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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 07:03 AM Nov 2017

***JUST RELEASED*** Northam holds 6-point lead over Gillespie, 51%-45%,

Northam holds 6-point lead over Gillespie, 51%-45%,
as independents and moderates break for Democrat
Summary of Key Findings
1. Democrat Ralph Northam shows a 6-point lead over Republican Ed Gillespie,
51% to 45%, dropping one point in the final tracking poll of likely voters in the
Virginia governor’s race.
2. Allocating undecided voters to reflect historical voting patterns in Wason
Center surveys indicates a Northam victory on Tuesday, 51.3% to 46.8%.
3. Northam’s lead is built on strong support in Northern Virginia and Hampton
Roads, and among women, African-Americans and young voters. Northam
and Gillespie are statistically tied in two traditionally reliable Republican
segments, Southwest-Southside Virginia and voters 45 and older.
4.Independents and ideological moderates break significantly for Northam.
5. For lieutenant governor, Democrat Justin Fairfax leads Republican Jill Vogel,
50% to 45%, with a projected Election Day victory of 51.9% to 48.1%.
6. For attorney general, Democrat Mark Herring leads Republican John Adams,
49%-45%, with a projected Election Day victory of 51.1% to 48.9%.

http://wasoncenter.cnu.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Nov-6-Report-Final.pdf



GOTV
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***JUST RELEASED*** Northam holds 6-point lead over Gillespie, 51%-45%, (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2017 OP
Gotv, we only win if we turnout. N/t FSogol Nov 2017 #1
I think the ground effort has been phenomenal. phylny Nov 2017 #2
The rightwingers go crazy when they see polls like these FakeNoose Nov 2017 #3
Good news! n/t whathehell Nov 2017 #4
Sounds great Timmygoat Nov 2017 #5
Thats the only poll Ive seen that shows that big a lead justiceischeap Nov 2017 #6
We need to be a 15 point spread. We need to send a loud and clear message to the nation and 45 coolsandy Nov 2017 #7
Thank God. Demsrule86 Nov 2017 #8
It's not over until the votes are counted IronLionZion Nov 2017 #9
Anyone know anything about this poll? Hortensis Nov 2017 #10
TURNOUT!!! dicksmc3 Nov 2017 #11
Only matters if Democrats show up tomorrow. OliverQ Nov 2017 #12
Careful DFW Nov 2017 #13
+1 dalton99a Nov 2017 #16
Great, just wish he hadn't made that stupid fucking comment about sanctuary cities. liberalnarb Nov 2017 #14
Morning Joe discussing this. They think Gillespie is going to win. OliverQ Nov 2017 #15
If it drops to 5 by election day The Wizard Nov 2017 #17
I don't even think it takes that much. mucifer Nov 2017 #19
What is Wason Center's track record. nycbos Nov 2017 #18
Assuming the Russians don't alter the election results, I think we will win all 3 races by 4 points. StevieM Nov 2017 #20
I thought we stopped relying on polls. TheCowsCameHome Nov 2017 #21

phylny

(8,380 posts)
2. I think the ground effort has been phenomenal.
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 07:24 AM
Nov 2017

Lots of calling, canvassing, and a really great mailer from Northam et. al. that went to my husband - not me - who is a RINO (LOL). Poor guy, wants to be a Republican so badly, but he can't bring himself to vote for Republicans anymore. I'm so proud that every single person in our immediate family lives in Virginia in various regions and all seven of us - me, husband, three daughters, two sons-in-law - are voting a straight Democratic ticket.

The commercials from the Republican candidates, on the other hand, are vile.

FakeNoose

(32,639 posts)
3. The rightwingers go crazy when they see polls like these
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 07:31 AM
Nov 2017

Now THEY're the ones getting out the vote. Or else hacking the vote.
Remember the GOP has to cheat to win.

justiceischeap

(14,040 posts)
6. Thats the only poll Ive seen that shows that big a lead
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 08:16 AM
Nov 2017

Yesterday the polls were showing anywhere from +1.6 — 2.5

IronLionZion

(45,442 posts)
9. It's not over until the votes are counted
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 08:31 AM
Nov 2017

it shouldn't be this close. Gillespie ran on the Trump model of open racism and fear mongering. This needs to be soundly rejected.



Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
10. Anyone know anything about this poll?
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 08:34 AM
Nov 2017

What will be the Texas effect? No polls have measured that. Push left for gun control or right out of the usual fright?

dicksmc3

(262 posts)
11. TURNOUT!!!
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 08:54 AM
Nov 2017

Please Virginia, show DJT that dems are the true party of the working class by SHOWING UP IN MASS TO VOTE for Northam. That's the only way we take back our country!! Get involved and then VOTE!!

The Wizard

(12,545 posts)
17. If it drops to 5 by election day
Mon Nov 6, 2017, 09:23 AM
Nov 2017

Northam loses. 5 points is the margin of plausible deniability and Republicans can rig the election without question.

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