General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWho will win the GOP Iowa caucus?
by Steve Singiser
The sure sign that you are a hopeless Daily Kos Elections political addict: if your New Year's Eve plans revolve around the 7 PM (ET) release of the Selzer/Des Moines Register poll in Iowa, you have a problem.
But, trust me, you have lots and lots of company, including presumably the eight candidates still trying to become the Republican nominee for president. Some pollsters got into the mix today, as well, so before we look inside the numbers, let's look at those GOP primary numbers:
FLORIDA (Tel Opinion Research): Romney 27, Gingrich 26, Paul 5, Bachmann 4, Perry 4, Huntsman 1, Santorum 1
IOWA (NBC/Marist): Romney 23, Paul 21, Santorum 15, Perry 14, Gingrich 13, Bachmann 6, Huntsman 2
IOWA (We Ask America): Romney 24, Santorum 17, Paul 14, Gingrich 13, Bachmann 12, Perry 10, Huntsman 4
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/12/30/1050064/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Polling-Wrap:-Iowa-on-the-horizon?detail=hide&via=blog_1
Make your predictions!
What if Santorum wins?
catabryna
(2,080 posts)None of these Republican losers will cross the finish line. That's all that really matters in the end.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)His supporters seem to be more loyal than the people who are supporting someone else (like Mitt) bu default. I think this will help in a caucus.
doc03
(35,354 posts)could pull my hair out and to think this will go on another 10 months. Every day a new poll comes out.
dsc
(52,164 posts)I think that Bachman, who won't be viable in alot of places, is going to see support go to Santorum and I also think that might happen with Perry supporters as well.
quinnox
(20,600 posts)If Romney wins, it will be a very boring result, and he will cruise to the winner circle. If Ron Paul wins, things have the potential to get a lot more interesting.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)cthulu2016
(10,960 posts)Best result: Santorum wins and wins SC.
Second best result: Paul wins and pulls 30% in NH.
stockholmer
(3,751 posts)Bachmann will be the first to drop out. This will help Santorum. Perry and Huntsman will drop after New Hampshire, again helping Santorum (Perry) and also Romney and Paul (Huntsman). Paul will never be allowed by the Rethug PTB to get the nomination, and it will come down to Romney or Santorum or a brokered convention with a wild card (Jeb, Christie, Patraeus, McDonnell, etc).
I hope Newt steps on a rake, btw. They all suck, but Newt swallows.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)femmocrat
(28,394 posts)I would like to see Ron Paul knock some of the wind out of Romney's sails. He's looking way too confident.
If Santorum wins he will be even more insufferable.
Andy823
(11,495 posts)That it will be some "dumbass" republican that doesn't have a clue about what is really going on and who simply will cater to the 1% while the rest of the country continues to suffer, or Ron Paul who doesn't stand a chance if he does win, and most likely won't because the right wing powers that be, big money, won't let him win "any" of the primaries.