General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums***JUST RELEASED*** Northam holds 6-point lead over Gillespie, 51%-45%,
as independents and moderates break for Democrat
Summary of Key Findings
1. Democrat Ralph Northam shows a 6-point lead over Republican Ed Gillespie,
51% to 45%, dropping one point in the final tracking poll of likely voters in the
Virginia governors race.
2. Allocating undecided voters to reflect historical voting patterns in Wason
Center surveys indicates a Northam victory on Tuesday, 51.3% to 46.8%.
3. Northams lead is built on strong support in Northern Virginia and Hampton
Roads, and among women, African-Americans and young voters. Northam
and Gillespie are statistically tied in two traditionally reliable Republican
segments, Southwest-Southside Virginia and voters 45 and older.
4.Independents and ideological moderates break significantly for Northam.
5. For lieutenant governor, Democrat Justin Fairfax leads Republican Jill Vogel,
50% to 45%, with a projected Election Day victory of 51.9% to 48.1%.
6. For attorney general, Democrat Mark Herring leads Republican John Adams,
49%-45%, with a projected Election Day victory of 51.1% to 48.9%.
http://wasoncenter.cnu.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Nov-6-Report-Final.pdf
GOTV
FSogol
(45,485 posts)phylny
(8,380 posts)Lots of calling, canvassing, and a really great mailer from Northam et. al. that went to my husband - not me - who is a RINO (LOL). Poor guy, wants to be a Republican so badly, but he can't bring himself to vote for Republicans anymore. I'm so proud that every single person in our immediate family lives in Virginia in various regions and all seven of us - me, husband, three daughters, two sons-in-law - are voting a straight Democratic ticket.
The commercials from the Republican candidates, on the other hand, are vile.
FakeNoose
(32,639 posts)Now THEY're the ones getting out the vote. Or else hacking the vote.
Remember the GOP has to cheat to win.
whathehell
(29,067 posts)Timmygoat
(779 posts)OK Virginia please do not let us down.
justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)Yesterday the polls were showing anywhere from +1.6 2.5
coolsandy
(479 posts)Demsrule86
(68,576 posts)IronLionZion
(45,442 posts)it shouldn't be this close. Gillespie ran on the Trump model of open racism and fear mongering. This needs to be soundly rejected.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)What will be the Texas effect? No polls have measured that. Push left for gun control or right out of the usual fright?
dicksmc3
(262 posts)Please Virginia, show DJT that dems are the true party of the working class by SHOWING UP IN MASS TO VOTE for Northam. That's the only way we take back our country!! Get involved and then VOTE!!
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)DFW
(54,384 posts)That may be just inside the margin of Republican election manipulation.
liberalnarb
(4,532 posts)OliverQ
(3,363 posts)The Wizard
(12,545 posts)Northam loses. 5 points is the margin of plausible deniability and Republicans can rig the election without question.
mucifer
(23,545 posts)nycbos
(6,034 posts)StevieM
(10,500 posts)eom
TheCowsCameHome
(40,168 posts)Hillary Clinton had a big lead, too.