General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDoes anybody really think the SCOTUS will allow,,,,
Trump to be indicted by a special prosecutor? I dont think so and I dont see a GOP Congress impeaching him ,,,, so are very least we stuck with Trump until Jan 2019 and that is completely dependent on Democratic take over of the House in 2018
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)The only body that can remove him from office is Congress, so 2019 is the very earliest impeachment and removal could take place. The SCOTUS won't be involved. However, indictments of other Trump officials are certainly possible, and none of those people are immune from prosecution, unless immunity is granted.
Kirk Lover
(3,608 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)However, an indictment would not necessarily lead to Trump's removal, assuming that one was issued. Indictments lead to trials. There isn't any chance of a criminal trial against a President. Only Congress can charge, try, and remove a President.
It would be more likely for him to be named an unindicted co-conspirator, and the evidence forwarded to the House, which is the body that impeaches. All of that would take at least a year, I'm sure, and a Republican House would be very unlikely to impeach a Republican President.
There is literally no point in indicting a President, frankly.
Kirk Lover
(3,608 posts)Girard442
(6,075 posts)If a hundred eyewitnesses saw Trump hack a guy to death with a machete, that's information worth getting out there in the form of an indictment, even if a partisan congress refuses to act.
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)Only Congress can IMPEACH and REMOVE FROM OFFICE. The Constitution is completely silent on whether the President can be criminally indicted and tried in front of a judge and jury. There is no direct precedent, but there is a good argument to be made that he can be tried while in office.
We ould argue, but there are only 10 opinions that matter on this. The first is Robert Mueller's. Although he has said nothing about, both the Nixon and Clinton special counsels believed they could indict and try a president. Of course they would. They are prosecutors and that's what prosecutors do. Why would Mueller be different, especially with an extremely aggressive team and an extremely dangerous and corrupt President.
The other nine opinions are on the Supreme Court. We can already guess how eight of them will rule. Kennedy will be the swing vote, although Roberts might surprise us. He has surprised us before.
If convicted, the president would still have to be removed from office by impeachment or 25th Amendment. Or he could run the country from a jail cell. We'd be safer that way.
onenote
(42,704 posts)You assume that because four of the justices were appointed by Democrats they would find that a president (not Trump in particular, but any president) can be indicted and tried while in office. That's a leap.
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)But if I stated my real assumptions, I'd be laughed off the forum. But I might as well state it, since you noticed. My real assumption that would be very little question that the President can be criminally tried and that the Court would rule 7 to 2.
The reason for this is what I recently posted elsewhere from Nixon's defense attorney who stated in court, "The President wants me to argue that he is as powerful a monarch as Louis XIV, only four years at a time, and is not subject to the processes of any court in the land except the court of impeachment."
Nixon's own attorney couldn't even defend the proposition that the President is beyond the reach of the court. There is good reason for it that has little to do with the text of then Constitution and everything to do with being a Republic rather than a monarchy or dictatorship. In all of world history, only monarchs and dictators were above the law. No republic has ever allowed anyone to be above the law.
So the real question to the Supreme Court (dressed up in legal niceties of course) is, are you ready to crown King Donald I? I count 7 nays and 2 idiots.
onenote
(42,704 posts)I don't see Mueller trying to indict Trump.
DURHAM D
(32,610 posts)hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)You can certainly depose one (as shown in the Clinton case) and use evidence against them to impeach followed by charging once out of office.
onenote
(42,704 posts)it's hard to see how 2019 differs from 2018. Maybe easier to impeach in 2018 if Democrats control the House, but still a big hurdle in terms of removal unless Mueller has a smoking gun, in which case it depends on when that comes out, not the elections.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)For some Republican Senators to vote to remove. Politically, I mean.
onenote
(42,704 posts)And less on when.
FarCenter
(19,429 posts)AJT
(5,240 posts)hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)AJT
(5,240 posts)that a sitting president can't be indicted.
hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)no, but apparently Ken Starr also made a legal argument that charges COULD be brought.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/yes-a-president-can-be-indicted-the-nixon-tapes-case-proves-it/2017/12/07/26339e32-db4d-11e7-a841-2066faf731ef_story.html?utm_term=.e1ed89298d07
I believe the answer is yes. When I was counsel to the Watergate special prosecutors, one of the issues that we had to address during the investigation of President Richard Nixon was whether the president was subject to indictment for his role in the Watergate coverup. As we later informed the Supreme Court in briefing the Nixon tapes case, we concluded that a president may be indicted while still in office. The Justice Departments Office of Legal Counsel has taken a different position, first under Nixon and later under the administration of President Bill Clinton.
Bottom line it is unresolved, but I'm not so sure that ALL the conservatives on the USSC are all that enamored by Trump, so they might well want to explore the question.
VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)I would expect Thomas and Gorsuch to side with the President no matter what, but Kennedy, Robert's, and probably even Scalia could be persuaded by the right arguments.
