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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Fri Sep 1, 2017, 01:46 PM Sep 2017

US Senators that have a greater than 50 percent chance of losing re-election in 2018.

Last edited Fri Sep 1, 2017, 02:25 PM - Edit history (1)

(lose by a greater than 2.5 percent margin but less than 10 percent)
AZ-Flake-R vs Sinema-D
IN-Donnelly-D vs Messer/Rokita-R
MO-McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R
NV-Heller-R vs Rosen-D
US Senators that have a 50 percent chance of losing re-election in 2018.(win or lose by a less than 2.5 percent margin)
ND-Heitkamp-D vs Cramer/Campbell-R
OH-Brown-D vs Mandel-R
US Senators that have a less than 50 percent chance of losing re-election in 2018.(win by a greater than 2.5 percent margin but less than 10 percent.)
FL-Nelson-D vs Scott-R
MI-Stabenow-D vs Ritchie-R
MT-Tester-D vs Rosendale/Stapleton-R
PA-Casey-D vs Barletta-R
TX-Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D
VA-Kaine-D vs Stewart-R
WI-Baldwin-D vs Nicholson-R
WV-Manchin-D vs Morrisey/Jenkins-R
Democrats will end up with 46 to 48 US Senate seats after 2018.

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US Senators that have a greater than 50 percent chance of losing re-election in 2018. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Sep 2017 OP
Here are the ratings from Cook, who actually does analysis (and gets paid for it) brooklynite Sep 2017 #1
Your Cook ratings are way wrong. nkpolitics1212 Sep 2017 #2
Source? nt procon Sep 2017 #3

brooklynite

(94,594 posts)
1. Here are the ratings from Cook, who actually does analysis (and gets paid for it)
Fri Sep 1, 2017, 02:11 PM
Sep 2017

Stabenow Likely D win
Tester Likely D win
Heitkamp Likely D win
Casey Likely D win
Kaine Likely D win
Manchin Likely D win
Nelson Leans D
Donnelly Leans D
McCaskill Leans D
Brown Leans D

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
2. Your Cook ratings are way wrong.
Fri Sep 1, 2017, 02:41 PM
Sep 2017

Tester-MT is Lean D win
Heitkamp-ND is Lean D win
Manchin-WV is Tossup
Donnelly-IN is Tossup
McCaskill-MO is Tossup

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