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Cryptoad

(8,254 posts)
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:04 PM Dec 2017

Does anybody really think the SCOTUS will allow,,,,

Trump to be indicted by a special prosecutor? I dont think so and I dont see a GOP Congress impeaching him ,,,, so are very least we stuck with Trump until Jan 2019 and that is completely dependent on Democratic take over of the House in 2018

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Does anybody really think the SCOTUS will allow,,,, (Original Post) Cryptoad Dec 2017 OP
That was a Given from day one. Wellstone ruled Dec 2017 #1
It doesn't matter whether Trump is indicted. MineralMan Dec 2017 #2
So you can't indict a sitting President...I thought that you could...? Kirk Lover Dec 2017 #5
That remains an open question, actually. MineralMan Dec 2017 #7
Oh well this got me depressed. n/t Kirk Lover Dec 2017 #9
I'd disagree. Girard442 Dec 2017 #14
Not true that only Congress can charge and try a president marylandblue Dec 2017 #34
I don't think we know how any of the Justices will rule. onenote Dec 2017 #40
Yes I am assuming that for the purposes of this forum marylandblue Dec 2017 #41
For the reasons stated by Mineral Man, I doubt we'll have the opportunity to find out onenote Dec 2017 #44
It is not a settled matter. nt DURHAM D Dec 2017 #8
there are two schools of thought on that, but since it has never been attempted, we don't know hlthe2b Dec 2017 #10
Since removal requires 2/3 vote of the Senate onenote Dec 2017 #39
At some point, it could become imperative MineralMan Dec 2017 #46
Right. But that depends more on what comes out onenote Dec 2017 #48
Actually, the Supreme Court would be involved. The Chief Justice presides over the Senate trial. FarCenter Dec 2017 #47
With Gorsuch on the bench the desires of the right will be followed. 45 will not be indicted. AJT Dec 2017 #3
Not so sure about Kennedy, though, (assuming he hangs in there) hlthe2b Dec 2017 #11
I don't think he'd go against the Nixon era legal opinion AJT Dec 2017 #13
The watergate special prosecuter informed the SC that sitting President COULD be indicted; DOJ says hlthe2b Dec 2017 #17
I disagree VMA131Marine Dec 2017 #12
LOL. If Scalia's where the theists think he is, he's probably changed his mind on lots of things. Girard442 Dec 2017 #15
that will be one HOT session... hlthe2b Dec 2017 #18
To be fair, there's not much difference mythology Dec 2017 #28
well, one is alive and one is dead... there is that. hlthe2b Dec 2017 #31
I believe he will make it through this term. NCTraveler Dec 2017 #4
If Mueller has solid facts on him, SC will back it. If it is a bunch of speculation, he'll never be Hoyt Dec 2017 #6
The Supreme Court has zero jurisdiction with indictments. MineralMan Dec 2017 #16
Exactly! benld74 Dec 2017 #19
No... but any attempt to charge a sitting President would have to be taken up by the USSC. hlthe2b Dec 2017 #20
I'm not sure that's true, actually. MineralMan Dec 2017 #22
there being no settled law, it would most certainly go all the way up. hlthe2b Dec 2017 #23
But, see, since it's an unsettled question, an indictment probably MineralMan Dec 2017 #24
I am not arguing that DOJ WOULD indict, just what would happen IF they did... hlthe2b Dec 2017 #25
It's not about double jeopardy, HopeAgain Dec 2017 #27
Read the entire segment. Lawrence was answering 1. the question as to whether he could be indicted hlthe2b Dec 2017 #30
I just don't think Mueller will try to do both. MineralMan Dec 2017 #32
and as I said, I agree Mueller is unlikely to do so... hlthe2b Dec 2017 #33
I think he will try to do both marylandblue Dec 2017 #42
DOJ doesn't make the choice to indict, Mueller does. marylandblue Dec 2017 #35
"The Supreme Court has zero jurisdiction with indictments" - Sorry but that's simply not true. PoliticAverse Dec 2017 #36
Consider what Nixon's own defense attorney thought of this argument marylandblue Dec 2017 #37
Yeah that was in "United States vs Nixon" where the Supreme Court ordered Nixon to release the tapes PoliticAverse Dec 2017 #38
not this again...ughh Softail1 Dec 2017 #21
So is Pence, Ryan or anyone else HopeAgain Dec 2017 #26
Yes, the others won't start WWIII or start up an army of brownshirts marylandblue Dec 2017 #43
YES. underthematrix Dec 2017 #29
The DoJ can't indict a sitting president, all they can do is refer it to the House Judiciary Comm. Alhena Dec 2017 #45