Girard442
(6,075 posts)hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)LOL Perhaps you meant Alito?
mythology
(9,527 posts)hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Some Republican committee members would have already started a campaign of propaganda against Trump if it was going to happen. It appears they are not just holding the line but taking actions to help Trump.
I do think the Mueller investigation will play a major role in the destruction of Trump once he is no longer in office.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)indicted or actually impeached.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)It can only rule on actual court decisions in that regard. It does not hear cases about charges against individuals.
benld74
(9,904 posts)hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)More likely, an injunction against the process would probably be brought on an emergency basis in the District Court for the DC area, and swiftly brought to the Appeals court for an hearing by the Court of Appeals. I don't see any way that the Supreme Court would have primary jurisdiction, frankly. What they have jurisdiction for as the primary court is laid out in the Constitution.
And all of this is why no indictment of a President would ever be sought by the Department of Justice. The case would not be presented to a Grand Jury in the first place, which is the only body that can issue an indictment. The unprecedented nature of such an situation would be recognized and the information provided to the House of Representatives, which is the body that deals with impeachments.
Could a President be indicted? Perhaps. But such a situation will not arise, because it won't go before a Grand Jury. And, without a Grand Jury, there would be no indictment. The DOJ is too smart to back itself into such a corner in such an unprecedented way.
Unindicted Co-Conspirator. That's the most likely thing to happen, if anything happens. Then, the results of the investigation would be sent to the Speaker of the House for possible action.
hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)even if it takes a "pitstop" at the Court of Appeals..
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)won't be sought by the DOJ. They simply won't open that can of worms. There would be no benefit from doing so, since only Congress can remove a President from office. A criminal trial of a sitting President would never occur. It really can't, in all practical terms.
The Congress has jurisdiction over the President. No other body does.
hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)I also think that because the statute is quite different for Mueller than for Ken Starr, it is not sure that Mueller COULD (by himself) indict, even if a Grand Jury brings a true bill. That being an additional open question, I do find Lawrence Tribe's argument compelling:
https://twitter.com/tribelaw?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fupload.democraticunderground.com%2F10029926977
Yes, Mueller can do both. The Constitution makes clear that double jeopardy doesnt apply. And nothing in the Constitution tells Mueller that a sitting president must be removed before being indicted and tried on federal criminal charges. The myth to the contrary is, well, a myth
Link to tweet
HopeAgain
(4,407 posts)The legal issue is separation of powers.
hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)while in office AND 2. the tweet that came up below as to whether he could BOTH refer impeachment charges to the House AND indict at the same time. The lay person asking about it in the tweet used the term double jeopardy which has not a thing to do with actual "double jeopardy". Tribe was trying to answer several things there and I did not include a very long twitter thread.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)I think he'll indict administration officials and others, but not Trump. He's sort of a traditionalist in many ways, and seems unlikely to take chances with process.
We'll see, of course, but I don't see him pushing a process that is going to add complexity to an already complex situation. Simple is more effective.
hlthe2b
(102,282 posts)I was merely answering an earlier theoretical question re: whether a President COULD be indicted while in office. That is not clear in terms of legal precedence or case law, but an argument certainly can be made that they can. If he tried, it would undoubtedly have to be settled in the USSC.
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)He hired some very aggressive prosecutors, including in particular Andrew Weissmann, who in the Enron scandal took some unusual moves like indicting the wife of the CFO and indicting the accounting firm. It was effective, but a lot of his convictions were overturned. You don't hire a guy like that to keep things simple. You hire a guy like that to get the man at the top.
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)Criminally trying a sitting president might be difficult, but it's not impossible. As a practical matter, other public officials who have been indicted have been forced to resign or impeached.
The three branches of government are coequal. They all have jurisdiction over each other.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)If someone were to indict a sitting President, I guarantee that that issue would make it to the Supreme Court
(if the issue wasn't settled beforehand).
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)"The President wants me to argue that he is as powerful a monarch as Louis XIV, only four years at a time, and is not subject to the processes of any court in the land except the court of impeachment."
-James D. St. Clair
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)that sank his presidency.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_v._Nixon
Softail1
(56 posts)for God's sake...we should try to be realistic. I remember Watergate, at 15 years old, I was helping silk-screen campaign signs for my dad in 1973, who was the campaign manager for the AG of MA, Robert Quinn. He ran in the primary against Mike Dukakis that year for Gov. Those WG hearings took a long time as I remember...we aren't even close to that point yet. Unfortunately Drump will most likely be in office his full term. grrrrr....
HopeAgain
(4,407 posts)In the Republican line of succession any better? Elections have consequences and the only real relief will only come if we are successful in 2018.
marylandblue
(12,344 posts)underthematrix
(5,811 posts)Alhena
(3,030 posts)to consider for impeachment. It won't require a Supreme Court ruling since the law on this is clear- Mueller won't even try.