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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhite House admits Trump climate policies will destroy all U.S. coastal property
The massive climate report released by the Trump administration on Friday makes clear that the Presidents climate policies will destroy every last bit of U.S. (and global) coastal property in the decades to come.
That means more than $1 trillion in U.S. coastal property will eventually be valueless. So the only question is when and not if that trillion-dollar housing bubble will burst.
The answer appears to be sooner, rather than later, for two reasons. First, the administrations policies to abandon the Paris climate deal while working to gut both domestic climate action and coastal adaptation programs make the worst-case scenarios for climate change more likely while undermining any efforts to prepare for whats coming. Second, the GOP tax reform bill will directly deflate coastal property values because it targets the tax breaks for the most expensive properties.
https://thinkprogress.org/white-house-admits-trump-climate-policies-will-destroy-all-u-s-coastal-property-313b74aa2ce9/
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)White House - I wouldn't think is the sort of information they would want out there, even if they produced it.
Bryant
turbinetree
(24,720 posts)genxlib
(5,542 posts)There seems to be this naive perception that housing values will remain steady until the waters are lapping at your door. But that belies the way real estate works.
Almost all real estate is financed for 30 years. That comes with several major limitations.
For one, the lenders want the properties to be insured. Insurance companies are already getting skittish and the properties will be un-insurable long before the waters come all the way up.
The second reason is probably less obvious. The entire value of real estate hinges on the historical assumption of maintained value. We are willing to spend what we do because it is assumed to be worth just as much when we are ready to sell it. But what happens when it becomes widely known that a property will be severely impacted in 30 years? The value of that property would have to be re-evaluated based solely on the usefulness within that time frame. It becomes more like a lease instead of a purchase because you will have little to no value at the end. More importantly, lenders are willing to lend over long periods because they don't consider housing a depreciating asset. Would they be willing to lend you money for 30 years if the asset that is securing the loan is not viable over that time period.
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(108,234 posts)Not the loss in real estate value but the loss in lives.