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
2. It doesn't matter whether Trump is indicted.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:08 PM
Dec 2017

The only body that can remove him from office is Congress, so 2019 is the very earliest impeachment and removal could take place. The SCOTUS won't be involved. However, indictments of other Trump officials are certainly possible, and none of those people are immune from prosecution, unless immunity is granted.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
7. That remains an open question, actually.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:21 PM
Dec 2017

However, an indictment would not necessarily lead to Trump's removal, assuming that one was issued. Indictments lead to trials. There isn't any chance of a criminal trial against a President. Only Congress can charge, try, and remove a President.

It would be more likely for him to be named an unindicted co-conspirator, and the evidence forwarded to the House, which is the body that impeaches. All of that would take at least a year, I'm sure, and a Republican House would be very unlikely to impeach a Republican President.

There is literally no point in indicting a President, frankly.

Girard442

(6,075 posts)
14. I'd disagree.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:33 PM
Dec 2017

If a hundred eyewitnesses saw Trump hack a guy to death with a machete, that's information worth getting out there in the form of an indictment, even if a partisan congress refuses to act.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
34. Not true that only Congress can charge and try a president
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:05 PM
Dec 2017

Only Congress can IMPEACH and REMOVE FROM OFFICE. The Constitution is completely silent on whether the President can be criminally indicted and tried in front of a judge and jury. There is no direct precedent, but there is a good argument to be made that he can be tried while in office.

We ould argue, but there are only 10 opinions that matter on this. The first is Robert Mueller's. Although he has said nothing about, both the Nixon and Clinton special counsels believed they could indict and try a president. Of course they would. They are prosecutors and that's what prosecutors do. Why would Mueller be different, especially with an extremely aggressive team and an extremely dangerous and corrupt President.

The other nine opinions are on the Supreme Court. We can already guess how eight of them will rule. Kennedy will be the swing vote, although Roberts might surprise us. He has surprised us before.

If convicted, the president would still have to be removed from office by impeachment or 25th Amendment. Or he could run the country from a jail cell. We'd be safer that way.

onenote

(42,704 posts)
40. I don't think we know how any of the Justices will rule.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:46 PM
Dec 2017

You assume that because four of the justices were appointed by Democrats they would find that a president (not Trump in particular, but any president) can be indicted and tried while in office. That's a leap.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
41. Yes I am assuming that for the purposes of this forum
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:59 PM
Dec 2017

But if I stated my real assumptions, I'd be laughed off the forum. But I might as well state it, since you noticed. My real assumption that would be very little question that the President can be criminally tried and that the Court would rule 7 to 2.

The reason for this is what I recently posted elsewhere from Nixon's defense attorney who stated in court, "The President wants me to argue that he is as powerful a monarch as Louis XIV, only four years at a time, and is not subject to the processes of any court in the land except the court of impeachment."

Nixon's own attorney couldn't even defend the proposition that the President is beyond the reach of the court. There is good reason for it that has little to do with the text of then Constitution and everything to do with being a Republic rather than a monarchy or dictatorship. In all of world history, only monarchs and dictators were above the law. No republic has ever allowed anyone to be above the law.

So the real question to the Supreme Court (dressed up in legal niceties of course) is, are you ready to crown King Donald I? I count 7 nays and 2 idiots.

onenote

(42,704 posts)
44. For the reasons stated by Mineral Man, I doubt we'll have the opportunity to find out
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 06:19 PM
Dec 2017

I don't see Mueller trying to indict Trump.

hlthe2b

(102,282 posts)
10. there are two schools of thought on that, but since it has never been attempted, we don't know
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:23 PM
Dec 2017

You can certainly depose one (as shown in the Clinton case) and use evidence against them to impeach followed by charging once out of office.

