during rain. They had no permanent shelter. Hunters and gatherers whose main diet consisted of pecans.

hunter

(38,312 posts)
29. Yeah, I remember they did that with the power plants in California...
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:48 PM
Aug 2017

... and the subsequent rolling blackouts.

I can see the smokestacks of a large power plant from my house and it was inexplicably idle during the rolling blackouts.

That's probably how we got Arnold Schwarzenegger as Governor. It was his job to ignore that conspiracy.

Trump will likewise ignore any huge spikes in fuel prices.






Mr.Bill

(24,292 posts)
25. The fact is, 50" of rain
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:37 PM
Aug 2017

would produce pretty much the same results in any US metropolitan area. Of course, that much rain is pretty unlikely in most areas, but they thought it was unlikely in Houston, too.

raven mad

(4,940 posts)
55. My husband has pics like this of his neighborhood from 1967.
Wed Aug 30, 2017, 03:53 AM
Aug 2017

MAJOR flood in Interior Alaska. My family and I arrived just under a year later; there were watermarks at 7' in the house we rented, and it was nearly 3/4 of a mile from the Chena River. His folks did exactly what your photo shows, so did many, many others.

This photo is at the base of the stairs from College Road up to the University; my hubby was one of the bikers in JROTC that were privileged to take messages between the only 2 high parts in town, our high school and the U.






dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
49. Depends on what factor you are using.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 04:18 PM
Aug 2017

Lives? Katrina, says Google, = 1833 lives.
So far, I have only seen 10 reported for Harvey, but of course the floods are covering the area still.

$$$$$$ damages????
The problem with measuring catastrophes in $$$, is that every year the repair/ replacement costs more than the previous year.

We can safely say that because of the days of flooding, all along the area affected, there is gonna be a much bigger replacement cost, because after sitting in water at 90 degree heat for a week, there is gonna be an enormous mold problem, which means you have to gut a building to repair it.
Toss in the overflowing waste treatment/sewer facilities, and god knows how many chemicals from all the surrounding plants, mixing in the water.....
(there are also 30 plus alligators, and unknown number of venomous snakes that got flooded out of a reptile attraction)

Many many homes will have to be rebuilt entirely.
The Fema guy sound bites sounded intelligent enough to say a lot of people will need help for years.

Impact?
Katrina, being a Southern lady, had the sense to leave rather quickly.
Harvey went back for seconds, and is very very big.

Cognitive_Resonance

(1,546 posts)
34. Good coverage available on ABC News livestream from KTRK the Houston ABC affiliate
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:58 PM
Aug 2017

I've been watching on a Roku. There's plenty of breathless reporting, but they are covering dramatic water rescues from all over the city. Air boats and large construction equipment is being used to reach people stranded in their homes. Water up to the roof lines in many neighborhoods. They're also providing excellent live coverage of official statements from local authorities. Best resource I've found for following the event.

karynnj

(59,503 posts)
35. Thanks for the map and the description -- it is hard to believe that that whole area has flooding
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 01:58 PM
Aug 2017

.. and the storm is not over. Incredible that so many roads are closed. Prayers for everyone there.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
43. In the 1940 census, Houston had only 384,500 residents
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 02:29 PM
Aug 2017

Now there are millions of people living in the area. Sad.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
51. Nice graphic.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 04:37 PM
Aug 2017

Magnify that 1000s of times all over the country....

I watched a doc, on Youtube, how the Netherlands handle their serious water problems. Like New Orleans, they are below sea level in many places. Their attitude is "work WITH the water, not against" and they have come up with some amazing solutions.
By the time the doc ended, I was so pissed and frustrated over how we tend to look at the same problem.

Doreen

(11,686 posts)
42. Back not to long before Obama came in, my county had a flood.
Tue Aug 29, 2017, 02:27 PM
Aug 2017

Along with the rains flooding us two levies on opposite sides of town broke. The repukes supposedly in charge were purposely sitting with their thumbs up their ass and using the funds to repair the levies for whatever else. Bless their vile hearts because they did have the levies "patched." After the flood destroyed many homes, lives and our economy they still refuse to use the extra money given to them to repair the levies. They once again "patched" them. Love the life of living in one of the poorest counties in SW Washington state. Unless you have not figured it out this is a red county ( very red. )

raven mad

(4,940 posts)
56. Texas, we're all with you.
Wed Aug 30, 2017, 03:56 AM
Aug 2017

Even 4300 miles away, there are things we can, and are doing, here - donating, coordinating with volunteers and Red Cross to get supplies to you, and every church/synagogue/mosque here in Fairbanks is holding special prayer times for Texas, as well as urging their parishioners to get with it and donate or volunteer.

pnwmom

(108,978 posts)
57. The big problem in Houston is that they have no zoning regulations. They leave everything up to
Wed Aug 30, 2017, 04:12 AM
Aug 2017

the free market.

And the free market built housing developments across flood plains and made parking lots out of farmland, without regard to issues of flooding and drainage.

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