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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:26 PM Dec 2011

Who will win the GOP Iowa caucus?

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Iowa on the horizon

by Steve Singiser

The sure sign that you are a hopeless Daily Kos Elections political addict: if your New Year's Eve plans revolve around the 7 PM (ET) release of the Selzer/Des Moines Register poll in Iowa, you have a problem.

But, trust me, you have lots and lots of company, including presumably the eight candidates still trying to become the Republican nominee for president. Some pollsters got into the mix today, as well, so before we look inside the numbers, let's look at those GOP primary numbers:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney 26, Gingrich 24, Paul 11, Perry 7, Bachmann 5, Santorum 5, Huntsman 2

FLORIDA (Tel Opinion Research): Romney 27, Gingrich 26, Paul 5, Bachmann 4, Perry 4, Huntsman 1, Santorum 1

IOWA (NBC/Marist): Romney 23, Paul 21, Santorum 15, Perry 14, Gingrich 13, Bachmann 6, Huntsman 2

IOWA (We Ask America): Romney 24, Santorum 17, Paul 14, Gingrich 13, Bachmann 12, Perry 10, Huntsman 4

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/12/30/1050064/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Polling-Wrap:-Iowa-on-the-horizon?detail=hide&via=blog_1

Make your predictions!

What if Santorum wins?



13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Who will win the GOP Iowa caucus? (Original Post) ProSense Dec 2011 OP
Who cares? catabryna Dec 2011 #1
I'm still pulling for Crazy Uncle Ron Motown_Johnny Dec 2011 #2
I don't care I am so sick of hearing about the Iowa Caucus I doc03 Dec 2011 #3
I think Santorum will win dsc Dec 2011 #4
Ron Paul or Romney quinnox Dec 2011 #5
Nate Silver (538) thinks Romney has a shot at it. joshcryer Dec 2011 #6
I fear that Romney will win fairly easily. cthulu2016 Dec 2011 #7
I think Paul will win in a close race (due to the nature of the caucuses) with Romney, Santorum 3rd stockholmer Dec 2011 #8
the corpse of Ronald Reagan book_worm Dec 2011 #9
Anyone BUT Santorum!!! femmocrat Dec 2011 #10
I am willing to bet Andy823 Dec 2011 #11
Paul. AlinPA Dec 2011 #12
Santorum: I'm More Electable Than Romney ProSense Jan 2012 #13

catabryna

(2,080 posts)
1. Who cares?
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:30 PM
Dec 2011

None of these Republican losers will cross the finish line. That's all that really matters in the end.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
2. I'm still pulling for Crazy Uncle Ron
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:30 PM
Dec 2011

His supporters seem to be more loyal than the people who are supporting someone else (like Mitt) bu default. I think this will help in a caucus.

doc03

(35,354 posts)
3. I don't care I am so sick of hearing about the Iowa Caucus I
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:34 PM
Dec 2011

could pull my hair out and to think this will go on another 10 months. Every day a new poll comes out.

dsc

(52,164 posts)
4. I think Santorum will win
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:35 PM
Dec 2011

I think that Bachman, who won't be viable in alot of places, is going to see support go to Santorum and I also think that might happen with Perry supporters as well.

 

quinnox

(20,600 posts)
5. Ron Paul or Romney
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:36 PM
Dec 2011

If Romney wins, it will be a very boring result, and he will cruise to the winner circle. If Ron Paul wins, things have the potential to get a lot more interesting.

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
7. I fear that Romney will win fairly easily.
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:37 PM
Dec 2011

Best result: Santorum wins and wins SC.

Second best result: Paul wins and pulls 30% in NH.

 

stockholmer

(3,751 posts)
8. I think Paul will win in a close race (due to the nature of the caucuses) with Romney, Santorum 3rd
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:38 PM
Dec 2011

Bachmann will be the first to drop out. This will help Santorum. Perry and Huntsman will drop after New Hampshire, again helping Santorum (Perry) and also Romney and Paul (Huntsman). Paul will never be allowed by the Rethug PTB to get the nomination, and it will come down to Romney or Santorum or a brokered convention with a wild card (Jeb, Christie, Patraeus, McDonnell, etc).

I hope Newt steps on a rake, btw. They all suck, but Newt swallows.

femmocrat

(28,394 posts)
10. Anyone BUT Santorum!!!
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 09:45 PM
Dec 2011

I would like to see Ron Paul knock some of the wind out of Romney's sails. He's looking way too confident.

If Santorum wins he will be even more insufferable.

Andy823

(11,495 posts)
11. I am willing to bet
Sat Dec 31, 2011, 10:34 PM
Dec 2011

That it will be some "dumbass" republican that doesn't have a clue about what is really going on and who simply will cater to the 1% while the rest of the country continues to suffer, or Ron Paul who doesn't stand a chance if he does win, and most likely won't because the right wing powers that be, big money, won't let him win "any" of the primaries.

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