onenote

(42,704 posts)
39. Since removal requires 2/3 vote of the Senate
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:43 PM
Dec 2017

it's hard to see how 2019 differs from 2018. Maybe easier to impeach in 2018 if Democrats control the House, but still a big hurdle in terms of removal unless Mueller has a smoking gun, in which case it depends on when that comes out, not the elections.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
46. At some point, it could become imperative
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 09:07 PM
Dec 2017

For some Republican Senators to vote to remove. Politically, I mean.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
47. Actually, the Supreme Court would be involved. The Chief Justice presides over the Senate trial.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 10:07 PM
Dec 2017

AJT

(5,240 posts)
13. I don't think he'd go against the Nixon era legal opinion
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:29 PM
Dec 2017

that a sitting president can't be indicted.

hlthe2b

(102,282 posts)
17. The watergate special prosecuter informed the SC that sitting President COULD be indicted; DOJ says
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:35 PM
Dec 2017

no, but apparently Ken Starr also made a legal argument that charges COULD be brought.

Yes, Trump could be indicted. The ‘Nixon tapes’ case proves it.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/yes-a-president-can-be-indicted-the-nixon-tapes-case-proves-it/2017/12/07/26339e32-db4d-11e7-a841-2066faf731ef_story.html?utm_term=.e1ed89298d07

I believe the answer is yes. When I was counsel to the Watergate special prosecutors, one of the issues that we had to address during the investigation of President Richard Nixon was whether the president was subject to indictment for his role in the Watergate coverup. As we later informed the Supreme Court in briefing the “Nixon tapes” case, we concluded that a president may be indicted while still in office. The Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel has taken a different position, first under Nixon and later under the administration of President Bill Clinton.


Bottom line it is unresolved, but I'm not so sure that ALL the conservatives on the USSC are all that enamored by Trump, so they might well want to explore the question.

VMA131Marine

(4,139 posts)
12. I disagree
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:28 PM
Dec 2017

I would expect Thomas and Gorsuch to side with the President no matter what, but Kennedy, Robert's, and probably even Scalia could be persuaded by the right arguments.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
4. I believe he will make it through this term.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:14 PM
Dec 2017

Some Republican committee members would have already started a campaign of propaganda against Trump if it was going to happen. It appears they are not just holding the line but taking actions to help Trump.

I do think the Mueller investigation will play a major role in the destruction of Trump once he is no longer in office.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
6. If Mueller has solid facts on him, SC will back it. If it is a bunch of speculation, he'll never be
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:16 PM
Dec 2017

indicted or actually impeached.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
16. The Supreme Court has zero jurisdiction with indictments.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:34 PM
Dec 2017

It can only rule on actual court decisions in that regard. It does not hear cases about charges against individuals.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
22. I'm not sure that's true, actually.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:50 PM
Dec 2017

More likely, an injunction against the process would probably be brought on an emergency basis in the District Court for the DC area, and swiftly brought to the Appeals court for an hearing by the Court of Appeals. I don't see any way that the Supreme Court would have primary jurisdiction, frankly. What they have jurisdiction for as the primary court is laid out in the Constitution.

And all of this is why no indictment of a President would ever be sought by the Department of Justice. The case would not be presented to a Grand Jury in the first place, which is the only body that can issue an indictment. The unprecedented nature of such an situation would be recognized and the information provided to the House of Representatives, which is the body that deals with impeachments.

Could a President be indicted? Perhaps. But such a situation will not arise, because it won't go before a Grand Jury. And, without a Grand Jury, there would be no indictment. The DOJ is too smart to back itself into such a corner in such an unprecedented way.

Unindicted Co-Conspirator. That's the most likely thing to happen, if anything happens. Then, the results of the investigation would be sent to the Speaker of the House for possible action.

hlthe2b

(102,282 posts)
23. there being no settled law, it would most certainly go all the way up.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:53 PM
Dec 2017

even if it takes a "pitstop" at the Court of Appeals..

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
24. But, see, since it's an unsettled question, an indictment probably
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:59 PM
Dec 2017

won't be sought by the DOJ. They simply won't open that can of worms. There would be no benefit from doing so, since only Congress can remove a President from office. A criminal trial of a sitting President would never occur. It really can't, in all practical terms.

The Congress has jurisdiction over the President. No other body does.

hlthe2b

(102,282 posts)
25. I am not arguing that DOJ WOULD indict, just what would happen IF they did...
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 04:07 PM
Dec 2017

I also think that because the statute is quite different for Mueller than for Ken Starr, it is not sure that Mueller COULD (by himself) indict, even if a Grand Jury brings a true bill. That being an additional open question, I do find Lawrence Tribe's argument compelling:


Laurence Tribe: It's a MYTH that a sitting President cannot be indicted and tried.
https://twitter.com/tribelaw?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fupload.democraticunderground.com%2F10029926977

Yes, Mueller can do both. The Constitution makes clear that double jeopardy doesn’t apply. And nothing in the Constitution tells Mueller that a sitting president must be removed before being indicted and tried on federal criminal charges. The myth to the contrary is, well, a myth

hlthe2b

(102,282 posts)
30. Read the entire segment. Lawrence was answering 1. the question as to whether he could be indicted
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 04:19 PM
Dec 2017

while in office AND 2. the tweet that came up below as to whether he could BOTH refer impeachment charges to the House AND indict at the same time. The lay person asking about it in the tweet used the term double jeopardy which has not a thing to do with actual "double jeopardy". Tribe was trying to answer several things there and I did not include a very long twitter thread.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
32. I just don't think Mueller will try to do both.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 04:54 PM
Dec 2017

I think he'll indict administration officials and others, but not Trump. He's sort of a traditionalist in many ways, and seems unlikely to take chances with process.

We'll see, of course, but I don't see him pushing a process that is going to add complexity to an already complex situation. Simple is more effective.

hlthe2b

(102,282 posts)
33. and as I said, I agree Mueller is unlikely to do so...
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 04:58 PM
Dec 2017

I was merely answering an earlier theoretical question re: whether a President COULD be indicted while in office. That is not clear in terms of legal precedence or case law, but an argument certainly can be made that they can. If he tried, it would undoubtedly have to be settled in the USSC.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
42. I think he will try to do both
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 06:11 PM
Dec 2017

He hired some very aggressive prosecutors, including in particular Andrew Weissmann, who in the Enron scandal took some unusual moves like indicting the wife of the CFO and indicting the accounting firm. It was effective, but a lot of his convictions were overturned. You don't hire a guy like that to keep things simple. You hire a guy like that to get the man at the top.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
35. DOJ doesn't make the choice to indict, Mueller does.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:29 PM
Dec 2017

Criminally trying a sitting president might be difficult, but it's not impossible. As a practical matter, other public officials who have been indicted have been forced to resign or impeached.

The three branches of government are coequal. They all have jurisdiction over each other.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
36. "The Supreme Court has zero jurisdiction with indictments" - Sorry but that's simply not true.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:29 PM
Dec 2017

If someone were to indict a sitting President, I guarantee that that issue would make it to the Supreme Court
(if the issue wasn't settled beforehand).

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
37. Consider what Nixon's own defense attorney thought of this argument
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 05:38 PM
Dec 2017

"The President wants me to argue that he is as powerful a monarch as Louis XIV, only four years at a time, and is not subject to the processes of any court in the land except the court of impeachment."

-James D. St. Clair

 

Softail1

(56 posts)
21. not this again...ughh
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 03:46 PM
Dec 2017

for God's sake...we should try to be realistic. I remember Watergate, at 15 years old, I was helping silk-screen campaign signs for my dad in 1973, who was the campaign manager for the AG of MA, Robert Quinn. He ran in the primary against Mike Dukakis that year for Gov. Those WG hearings took a long time as I remember...we aren't even close to that point yet. Unfortunately Drump will most likely be in office his full term. grrrrr....

HopeAgain

(4,407 posts)
26. So is Pence, Ryan or anyone else
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 04:10 PM
Dec 2017

In the Republican line of succession any better? Elections have consequences and the only real relief will only come if we are successful in 2018.

Alhena

(3,030 posts)
45. The DoJ can't indict a sitting president, all they can do is refer it to the House Judiciary Comm.
Sat Dec 16, 2017, 06:23 PM
Dec 2017

to consider for impeachment. It won't require a Supreme Court ruling since the law on this is clear- Mueller won't even try.

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